Divisive Debate With discourse focused on civil war, Sharon, settlers use ear to own ends. GIL SEDAN Jewish Telegraphic Agency Jerusalem n the eve of the Jewish New Year, Israel's national discourse was dominated by talk of potential civil war, but few of those talking dared define the possible dimen- sions of such a conflict. - Would it mean confrontations between sol- diers and civilians? Would it be limited to the extreme margins of the settler movement? Would it be confined to the settlements or spill over into Israel proper? Could it really present a threat to the very existence of the State of Israel, as Knesset member Yossi Sand suggested? Various groups on the right have sent a clear warning to Prime Minister Ariel Sharon that if he moves ahead with plans to dismantle Jewish settlements in Gaza next year, he will face the danger of "tearing the nation apart." Sharon, for his part, is showing no signs of backing down, insisting he will push ahead with the disengagement plan and will not be cowed by threats of civil strife. For the time being, it seems, both the extreme right and Sharon are pointing to the danger of civil conflict to serve their own causes. Tens of thousands gathered at Jerusalem's Zion Square on Sunday night, Sept. 12, to protest against the disengagement, carrying posters call- ing Sharon a "dictator." Although rally organizers pulled down a sign labeling. Sharon a traitor, the event was reminiscent of a similar rally nine years ago against the Oslo process, with demonstrators carrying signs of then-Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin dressed in a Nazi uniform. Two months later, Rabin was murdered. Israeli demonstrators in Jerusalem protest Prime Minister Ariel Also highlighting the depth of the division, Sharon's Gaza withdrawal plan. dozens of well-known right wingers — among them Bentzion Netanyahu, father of Finance Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and the minis- ter's brother, Iddo — signed a petition urging National Religious Party, charged that Sharon and his Israeli soldiers not to obey orders to evacuate settlers, disengagement plan were "crazy" But despite such insisting that such an evacuation would amount to statements, NRP voted Monday to stay in Sharon's "crimes against humanity" coalition. Also, at a meeting between settler leaders and And, indeed, some settler leaders refrained from Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz, the settlers warned direct calls for confrontation, electing to play it safe. that a civil confrontation could take place within They spoke instead of the danger that others could weeks. Under certain circumstances, they said, settlers resort to violence. would not hesitate to confront soldiers. At the Jerusalem protest, there was obvious concern Eliezer Hisdai, mayor of the West Bank settlement that rhetoric could get out of hand. Speeches were of Alfei Menashe, whose daughter is buried in the set- toned downed and settler leaders urged their support- tlement, said: "If anyone dared touch my daughter's ers not to resort to violence and to avert a civil con- grave, if someone tried to take her out of the grave, I flict. "There will be no violence, no matter what," would shoot him, be it a soldier or the chief of staff." Hisdai said, backing away from his bitter outburst at Nissan Slomiansky, a Knesset member from the the meeting with Mofaz just a few days earlier. 0 . JN' 9/17 2004 32 And Zvulun Orley, the influential welfare minister from the NRP, sharply condemned anyone threatening civil conflict — though at the same time he declared that Sharon was wrong in putting all the blame on the settlers. For now, Sharon is displaying no weakness. At a meeting with Likud activists in Tel Aviv, he declared: "We will go ahead with all our plans. I don't believe it is possible that the pres- ent situation can continue with such hatred and incitement." He was furious at cabinet ministers for not standing by him publicly, although they had voted in favor of the disengagement and cau- tioned this week, for the first time in public, against the danger of a civil war. "Take the army and the security forces out of this ugly game," Sharon warned those who sup- port the settlers. On Sept. 13, Netanyahu, widely seen as the leading rival to Sharon within Likud, called for a referendum on the prime minister's with- drawal plan. Netanyahu said a plebiscite would show that most Israelis back the plan, but a Sharon confidant accused him of trying to hob- ble the government while garnering popular s support for a future bid to retake the premier- ship. Sharon has rejected a referendum as too complicated to be implemented before the 2005 deadline he has set for evacuating Jewish settlements from the Gaza Strip and part of the West Bank. The security services, for their part, are indeed concerned that the threat of Jew- against-Jew confrontations will become more real. General Security Service sources have spo- ken openly of the increased possibility that zealots may try and hurt Sharon or attempt to sabotage the mosques on Jerusalem's Temple Mount. There is genuine concern that Jewish extremists will follow the example of Yigal Amir, Rabin's assassin, whose single act of violence triggered events that may have resulted in the collapse of the Oslo process. Israel's police inspector general, Moshe Karadi, has already instructed his officers to take drastic measures against any "show of incitement." If the verbal escala- tion continues, the authorities are likely to issue administrative arrest orders against suspects, bypassing the courts. Indeed, the administrative detention of right-wing activist Noam Federman was extended Monday for an additional three months. Federman had been suspect- ed of links to a West Bank settler group that tried to bomb an Arab school in Jerusalem. ❑