SPECIAL COMMENTARY Speechless In Ramallah In the simplest sense, Clinton's illary Rodham Clinton's Ramallah gaffe hurt her with Jewish senatorial campaign advis- voters. Jews are 12 to 15 percent of ers had a punch-drunk air the voters in New York, but they play of disbelief about them a bigger role. Conventional wisdom this week as they struggled to absorb says a Democrat needs two- the fallout from their unde- thirds of the Jewish vote to clared candidate's disastrous win statewide office. That's visit in the West Bank town been true for a half-century. of Ramallah last week with Before her Middle East trip Mrs. Yasser Arafat. Clinton was polling just It wasn't enough that Clin- under half. ton sat in polite silence while She needs to vvin over the Palestinian first lady another 20 percent of the delivered a luridly anti-Israel Jewish vote that's diatribe. Afterward, Clinton wavering. That fragment, had to go give Suha Arafat a J.J. GOLDBERG the Jewish swing vote, is not kiss on the cheek, while the Special to solidly Democratic or cameras whirred. New York's vomonm51mioK01.* Republican. It picks candi- the Jewish News tabloids milked it for days, dates in large part over with banner headlines like questions of Jewish safety. "Shame on Hillary" and — When a Palestinian accuses Israel of in a useful bit of advice to Suha poisoning children, those voters expect Arafat's husband — "Muzzle Tov." It a firm reply. "If a politician can't made friend and foe wonder: What defend Jews against blood libels, what was the First Lady thinking? First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton is introduced to Suha Arafat, wife of Palestinian are they there for?" said a senior offi- For the record, campaign aides said leader Yasser Arafat, in. Ramallah last week. cial with a Jewish organization in New it was one big non-event, an excuse York. for yet another round of Clinton- by the fact that her entire campaign Campaign staff were questioning her Clinton already was vulnerable bashing. Their boss, they insisted, had staff had been left behind in New political judgment this week. That among Jewish swing voters because of been genuinely distressed by Suha York. They would have told her to hit won't be easy to rebuild. her 1998 endorsement of Palestinian Arafat's unexpected rant about Israel's back fast and hard. From the outset, Clinton's Senate statehood. Now that she's been cap- supposed use of "poison gas" on Pales- But that argument — she couldn't candidacy has been an experiment. No tured kissing Suha Arafat on tape, to tinian women and children. But as make an intelligent decision because First Lady ever ran for office from the be rerun endlessly next year. Clinton is First Lady, Clinton had to restrain she had the wrong advisers — simply White House before. Nobody knows in real trouble. herself so as not to undermine the reinforces doubts about Clinton's own what it means or how it works. "She could theoretically make up peace process. She waited a day before political smarts. Critics have warned all year that the difference among minorities or voicing her displeasure, and then "There's always been a question of mixing the two roles would set up women," says pollster Lee Miringoff spoke in measured, diplomatic tones. her political savvy," says one Democ- impossible conflicts, to the detri- of New York's Marist Institute for Surely the voters will applaud her ratic activist with close ties to the ment of both. Clinton's defenders Public Opinion Research. "But right restraint, the aides said. Clinton White House. "There was insisted she could pull it off, because now, she's doing badly across the Privately, though, Clinton's advisers Whitewater and Travelgate. Last she had the political instincts and board." were tearing their hair out. As they month, there was the issue of the cam- skills to navigate that kind of obsta- A year is a long time in politics. studied the landscape, it became clear paign ads she paid for with soft cle course. Giuliani could make a big mistake in the damage was real. True, many vot- money. Now this. The bottom line is, Last week's Middle East trip was the coming months. But few political ers, perhaps even most, may welcome does this woman have a political bone the first laboratory test. The results insiders expect it — at least not on the Clinton's diplomatic restraint. But in her body?" seem clear-cut. Candidacy and First Israel issue, Clinton's weak point right some won't, and they could be numer- So shaken was Clinton's image this Ladyhood don't mix. now. Hawkish Jews have been one of ous enough to hand the election to week that some of her closest advisers If Clinton hadn't been First Lady, Giuliani's strongest support bases since Clinton's Republican rival, New York were reduced to defending her candi- she wouldn't have had to meet with he entered electoral politics. Mayor Rudy Giuliani. At the very dacy on the grounds that she's a Suha Arafat, a loose cannon who He's still remembered for throwing least, she's given her foes a potent Democrat. regularly embarrasses Palestinian Yasser Arafat out of a United Nations' weapon to use against her over the "There are real differences between leaders and feuds publicly with her 50th anniversary gala in 1995. His coming year. the parties, and it makes a difference husband. On the other hand, if tough-guy persona perfectly matches "It was a great week for the Hillary- whether Jesse Helms or Joe Biden Clinton hadn't been a candidate, her the fearful mood of Jewish swing vot- bashers," said one senior campaign chairs the Senate Foreign Relations being ambushed by Arafat wouldn't ers. adviser. "But the election is still a year Committee," said one well-known have been nearly as dramatic or Beyond numbers, though, it's likely away. This was a lesson. Hopefully, Clinton adviser this week. "I think the newsworthy. A First Lady can dust the most serious fallout from the she'll learn it." country as a whole has a stake in herself off and move on. A candidate Ramallah gaffe will be among Clin- But maybe she won't. that." has to prove her mettle. ton's own core supporters: Democratic A strong argument if you're a Most important, aides say, if Clin- loyalists and liberal activists. By letting Democrat. But, as another campaign ton hadn't been First Lady she would- herself get caught on stage during an J.J. Goldberg is a national columnist adviser said, "If that's the argument n't have had to follow the advice of anti-Semitic-sounding tirade, and then and author on Jewish issues. His column we're presenting at this stage in the White House national security aides failing to respond for a full day, Clin- appears monthly in the Jewish News. He campaign, we're in bigger trouble than and refrain from criticizing Arafat to ton damaged her reputation for politi- can be reached via e-mail at P1 I thought." her face. She was hobbled, staffers say, cal savvy. Even members of her own jjg@compuserve.com H 0.7f/C•e&?& 11/19 1999 34