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Anxiety Attack

The showdown with Saddam leaves many
unanswered questions.

DR. KENNETH W. STEIN
Special to The Jewish News

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renegades, to punish regional viola-
tors. And it continues to rely upon
western norms of enforcement and
particularly American military
strength. An editor of Cairo's most
prestigious newspaper, al Ahram, said
that during this crisis, "The Arab
world became almost completely para-
lyzed ... Arab reactions are difficult to
understand and are vague. You just do
not know whether they support a
strike on Iraq, are against it, or just
have reservations."
Absolute unity was expressed with
the intense feeling that while the Arab
world (read: Saddam Hussein) is
forced to adhere stringently to U.N.
resolutions, the same standard is not
applied to Israel. Most vociferous were
Arab leaders, columnists and editorial
writers.

Vill ho won last month's
Iraqi-U.S. standoff?
No one. Everyone.
Choose some, all, or
none. Israel? The United States? Iraq?
Arab countries?
While no consensus emerged from
the Arab or Israeli press, commentary
was dotted with domestic self-doubt
and fear. It seems the region is groping
for a rudder and a compass; it might
not like it, but American rule(s) pre-
vail.
In late February, an editorial in the
pro-Saudi London paper Asharg al-
Awsat declared, "...the U.S. won
because Baghdad backed down on the
arms inspections issue, the Iraqi
regime won because it averted [a]
blitz that the Americans were
seriously planning for reasons
that go beyond the inspections
issue, the U.N. won because it
fulfilled its mission of promoting
peace, and the Arab world won
because it spared the Iraqi people
further suffering through a war
which [Arab] public opinion
fiercely opposed."
Had the writer been fully
objective, he would have said
Saddam Hussein: Arab fears or point man?
Israel won because she was not
attacked.
In response, veteran Israeli journal-
No winners, no losers. But many
ist Zeev Schiff wrote in Ha'aretz that
unanswered questions: Will Saddam
Israel and Iraq were not remotely anal-
Hussein adhere to the renewed U.N.
ogous. Israel possesses no track record
sanctions? Will Americans die enforc-
of using biological and chemical
ing the U.N. brokered agreement?
weapons
against its inhabitants nor is
And will Israel be hit by chemical or
there
any
evidence that Israel ever set
biological weapons?
out to eradicate a neighboring state.
Whether Saddam is in power or
Arab leaders were revealing their
not, geology and geography make Iraq
deep-seated inability to "make" Israel
and the Persian Gulf region one of the
world's most coveted economic zones. - do what they wanted — namely to
voluntarily relinquish her nuclear
Until there is a viable alternative to oil
option, withdraw from all the territo-
as a relatively cheap energy, Mideast
politics will shape the economic health ries, and give the Palestinians their
state.
of our planet.
Without a military option, the
But the Arab political world lacks
Arab world strongly prefers that the
the capacity or will to manage its own
international community force conces-
Dr. Kenneth W. Stein is a professor of
sions upon Israel. Meanwhile, Arab
Middle Eastern history and political sci-
leaders are frustrated by the lack of
ence at Emory University in Atlanta.

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