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THE ISSUE
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Some American media are reporting
that the recently announced "cease-
fire" by Palestinian terrorist groups
is a response to the growing
strength of Mahmoud Abbas'
Palestinian Authority, a recognition
that the violence brought no politi-
cal gains and a decision to join with
the Abbas government in the
renewed negotiations with Israel.
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More likely reasons for the cease-
fire by these rejectionist groups is
the effectiveness of Israel's efforts at
capturing or killing their leadership
and stopping "ticking bombs" in
their tracks, the cutting off of funds
by the groups' sponsors (Syria, Iran
and others) and the threat of direct
U.S. actions against them.
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ment of a Palestinian state in temporary
borders, with "maximum territorial con-
tinuity."
One area of emerging disagreement
between Israel and the United States is
the security fence. Abbas told Rice the
Palestinians would have no problems
with a fence along the pre-1967 bor-
der, but that the route Israel currently
plans allegedly would leave only 45
percent of the West Bank in
Palestinian hands, divided into three
"cantons" — hardly the viable state
envisioned by President Bush. Rice
asked Sharon to reconsider the route.
Sharon, however, argued that the
fence would constitute a security line
rather than a political border, and
could be moved later.
Rice was skeptical. To many people,
she said, the route looks like an attempt
to create a political border unilaterally,
and this is seen as problematic.
Israel's nightmare scenario is that the
cease-fire will break down after the
Palestinian Authority fails to disarm
Hamas and the other terror groups.
The question then will be whether the
United States, after playing the honest
broker, tolerates Israel moving back
into the West Bank and Gaza Strip in
self-defense.
Much will depend on whom the
Americans blame for the breakdown of
a process in which, by then, they will
have invested so much. E