Israel is likely to receive the lion's share. Washington sources say there will be no serious discussion of the aid request until after the expected military con- frontation with Iraq. Congress' Agenda On the domestic front, too, the grow- ing budget crisis will be the inescap- able bottom line to almost every leg- islative initiative that surfaces in the Republican-controlled 108th Congress, which officially convened on Tuesday. Liberal Jewish activists continue to talk about new or expanded programs, but the real fight will be to limit the budgetary damage to existing ones. The deepening budget crisis will "dominate the social agenda," said Rep. Ben Cardin, D-Md., a senior member of the Jewish delegation in Congress and an expert in tax and budget issues. The combination of a sluggish econ- omy, soaring military costs and previ- ous tax cuts will produce enormous pressure on hard-pressed social pro- grams that depend on government funding, Cardin said, including Jewish federation programs around the coun- try. Diana Aviv, vice president for public policy for the United Jewish Com- munities (UJC), agreed, adding that the problem will be compounded by budget emergencies in dozens of states. "In terms of federal funding, the best we can expect is flat funding — which, in effect, means cuts," she said. 'And the problem is worse because state budgets are in dire straits. There will be cuts there, as well, so the impact on our agencies will be pro- found." The Bush administration and the Republican congressional leadership will start the session with a major push for new tax cuts as the centerpiece of their economic stimulus package. The Democrats say that will just result in more red ink and more pressure to cut social programs. House Democrats have offered their own $136 billion tax cut package. UJC, Aviv said, will explore the pos- sibility of getting new tax breaks to encourage charitable giving as part of the expected tax package, something that could help hard-pressed Jewish social service agencies. At the start of the session, Congress will consider a 13-week extension of unemployment benefits for some u B'Shevat falls on January 18th. Celebrate the Jewish Arbor Day by planting Trees in Israel. 800,000 Americans whose benefits ran out in December after lawmakers failed to act. Several Jewish groups have actively supported the extension. A long list of Jewish groups are hop- ing this will be the year lawmakers pass a long-delayed bill expanding existing hate crimes laws. The return to Republican control could make that tougher, but Michael Lieberman, counsel for the Anti-Defamation League's Washington office, said the GOP's desire to assert its support for civil rights in the wake of the Trent Lott controversy could generate new support for the bill. Groups concerned about the Jews remaining in the former Soviet Union will be watching as the administration again tries to "graduate" Russia from requirements of the Jackson-Vanik Amendment, the 1974 law that ties favorable trade arrangements to the former Soviet Union's human rights performance. With the GOP firmly in control, most observers expect an all-out assault by anti-abortion forces. The first skirmishes could come over legis- lation to ban late-term abortions. Liberal Jewish groups will be on the barricades against new abortion restrictions; the National Council of Jewish Women (NCJW) will continue fighting anti-choice judicial nominees, who may now face an easier time win- ning Senate confirmation. Orthodox groups, while not pro- abortion, have been wary of sweeping legislative initiatives on the subject. A Ir- I f„, 4 4 4 4 4' JNF TREES Faith-Based Some of the biggest fireworks in the 108th Congress will take place along church-state line. Jewish groups will be on both sides. "Charitable choice" — rules and programs that make it easier for religious groups to get gov- ernment money to provide health and social services — will come up, most dramatically in the effort to reautho- rize the 1996 welfare reform law, which contained the first charitable choice provisions. Republicans will try to expand those provisions; Democrats will try to scale them back. But the real action on the faith-based front has shifted to the executive branch. Jewish groups have given across-the- board support for the long-languishing Workplace Religious Freedom Act, which would make it easier for employees to fulfill their religious obli- gations — like Sabbath observance — without risking their jobs. ❑ .101 1 Tree: $18.00 Ring of 5 Trees: $90.00 Circle of 10 Trees: $180.00 JNF will send attractive tree certificates to you or someone you'd like to honor, and you'll be doing a special and time-honored mitzvah! www.jewishacorn 800-875-6621 gewish.com store The store for the Jewish community online 1/10 2003 e-g 25