Metro TOUGH VICTORY from page 22 with a split Likud, Sharon may try to take his portion of the party into an electoral alliance with Labor and the centrist Shinui Party. Advocates of this potential scenario — called the "Big Bang" of Israeli politics — argue that it would create a centrist alignment more accurately reflecting the will of the Israeli electorate than does the current political arrangement. The game plan of Netanyahu, a for- mer prime minister, likely will be to force Sharon into an election, hoping to depose him as Likud leader in the run up. Then, running at the head of the Likud, Netanyahu would hope to defeat any centrist alliance and win power as the head of a right-leaning government. What actually happens in the show- down between Sharon and Netanyahu will depend initially on how many Likud legislators each of them is able to control. The more that are loyal to Netanyahu, the quicker the election sce- nario is likely to come about. In his speech presenting his plan to the Knesset on Oct. 25, Sharon seemed to recognize that his own links with the right, once close, were over, and that his political future will depend on ties with the center-left. Uncharacteristically, Settlers rally outside the Knesset Oct. 26 during the debate on Ariel Sharon's Gaza disengagement plan. Sharon lashed out at the settlers, accus- ing them of a deluded "messianism" that was hurting Israeli national interests. In an equally surprising departure, he made a point of expressing regret for Palestinian suffering too. But more than anything, journalists in the Knesset were struck by Sharon's determination. He told them he would not bring the disengagement plan to the Knesset again, and that the Oct. 26 approval was all he needed. He declared that he had no intention of resigning, holding a referendum or sparking new elections. And he said he was absolutely determined to carry out the disengage- ment plan to the letter. Writing in the Yediot Achronot news- paper, political analyst Shimon Shiffer maintained that "the general assessment among the politicians was that the evac- uation of the settlements will not hap- pen: Either because Sharon will have to go to early elections, or because Benjamin Netanyahu will force Sharon to accept a referendum that will delay the evacuation indefinitely." In the same newspaper, pundit Nahum Barnea wrote, "Sharon will have a plan with a kashrut certificate from the Knesset but, sooner or later, he won't have a coalition. The settlers will smell withdrawal. The politicians will smell elections." ❑ Split Reaction Disengagement from Gaza gets vociferous on both sides of the debate. T his plan is absolutely illegiti- mate. It is forbidden to vote for it," Shas spiritual mentor Rabbi Ovadia Yosef said in a sermon Oct. 23. "If, God forbid, they uproot Jewish communities, who will come to take their place? The terrorists." Rabbi Yosef's comment was just one of many on both sides of the debate over Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's plan to pull all Israeli settlements out of the Gaza Strip, and four small ones out of the West Bank. Several leadinc, b Israeli rabbis said recently that the plan contravenes Jewish law, raising fears of a mutiny in military ranks. Earlier this year, Sharon lost a plebiscite on the plan within his own Likud Party, and while the Cabinet on Oct. 4 approved a bill on compensating settlers -viho agree to relocation and pun- ishing those who resist evacuation, five of the six "no" votes belonged to Likud ministers. In the United States, after the Oct. 26 vote, most major Jewish organizations rushed out statements of support for the withdrawal plan. 10/29 2004 22 Locally, Steven Silverman, president of the Jewish Community Council of Metropolitan Detroit, supported the vote and said, "Israel can call upon all Jews and all persons of good will to stand with it, particularly because it uni- laterally seeks to promote conditions from which true and lasting peace in the Middle East can emerge." Jerome S. Kaufman of Bloomfield Hills, national secretary of the Zionist Organization of America, disagreed. "Ariel Sharon has been bullying around his cabinet and the Knesset since he obtained office," Dr. Kaufman said. "He had plenty of months to have a general referendum of the population and have a true evaluation of what the Israeli public felt, and elected not to do so because he's turned out to run the country as suits his own whim." National viewpoints included American Jewish Committee Executive Director David Harris, who said Sharon's initiative was "not an easy deci- sion, but we fully share the Israeli gov- ernment's view that it was the right deci- sion to safeguard the future of the State of Israel.". National leaders of the Anti- Defamation League said, "We salute Prime Minister Sharon's bold initiative and pledge our public support for the implementation." The chairman and executive vice chairman of the Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations expressed "support for the Knesset vote ... We hope that all parties will be able to come together to work on implementation and to minimize divi- siveness," said James Tisch and Malcolm Hoenlein. Ari Harow, executive director of American Friends of Likud, said, "I think it was a tough day for everyone involved, as the prime minister said himself. Being that it's such an explosive issue still amongst the nation, in the Knesset and definitely within the Likud Party, we just hope that at some point in the near future it's resolved so that every- one can unite around whatever policy it is that the Israeli public can decide upon." Nearly all the Jewish groups issuing statements noted the impending anniversary of the assassination of Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, urging Israeli leaders to summon courage for peace with the-Palestinians, and urging oppo- nents to avoid violence. The Jewish Council for Public Affairs recalled Rabin's memory and said the Knesset vote "motivates us even more to do all we can to support his unfulfilled quest for two states living side by side in peace and security." Americans for Peace Now said the Knesset move was precedent setting. "Approval of this disengagement plan sets an important precedent for the evac- uation of other settlements in the years ahead," President and CEO Debra DeLee said. She called upon Sharon to fulfill its commitments under the "road map" peace plan and, "We call upon Palestinian leaders to capitalize on the opportunity that disengagement offers them by demonstrating good gover- nance in Gaza and fighting terrorism there to ensure a secure Israeli evacua- tion." ❑ This report was written by JTA's Dan Baron in Jerusalem and Rachel Pon2emnce in New York, and Harry Kirsbaum of the Detroit Jewish News.