Election Scandal Likud sees lead wilt as inquiry mounts into alleged vote buying. LESLIE SUSSER Jewish Telegraphic Agency Jerusalem U lies" having funded campaigns of Cabinet ministers and Knesset members, and of "current or past crimi- nals" who had hosted senior ministers at their homes for lunch or dinner. If the reports are true, would some of the Likud's representatives in the Knesset or in the Cabinet be beholden to their benefactors, political observers asked. Media reports in the wake of the scan- dal were uniformly scathing. Chemi Shalev, an ana- lyst for Mdariv, wrote, "There always was and always will be corruption in politics, but in a place where rep- resentatives of the underworld are elected directly to the legislature, it's only a matter of time before the pagan idol takes over the temple from within." Labor, which did hold nationwide primaries for its Knesset list and stood to gain most from the Likud's embarrassment, has not emerged entirely unscathed. Following a complaint from the Association for Good Government, Israel's attorney general ordered a police investigation into allegations of irregularities in two Labor Druse precincts. Labor members argue, however, that alleged voting irregularities in just two of more than 600 precincts- nationwide isn't akin to the large-scale buying and sell- ing of votes by criminals. The fact that both Likud and Labor are under investi- gation could help smaller parties in the Labor's left-cen- ter bloc, such as Shinui and Meretz, which have made cleaner politics part of their campaign platforms. Both Shinui and Meretz have been trying to pull voters from the two larger parties, and are get- ting set to play political hardball. They will be 0 helped by the fact that Likud and Labor will fight viciously against each other. ntil now, the Israeli election campaign has seemed like a formality: The only question seemed to be how large a majority Likud Party leader Ariel Sharon would win when the ballots were counted. Not any more. Pundits say a police investigation into allegations of corruption in the selection of its Knesset candidates could cost Likud enough seats to lose the election. While the Labor Party is facing its own investigation, analysts say the scope of the Likud scandal could be enough to swing the Jan. 28 election to Labor. According to the Likud's own internal polls, the scandal — which broke last week with allegations that aspiring Knesset members had been asked to pay for political support — already has cost Likud two or three seats. Party 0 insiders say the trend seems to be continuing. Mudslinging Before the scandal,, polls showed the Likud's The Likud had not planned on a negative right-religious bloc leading Labor's left-center campaign against Labor or its leader. bloc by about 65 seats to 55, including parties Campaign strategists argued that to attack likely to join their coalitions. That means that Mitzna, who is not so well known, would a swing of just five or six seats from right to give him free exposure. Now they have left could make Labor Party leader Amram changed their minds. Likud will attack Mitzna prime minister, not Sharon. Labor over the associations that helped As Mitzna himself says, his dream is no finance Ehud Barak's victorious prime min- longer "pie in the sky." isterial campaign in 1999, and which were The trouble for the Likud started when subsequently the subject of a wide-ranging several defeated candidates went public with police investigation. stories of approaches from "vote contractors" It also will attack Mitzna for an American offering to deliver votes in return for cash. bank account set up in his father's name — There also were tales that members of the apparently quite legally — to collect dona- Likud Central Committee, the 2,940-mem- tions, and anything else they can dig up. ber body that chose the candidates, were The Likud is seriously considering hiring wined and dined by would-be legislators. Prime Minister Ariel Sharon addresses a gathering of American Jewish American spin doctor Arthur Finkelstein, A secretary for one candidate told Israeli donors Dec. 12 in Jerusalem. master of the negative campaign, who ran Television that her boss had asked her to hint to Binyamin Netanyahu's 1996 and 1999 Central Committee members that she would be prime ministerial bids. What made the alleged extortion and funding willing to have sex with them in return for their votes. Labor is sure to keep the Likud bribery and cor- attempts possible was the Likud's decision to switch "I placed a bumper sticker on my chest with my candi- ruption allegations on the public agenda for as long from nationwide primaries back to a system in which date's name, and he used the sticker to hint to people as possible. The campaign still will focus primarily the Central Committee chooses the party's Knesset that I have what to offer and by showing me how to on Israel's security and economic problems, but it list. Nationwide primaries would have put the decision persuade people," the woman said, according to the will be accompanied by a degree of mudslinging no in the hands of the Likud's 300,000-strong member- Jerusalem Post. "People said, 'Give me something else one anticipated this year. ship, making it virtually impossible to buy votes and and I'll give you the votes of my friends.'" This is not what Sharon or some Labor leaders, like difficult to put together decisive voting blocs. Two members of the Central Committee were former Defense Minister Benjamin Ben-Eliezer and In contrast, it's relatively easy to reach the much detained Monday and placed under house arrest his camp, wanted. They had hoped for a relatively smaller pool of 2,940 Central Committee members to Tuesday by the Israeli police fraud division. Some of quiet campaign, with the two major parties getting make deals and deliver votes. Indeed, one of the Likud's the money for this heavy-duty canvassing was means to deflect the criticism has been to blame the sys- more than 60 seats in the 120-member Knesset and believed to come from underworld figures, some of being in a position to form a unity government imper- tem. Sharon, in fact, lost no time in asking Justice whom recently joined Likud. vious to pressure from smaller, single-issue parties. Minister Meir Sheetrit to suggest an alternative system. The Likud scandal puts that two-party majority at Likud spin doctors dutifully emphasized Sharon's risk. More importantly, it gives Labor a chance of courage in taking on the Central Committee and Mafia Links? leading the next government. moving to divest it of its most important power. Reports surfaced in the press about "criminal fami- ANA LYSIS ❑ 12/20 2002 18