Demographic Downturn A smaller, graying American Jewry poses new challenges for community. JOE BERKOFSKY Jewish Telegraphic Agency New York City merica's Jewish population declined by 5. percent dur- ing the past 10 years, according to a new survey that says the shrinkage is likely to con- tinue. given the community's aging population and low birth rates. The National Jewish Population Survey (NJPS) 2000-2001 said the num- ber of Jews now stands at 5.2 million, falling from 5.5 million in 1990, even as the total U.S. population grew by more than 12 percent. Jews now represent 2 percent of the American population. - The picture of a declining, graying population was unveiled Oct. 8 by the United Jewish Communities, the umbrella organization of Jewish federa- tions that sponsored what is believed to be the most comprehensive demograph- ic survey of American Jews to date. Other parts of the study, which will address issues of Jewish identity and affiliation, will be released at the group's annual gathering in Philadelphia at the end of November. The findings are expected to spark new A dren, agencies might examine policy debates about the numbers and what questions about Jewish camp fees, they mean for the Jewish community. Much of the study pointed to demo- Jewish school costs, even college aid. And with a increasingly aging popu- graphic changes that have been emerg- lation, "we need to proportionately ing for years, some contained in the devote more attention to caring for 1990 NJPS. the elderly," Hoffman added. For instance, the latest study found One who welcomed the scrutiny on that the Jewish population is "skewed" an aging Jewish population was Rabbi to the Northeast, with 43 percent of Dayle Friedman, who is currently Jews living there, while the Midwest, developing Hiddur: The Center for with 13 percent of the community, Aging and Judaism at the remains the sparsest Jewish area. Reconstructionist Rabbinical College. Other findings confirmed what has "I hope we'll stop viewing this as been known, but are still seen as sig- bad news, but as an invitation to tap nificant, including the aging popula- the resources of people who are older tion and the low birth rates. and tap their creativity in ways we The median age of American Jews haven't imagined," said the climbed from 37 in 1990 to 41 in 2000, with 19 percent age 65 and older, Philadelphia-based rabbi who has worked extensively with Jewish elderly. compared with 15 percent in 1990. For example, Rabbi Friedman said At the same time, Jewish women retired educators who are Jewish could approaching the end of their child- be retrained to help address a shortage bearing years, ages 40-44, have an average of 1.8 children, which is below in Jewish school educators. Referring to the overall demographic the replacement level of 2.1. trends, Frank Mott, a professor of Stephen Hoffman, chief executive sociology at Ohio State University officer of the UJC, said the study's who helped steer the 2000-01 NJPS, conclusions of an aging population coupled with low birth rates "raise pol- said: "It doesn't look too good. Unless there are some significant changes" in icy questions" about how Jewish agen- Jewish demographic patterns, Jews cies should 'spend money. ultimately "are not going to replace For example, with fewer Jewish chil- New York/JTA — The American Jewish world as revealed in the just-released National Jewish Population Survey 2000-2001: • The Jewish population now stands at 5.2 million, down 5.45 percent from 5.5 million in 1990. • Jews represent 2 percent of the general U.S. population, which stands at 288 million, an increase of 33 million from 1990. • The Jewish population resides in 2.9 million Jewish households, with a total of 6.7 million people in all those households. This means that 1.5 million of those people — one out of every five people living in a Jewish household on average — are not Jewish. The United Jewish Communities, the umbrella organization of U.S. and Canadian Jewish federations and sponsor of the study, released only the demographic findings this week. Other parts of the study, 10/11 2002 30 which will address issues of Jewish identity and affiliation, will be released at the group's annual gath- ering in Philadelphia at the end of November. Among the key findings released Oct. 8: AGE: • The median age of U.S. Jews is 41, up from 37 in 1990, and in contrast to the median age of 35 in the general U.S. population. • 19 percent are age 65 and older, up from 15 percent in 1990, and compared with 12 percent in the general population. • 19 percent are age 17 and younger, down from 21 percent in 1990, and compared with 26 per- cent in the general population. GENDER AND MARRIAGE: • 51 percent of U.S. Jews- are female, 49 percent are male. The themselves." America's 5.2 million Jews live in what the NJPS identified as 2.9 mil- lion Jewish households. But the study also found 6.7 million people in those households, which means that 1.5 million people in these house- holds are not Jewish. But NJPS officials are not saying yet how those non-Jews are related to the identified Jews. To study America's Jews, the NJPS surveyed 4,500 Jews from every state and the District of Columbia, the largest Jewish demographic study to date. The Questions The NJPS relied on four questions to determine Jewishness. They were: What is your religion, if any; do you consider yourself Jewish for any rea- son; if your religion is not Judaism, do you have a Jewish mother or father; and if your religion is not Jewish, were - you raised Jewish? Those questions remain virtually unchanged from the last time the NJPS was conducted in 1990, when it showed that 52 percent of Jews who married in the previous five years had chosen non-Jewish spouses. That revelation sparked intense debate and soul-searching and spurred tens of millions of dollars' worth of programs meant to solidify Jewish identity and reach out to Jews. While the 1990 NJPS became known mostly as the harbinger of trou- bling news about the community's via- bility, the team behind the 2000-01 gender distribution is the same as the general population and is unchanged from 1990. • 54 percent of U.S. Jews.aged 18 and older are married, com- pared with 57 percent in the gener- al U.S. population. • 26 percent aged 18 and older are single and never married, corn- pared with 24 percent in the gener- al population. • 30 percent of Jewish men are single, compared with 22 percent of Jewish women. • 9 percent of Jewish adults are divorced, 4 percent are separated and 7 percent are widowed. All of these figures parallel those in the U.S. adult population as a whole. The NJPS numbers regarding Jews who live with their boyfriend or girlfriend have not been released. • 59 percent of Jewish adults have married once, 13 percent twice and 2 percent three times or more. BIRTH: • Jewish women approaching the end of their childbearing years, aged 40-44, have an average of 1.8 children, whiCh is below the replacement level of 2.1. • 52 percent of Jewish women aged 30-34 have no children, corn- pared with 42 percent in 1990 and 27 percent among the general pop- ulation in 2000. NATIONAL ORIGIN: • 85 percent of Jewish adults were born in the United States. • Of the 15 percent of foreign- born Jews, 44 percent come from the former Soviet Union (20 percent from the Ukraine, 13 percent from Russia, the rest from other parts of the former USSR) and 10 percent each from Israel and Germany. POPULATION BY REGION: There has been little change in