Israel's capacity to respond to Palestinian terror. If Arafat were expelled, Steinitz says, the army would have an easier job. On the far right, politicians like Benjamin Elon from the Moledet Party and Israel Our Home's Avigdor Lieberman actually welcome the chaos that might ensue, as it would give Israel a chance to "really crack down on Palestinian terror. Israel also would be freer to advance political plans like Lieberman's proposed cantonization of the West Bank and Gaza Strip, or Elon's transfer of Palestinians to neighboring Arab states. Among Labor politicians, however, there is con- sensus that expelling Arafat would be a huge blun- der. They argue that it is simplistic to personalize the conflict as if the only problem were Arafat, and to claim that if only he would go away the rest of the Palestinians would fall into line. Moreover, Arafat wandering the world would be free to stir up trouble against Israel, while still pulling the strings in the Palestinian territories. The Laborites also make another, more subtle argument: Part of the struggle with the Palestinians, they say, is over images and perceptions. Expelling Arafat and allowing him to play the victim would be a public relations coup for the Palestinians. Finally, they say, even if Arafat is the problem, the only way he can effectively be replaced is through an authentic internal Palestinian process, in which Israel is plainly not involved. Expelling Arafat would defeat the purpose of the exercise: No Palestinian would dare claim the exiled president's mantle, at least while Arafat is still alive. U.S. Is Formulating Drawing lessons from the past, Bush ponders a Mideast initiative. " Few Options Several months ago, in an unusually candid interview, Sharon said he regretted not having killed Arafat 20 years ago when the Palestine Liberation Organization was expelled from Beirut, and that he regretted hav- ing promised President Bush last year that he would not harm the Palestinian leader physically. Realistically, that leaves Sharon only with the option of expulsion. But, as the internal debate in Israel shows, the prime minister is in a Catch-22 situation. What he wants to get rid of is not so much Arafat as Arafat's influence, but any action he takes against Arafat could well backfire and increase the Palestinian leader's sway. ❑ MATTHEW E. BERGER Jewish Telegraphic Agency Washington, D. C. he White House is grappling with one of the oldest problems in modern Middle East peacemaking: how to construct parameters for peace that can withstand the tests of diplomacy and violence. On Monday, President Bush completed an extensive consulta- tion period with Middle East leaders, hosting Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon for the sixth time since taking office, just days after hosting Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak. Appearing with Sharon after their meeting, Bush backed Israel's right to defend itself against Palestinian attacks, and continued his criticism of Palestinian Authority leader Yasser Arafat. He also downplayed expectations of an international peace conference being planned for this summer, say- ing, "The conditions aren't even there yet" and highlighting the need for a much-discussed restructuring of Palestinian institutions. Over the weekend, Bush indicat- ed that he would not bow to Arab pressure on the United States to lay out a firm timeline for the establishment of a Palestinian state. "We are not ready to lay down a specific calendar, except for the fact we need to get started quickly — soon — so that we can seize DEALER ANNOUNCES• SUPER SALE VOLVOS IN STOCK DWYER State Department official said. Since the 1967 Six-Day War changed the borders of the Middle East, American leaders have been crafting peace plans in an attempt to show leadership in the region. Many of the plans shared goals and visions, but none has succeeded in ending President Bush, right, and Israeli Prime the conflict between Israel Minister Ariel Sharon met June 10. and the Palestinians. Analysts say American the moment," Bush said in a news plans don't work mostly because they conference with Mubarak at do not have the support of the par- Camp David on Saturday. ties themselves, and are rejected With consultations with region- either by the leadership of one or the al leaders completed and two U.S. other side or become moot in the envoys back from the Middle wake of a violent backlash. East, the next few weeks are Analysts say that, aside from the expected to be consumed with Oslo process, plans also failed internal White House debate over because they didn't have the full the contours of a Middle East weight of U.S. pressure and diplo- peace initiative. macy behind them. At the heart of the debate, administration officials say, will be how to restore negotiations Divided Goals between Israel and the Palestinians, "The United States has never and whether Arafat should be committed itself, with the excep- afforded a place at the table. tion of Camp David, to a serious The details will be the crux of pursuit of a peace plan," said the internal debate. The broad Henry Siegman, a senior fellow at strokes of a final solution already have been laid out, analysts say, in the Council on Foreign Relations. President Bill Clinton was the Secretary of State Colin Powell's only American leader to show true speech in Louisville, Ky., last commitment to Middle East peace, November, and in Bush's Rose Siegman says, and his effort failed Garden address in April. only because of a "terrible mistake" "There will be less of what we want to see at the end of the rain- by the Palestinian leadership in FORMULATING on page 25 bow, and more of the how," a ALL NEW 2002 C70 COUPE IMMEDIATE DELIVERY 39 MONTH LEASE SONS 13 •XC WAGONS •S60s LOW AS MO. "39,000 miles, 20c per mile for overage. 5575.00 refundable security deposit. Plus tax, title & license. 51,645 due at delivery. NISRP 538,150. Offer ends 5/31/02. 6 / 14 2002 23