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Crunch Time

Shake-out expected after seven
Feb. 3 Democratic primaries.

When the issue arrives each week,

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..10

ports the isolation of Palestinian
Authority
President Yasser Arafat, but
Jewish Telegraphic Agency
those close to him say he has little
Manchester, N.H.
patience for Prime Minister Ariel
ow that the race for the
Sharon. He has emphasized the need to
Democratic nomination for
bring Saudi Arabia to account for ped-
president is moving south
dling anti-Semitism.
and west, Jewish scrutiny of
Steve Rabinowitz, a Washington
the candidates is likely to intensify.
adviser to Democrats and to the Jewish
Sen. John Kerry, D.-Mass., who won community, says Kerry is likelier
New Hampshire with a healthy margin,
now to attract Jewish money.
was propelled forward with his second
"It tends to go to the front-runner
win in two weeks. He has enjoyed solid
anyway, and Kerry is playing well in the
Jewish support until now — he won
community. He's got a history
most Jewish votes in Iowa last week —
in the community and people are com-
and that support is likely to increase.
fortable with him," Rabinowitz said.
So, too, is scrutiny of his policy posi-
Kerry already has significant Jewish
tions.
backing in his home state.
History's first viable Jewish candidate
Lieberman's fifth-place finish Tuesday
for president, Sen. Joseph Lieberman,
placed his candidacy on its last leg,
D-Conn., is heading for a test he has
though the campaign pledged to
said will make him or break him.
fight at least another week, heading
Lieberman, who came in at fifth in
south and west.
New Hampshire, says he needs to win
Lieberman is banking on the diversity
at least one of the seven primary and
of the states there to . allow new voters,
caucus states Feb. 3 in order to stay in
especially conservative Democrats, to
the game.
have a say. The range of those states,
Lieberman cap-
and the shift away
tured 9 percent of
from New England,
the vote in the elec-
home turf for Kerry
tion season's first
and Dean, means
. Manchester, N.H. — The final
official primary.
Lieberman can
results in the New Hampshire
Kerry won Tuesday's
exploit his name
Democratic primary Jan. 27 were:
primary with 38 per-
recognition from
John Kerry 38%
cent of the vote.
the 2000 vice presi-
Howard Dean 26%
Dean, the former
dential nomination
Wesley Clark 12%
Vermont governor
- to get a leg up.
John Edwards 12%
who was once the
Lieberman told
Joe Lieberman 9%
front-runner in New
supporters Tuesday
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Hampshire, came in
that campaign
Al Sharpton 0%
second with 26 per-
organizers in the
cent.
seven states with
Lieberman had
primaries and cau-
been locked in a tight battle for third
cuses next week wanted him to "carry
place with-Gen. Wesley Clark and Sen.
this fight to our states." He said, "The
John Edwards, D-N.C., who each
battle goes on with the confidence that
received 12 percent of the vote. Kerry
I am ready to be the president America
needs now
has the distinction of enormous popu-
larity among American Jews and
Among the states going to the polls
Americans generally. He peppers his
next week are Arizona, which has
speeches with emotive anecdotes tai-
81,500 Jews, and Missouri, which has
lored to every group he addresses.
62,500 Jews, according to the American
That talent won him overwhelming
Jewish Year Book.
support among Iowa's Jews, who had
That may not be significant for
been thrilled to hear him shout Am
Lieberman's candidacy, as Jews have
Israel Chail at a synagogue event in
shown that they do not necessarily vote
November. Now his policies will come
for Jews if they find other candidates
under closer examination.
equally or more favorable.
He is a solid Israel supporter and sup-
Lieberman campaign officials feel

MATTHEW E. BERGER

I turn to the life cycle events first.

410

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