INSIDE: A New Mold Of Sports Agent 93 Trying To Embrace Her Heritage 94 Waving Mideast Olive Branch 96 Elyse Essick: "How much risk can you take?" Financial advisers look at the long hau "Nothing happens overnight. We keep telling people that government T-bills have been paying 3.5 percent for the last 75 years. Bonds are pay- ing 5.5 percent, and stocks average 11 percent. And with the help of pro- fessional money managers, you can pick up an extra 2-3 percent," said Jaffa. But Jaffa stresses that investors need to own quality. "You've got to learn how to take advance of the tax laws, and how to take advantage of inflation. Above all, what was good yesterday may not be tomorrow. "There was a time 35-40 years ago that people could buy a stock and put it away in a safety deposit box and that was their future. You can't just do that anymore. You need to have a living plan, you need estate planning. "It is a buying opportunity out there today," said Jaffa. "Remember, negatives often turn out to be posi- tives." Performance ALAN AB RAIvl S Special to the Jewish News D espite market upswings and downswings, David A. Jaffa of Financial Network in Farmington Hills is highly optimistic. He tells investors, "The issue is, what is their age? What is their income? What is their tax bracket? And what are their goals?" "The economy gets sick," says Jaffa, and the economy gets better. People get sick. People get better. And sci- ence marches on.' Coca Cola is not going out of business," he adds. Jaffa believes the key to financial suc- cess is asset allocation, whether you are a large, medium or small investor. "People may have too much in one sec- tor, and not enough in others. They may have too much in growth or need more value. It is a question of becom- ing rebalanced," Jaffa tells clients. "Utilities, financial, energy, phar- maceuticals — they all did well in 2000. But if you were in the Janus Fund, and you were in the technology and growth market, you may have suffered some losses," he concedes. "But nothing has really changed. Ninety-nine percent of the people who come to see us don't know how to manage their money. They want to have fun, they want to travel, and they want to help their children. But what they really need to do is review their portfolio on a regular basis with a professional. Elyse Essick, chief marketing officer of the Munder Group in Birmingham, will remember 2000 for what happened in the technology and Internet markets. "We came to a slow realization that for many of the younger, newer com- panies, earnings expectations were not going to be met. That was the begin- ning of their great fall from grace. Look at the NASDAQ. In addition to the earnings growth slowdown, pro- ductivity gains did not offset cost pressure," she said. This year, the bad news has been coupled with news of layoffs. "It all points to being tougher for compa- nies to be successful in the year ahead. Certainly, they are getting help, based upon the Fed (Federal Reserve Board) being more accom- modating. The Fed is committed to cushioning a slowdown and thus relieVing industrial anxiety," said Essick. She points out that mutual fund cash is at its highest level in two years. That's one reason she believes there is now great pressure on compa- nies to perform. "Selecting has become more impor- tant than it has been in years. No longer can you afford to buy solely on the basis of a good story. Now it is important for companies to be able to deliver the goods," said Essick. She believes there are many viable tech stocks out there that had been out of the average investor's price range for a while. So Essick advises her clients that this is a good time to buy. "The big question you have to answer is how much risk can I really take?" Murray Yolles of Yolles Investment Management Inc. in Southfield has a different perspective. "We have continually reminded our clients that they are saving for retire- ment. Most of them are over 55 and are about to retire or are retired. "So we remind them of the philoso- phy of long-term investing and not to get carried away with short-term," said Yolles, author with his son, Ronald, of the recently published Getting Started on Retirement Investing. "Forecasting what will occur over the next six to 12 months is not a useful thing to try. Every January, the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, Forbes, Money, they all go to the top people around and ask them what their forecast is for the next year. Then in June or July, they decide to see how the forecasters are doing. And their results are all over the place. "That's why we emphasize long- term strategies and diversification. We tell our clients, 'Don't get too down if things are going badly in the market, or get too elated if things are going well," said Yolles. 4/20 2001 91