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The dif- ference is, as laid out in his June 24 Middle East policy speech, Bush insists such a state must not only renounce ter- ror but be democratic as well. Bush has rightly insisted on holding off a public announcement of the terms of the road map until after Israel's Jan. 28 elections. But whenever these terms are published, they spell disaster for Israel. The document, which is nonetheless being openly cir- culated, calls for Israel to make drastic concessions to the Palestinians that will lead to a sovereign Palestinian state, whether or not the Palestinians do anything about terror. While the very idea of a Palestinian state was once enough to bring Israel's American friends to the barricades and create enormous pressure on Washing- ton, that is no longer the case. Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon will do everything possible not to say "no" to Bush on the eve of war with Iraq. Even most of the nationalist camp in Israel has finally acknowl- edged that the terrorist entity created by the Oslo process is already a state in everything but name. Sharon has made it clear that Israel's goal in future negotiations is to ensure that the Palestinian state that is fated to eventually emerge poses a minimal threat to Israel's security even if Bush's provisions are met. That is a reasonable position that only the hardest of hard- liners publicly oppose here or in Israel. But the question isn't what Sharon will do. Rather, it is whether after Jan. ALPERT from page 31 Bishara and Abdulmalik Dehamshe. One Arab leader, Sari Nusseibeh, considered by many as a relative mod- erate, has called upon his people to refrain from inflammatory statements, which will serve only to drive the Jewish voters into the arms of their extreme right wing parties. Any major acts of terror in the coming weeks will have the same effect. A formal protest has been registered, demanding that one of the Arab parties be barred from participating in the elections on the grounds that it advo- 28 Bush will continue to insist on his vision of a democratic and peaceful Palestine or, instead, go along with the Europeans. At that point, we are going to find out if Bush means what he says about democracy without terror being not an option for the Palestinians but a prerequisite for statehood. Insisting On Democracy Many on the left see Bush's democracy talk as simply a formula for avoiding pressure on Israel. Some on the right are so scared by talk of a Palestinian state that they fear Bush will betray Israel. I think they are both wrong. After two years in power, I think it is abundantly clear that when the president articulates a principle he seems to mean what he says. No matter what the road map says, that means the "Quartet" is bound to be disappointed by a Bush insis- tence on Arafat's ouster, an end to terror and the institution of genuine democracy before there is a Palestinian state. And if a failure to achieve those goals means that a Palestinian state is not in the offing, then the Europeans and the U.N. will have to like it or lump it. The same is true of Iraq. I believe the president isn't kidding about not letting a post-Saddam Iraq become just anoth- er Arab authoritarian regime. And if he achieves that goal, then all Arab tyran- nies --- including those that currently pretend to be American allies — are bound to change as well. This is heady stuff, and perhaps I'm just dreaming along with the White House and the Pentagon about its feasi- bility. But it is only out of such dreams that positive change is possible. After watching him in action for two years, I'm starting to believe that his spinmasters are right. Bush really does think good policy is good politics. If so, then his critics should be pre- pared for more unpleasant surprises. [I] cares armed terror against the Jews and even negates the very existence of Israel. A decision is due almost any day. The latest public opinion poll, con- ducted at the University of Haifa, finds that 70.8 percent of the Arabs may be expected to go to the polls and will send nine Arabs to the Knesset from the Arab political par- ties. These will probably be joined by three additional Arabs running on the slates of Jewish parties. All outstanding questions will be answered when the ballots are counted on Jan. 28. ❑