PASSOVER 2006
WYNDHAM
BOCA RATON
RESORT & CLUB
MIAMI BEACH RESORT
MIAMI BEACH, FLORIDA
BOCA RATON, FLORIDA
insist that for now the policy is to help
mobilize international pressure on
Teheran, but they refuse to rule out a
future Israeli military strike.
"At the moment, in the current phase,
the focus is in the sphere of internation-
al diplomacy," Amos Gilead, head of the
Defense Ministry's strategic policy
team, explained on Israel-TV. But then,
commenting on the Sunday Times story,
he said he denied "the specifics" of the
report, including the timetables and the
Israeli intelligence operation in north-
ern Iraq. Blithe added that "it's impos-
sible to say in advance that all the
options will be ruled out."
Leading Israeli pundits, however,
doubt whether Israel really has a mili-
tary option. Writing in the Ma'ariv
newspaper, analyst Ben Caspit pointed
out the chief difference between Iraq in
1981 and Iran today: Whereas Iraq's
nuclear capacity was concentrated in
one weakly guarded reactor, Iran's fuel
enrichment program is via centrifuges
housed in several well-protected sites
across the huge country.
"To attack, we would need a lot of
intelligence, multiple strikes, the ability
to hover over Iran for long periods and
in large numbers, lots of luck, lots of
bunker-busting bombs, and with all
that, the chances of success would be
slight',' Caspit wrote.
The former commander of the Israeli
air force, reserve Maj. Gen. Eitan Ben-
Eliyahu, said that if there is an attack
some time in the future, Israel would
only be part of a larger force — partly
because the job is just too big for Israel
to handle alone.
There would be too many targets; .
each target would need several fighter-
bombers, protected by fighters, accom-
panied by rescue planes to pick up crew
members who might be shot down.
"Maybe Ben-Eliyahu said,"there will
be a joint decision for joint action one
day, involving countries like the U.S.,
Britain, Germany and Turkey."
Reuven Pedatzur, a strategist at the
Netanya Academic College, said he
doubts that any such joint action will
ever materialize. Nor is it likely that
Israel or any of the other players will
take action to stop Iran alone.
"Iran may well come to possess
nuclear arms',' he said. "And if that hap-
pens, Israel will have to learn to live
with the Iranian threat and to neutralize
it by means of credible deterrence."
Israel's deterrent capacity is impres-
sive. Its Arrow anti-missile defense sys-
tern is the most advanced of its kind in
the world.
Israel, according to foreign sources,
also has an impressive second-strike
capability: F-15 fighter bombers that
can reach Iran without refueling,
Dolphin submarines that can launch
nuclear weapons from the sea and long-
range missiles of it own. Theoretically,
an Iranian nuclear attack on Israel could
be blocked by the Arrow system, while
an Israeli second strike could destroy
Iran. -
That equation, strategists like
Pedatzur believe, should be enough to
deter Ahmadinejad and the ayatollahs
who effectively rule Iran, even if they do
finally manage to produce a bomb.
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VILLA ROMA RESORT
NEVELE GRANDE
CALLICOON, NEW YORK
The Catskills' best kept secret.
A beautiful resort with every indoor
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For 17 years, the Catskills' Favorite
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VENICE LIDO, ITALY
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PHOENIX, ARIZONA
located in one of the world's most
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twar LEISURE TME TOURS
1059360
❑
Answering
Israel's Critics
The Charge:
Israel's West Bank security barrier is preventing Palestinian Christians from
attending Sunday church services.
The Answer:
Freedom of movement for Palestinians is important. But it is not more
important than saving the lives of Israeli citizens from terror attacks. With
the security barrier, Palestinians have access to their commercial and urban
centers. None will have to relocate. Israel is making every effort to avoid
causing hardship and interference with their daily lives. In fact, once com-
pleted, the fence will enable Israel to remove a large number of the road-
blocks currently in place to prevent terrorists from getting through. And
dozens of crossing points have been set up to enable the movement of people
and goods.
Lolly EU how,- theiIrate t trees 1,411/ fa4,1(a0-1/1/
jeAvetry cc & hcmcitvwa t e44cept -to-ncth prCceis:
•lbily±e118M 741-1p9.cp41 .
Between i4 Mile &T .-15
Road
— Allan Gale, Jewish Community Council of Metropolitan Detroit
10am-4pm
Oam-6pm
j's
December 15 • 2005
49