The Case Against Saddam c Philadelphia onsider the paradox: Almost every government agrees that Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein is an appalling mon- ster and shudders at the prospect of his acquiring nuclear weapons. Yet those same governments are also furiously signaling their disapproval of an American-led military effort to depose him. That would be "risky adventurism," declares Germany's Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder; Saddam poses no immediate threat and Washington lacks a justification to attack him. Most U.S. allies worldwide agree. But they are plain wrong. Saddam is an immediate menace and the U.S. government has cause to preempt him. Here's why: • Record. Saddam has a history of unrelenting aggression. He invaded Iran in 1980. He conquered Kuwait in 1990. He assaulted Saudi Arabia and Israel with missiles in 1991. He's shot at U.S. and British aircraft in the "no- fly zone" since 1992. He attacked the Kurdish regional enclave in 1996. Saddam also has many links to ter- Daniel Pipes is director of the Middle East Forum. His e-mail address is pipes@MEForum.org. Research fellow Jonathan Schanzer contributed to this commentary. rorism. Iraq harbors Abdul Rahman Yasin, one of the gang that bombed the World Trade Center in 1993. It also hosted the notorious Palestinian terrorist Abu Nidal, just found dead in Baghdad. The dictator encourages Hamas suicide bombers by paying. $10,000 U.S. to their families. His terrorists tried to assassinate for- mer President George H.W. Bush and the emir of Kuwait. An Iraqi diplomat met with Al Qaida's Mohammad Atta before Atta and 18 others launched their Sept. 11 suicide mission. • Casus belli (an event used as an excuse to declare war). Saddam has a history of violating international law and developing illegal weapons. In February 1991, he signed an agreement accepting all the United Nations Security Council resolutions passed after his invasion of Kuwait seven months earlier. In particular, he recognized the validity of Resolution 687, which demands that Iraq's weapons of mass destruction (WMD) be "destroyed, removed or rendered harmless," and requires that inspectors be allowed into Iraq to stymie further efforts to build WMD. But Saddam then played "cat and mouse" with the inspectors by with- holding information, dissimulating and hiding materiel. "For example," noted a U.S. government report in 1998, "Iraq released detailed records of how many ball-point pens it Khidhir Hamza, former chief ordered in the late 1980s," nuclear scientist for Saddam's but left out vital information nuclear weapons development about its "missile warheads program and another Iraqi capable of delivering biologi- defector, estimates Iraq now cal and chemical agents." has "12 tons of uranium and Nonetheless, over seven 1.3 tons of low-enriched urani- years, inspectors did find and um" and asserts that Saddam destroy at least 27,000 chemi- will have "three to five nuclear DAN TEL cal bombs, artillery shells and weapons by 2005." PI PES rockets, 500 tons of mustard Richard Butler, former chief and nerve agents, and thou- Spe cial U.N. weapons inspector, says sands of tons of precursor Comm entary it is "foolish in the extreme" to chemicals. They also dissem- believe that Saddam is not bled much of Iraq's nuclear hard at work on long-range missiles, program, which was further along and nuclear, chemical and biological than previously thought — and weaponry. which had continued in operation If Saddam does get his hands on (flagrantly violating Resolution 687) nuclear weapons, he will exploit them since 1991. fully. Then, in August 1998, Saddam He is the only ruler in power already accurately read the Clinton administra- to have used WMD — deploying poi- tion's mood and closed the door to fur- son gases against both Iranians and his ther inspections, correctly figuring he own Kurdish population (killing 5,000 would not have to pay a price for this of the latter in one town on one day in unilateral abrogation of his promises. 1988). Once equipped with nukes, this Now, four years later, Saddam con- megalomaniac will pose an almost tinues to refuse to allow the inspectors unfathomable threat. admission to Iraq, much less to dis- President George W. Bush is there- mantle his WMD. fore right to state that the United • Dangers. Saddam unquestionably States must "confront the worst threats has used the past four years to build before they emerge." With no other WMD. Adnan Saeed al-Haideri, an means to dismantle his arsenal and Iraqi civil engineer and a recent defec- protect against future aggression, this tor, informed the Defense Intelligence leaves a military campaign as the only Agency that Saddam is building bio- option — and the sooner it begins, the logical and chemical weapons in eight better for us all. ❑ locations throughout Iraq. Staying The Course In Israel Ramat Gan, Israel he depravity with which Palestinian terrorists destroyed a cafeteria at Hebrew University on July 31, killing nine people and leaving dozens wounded for life, was moral- ly indistinct from hundreds of other terror attacks. Terrorists employing the same type of brutality have murdered other teenagers in discos, restaurants, mar- kets and buses. This was also not the first time Hebrew U has been target- ed. More than 30 years ago, "Gener- al" Yasser Arafat's terrorists bombed a cafeteria on the university's Givat Ram campus (built after Mt. Scopus T Professor Gerald M. Steinberg is director of the Program on Conflict Management and Negotiation Political Studies at Bar-Ilan University. His e mail address is gerald@vms.huji.ac.i1 - was cut off from the rest of Jerusalem in 1948). The echoes of that attack were still reverberating when I came to Hebrew U in July 1971 — one of a few thousand overseas students who The commitment to Israel and Jewish survival will be not shaken by terrorism. arrive every year to enjoy the treas- ures of the Hebrew language and experience life as an Israeli. It was four years after the 1967 war brought an end to the Jordanian-Palestinian occupation threatened from all sides, and desecration of Jewish and peace was a very distant Jerusalem. The campus on and abstract concept. The Mt. Scopus, which had facade of "normalcy" and remained an island under wishful thinking that formed tenuous Israeli control from the environment in which 1948 to 1967, was being the illusions of Oslo devel- restored and expanded. The • oped 20 years later had yet campus was a massive con- struction site, with dozens of GERALD M. to emerge. Mirroring the new buildings going up to STEINBERG physical reconstruction out- side, the new classrooms, house classrooms and Special libraries, student dormitories research institutes. A system Commentary — architecturally uninspir- of underground tunnels was ing and functionally mini- also being built to connect malist (not in a positive sense) — these new buildings and provide easy became incubators for the Jewish access to buses in the summer heat renaissance. and winter rain. At the time, with the experiences of the 1967 war still fresh, some Past Influencing Future overly creative students imagined Twenty-three years after the restora- that these massive concrete tunnels tion of independence in the land of would be used as military strong- holds to prevent an Arab effort to retake Jerusalem. Israel was still STEINBERG on page 40 8/30 2002 39