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and Islamic Jihad, who will continue
to try to wage terror no matter what
— and especially if there seems to be
progress toward a peaceful solution.
But Arafat's own Fatah group, the
Tanzim, has an agenda of its own.
set off a dynamic leading inevitably to
full statehood and the achievement of
other Palestinian national aspirations.
But others on both sides are less
convinced.
Internal Battles
Sharon argues that early statehood
could be seen as reward for violence
and encourage more. And some
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18
Tele ra • h at the Tel-12 Mall
These young men, who grew up
under occupation, are involved in a
power struggle with the older
generation Arafat brought with
him from Tunis, when he
returned to the Palestinian areas
as part of the Oslo agreement in
1994.
THE ISSUE
The men from Tunis are
Iraq is causing nervousness in Israel,
associated with Oslo, and
especially with reports of Iraqi
Tanzim leaders like Marwan
troop movements toward Jordan.
Barghouti challenge them by
And Iraq's role in the war on terror
discrediting Oslo.
is high on U.S. Vice President Dick
The violence they wage
Cheney's agenda during his current
against Israel is a means of
visit to the Middle East.
building their power base on
the Palestinian street and is part
BEE ND THE ISSUE
of an unstated struggle for suc-
cession. What they do if Arafat
Memories of the 1991 Iraqi Scud
signs onto a cease-fire will be
missile attacks remain fresh in the
crucial.
minds of many Israelis. Most
For Sharon, the problems are
Israelis, though, believe that Iraq
equally complex. The more the
must be dealt with, both for its
forces under Arafat, like the
support of terrorism and to thwart
Tanzim, are involved in terror,
its quest for weapons of mass
the more Sharon strikes at
destruction and the means to
Arafat's Palestinian Authority,
deploy them against Israel.
rendering it less able to control
The U.S. and Israel both agree
those forces, especially Tanzim.
there is a connection between terror-
Ostensibly, the defection of
ists with international reach and ter-
the far-right National Unity-
rorist-supporting states, such as Iraq.
Israel Our Home alliance from
Allan Gale, Jewish Community
his government should give
thull of Metropolitan Detroit
Sharon more freedom vis a vis
the Palestinians and open up
new diplomatic avenues.
But in practice, he will still have
Palestinian leaders fear that accepting a
them and the right wing of his own
mini-state on part of the West Bank
Likud breathing down his neck and
and Gaza could take the Palestinian
calling any political concessions he
issue off the international agenda and
makes to the Palestinians a sellout.
leave them with nothing more.
Moreover, the most substantial
So how to square the circle — or
diplomatic move made by the Sharon
circles? How does Sharon convince
government is one that, ironically,
Palestinians they have everything to
Sharon does not approve of. In a writ- gain by talking and nothing by shoot-
ten but as-yet unsigned deal, Foreign
ing? How doe Palestinians convince
Minister Shimon Peres and Abu Alaa,
Israelis that once Palestinian national
the speaker of the Palestinian
aspirations are achieved, the shooting
Parliament, see early Palestinian state-
will stop?
hood as the "engine" that will drive
The situation is too complex and
the whole process forward.
charged for the parties to resolve alone
Peres believes that once the
and it is extremely difficult for third
Palestinians get statehood they will
parties to push the right buttons.
feel that the peace process is moving
But withodt an active, concerned
and determined third party, like the
in a meaningful direction that vio-
lence could subvert. Abu Alaa, whose
Americans, to win confidence, bridge
gaps and underwrite agreements,
real name is Ahmed Karia, believes
that once achieved, the mini-state will
nothing positive will be achieved. ❑
isradinsight.
—
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