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Saddam may be a gambler, but not a
reckless one."
Thus spake the optimists. The
more pessimistic analysts were worried
that Saddam had become what one of
them, Ron Ben-Ishai, termed "an icon
of heroism and steadfastness that the
Arab world can rally round." Saddam,
they argued, had won a UN seal of
legitimacy by forcing Kofi Annan to
come knocking on his door, while
simultaneously dividing the United
States from Russia, France and its
Arab coalition partners of the 1991
Gulf War.
"Over the next few weeks," Hemi
Shalev wrote in Ma'ariv, "the Israeli
Government will have to deal with the
increasing awareness that the Ameri-
can Administration's position has been
weakened in the region. That damage
was caused by what the Arabs portray
with considerable success as an Ameri-
can double standard towards Israel
and Iraq."
Arab affairs experts here are reluc-
tant to dismiss this complaint as one
more propaganda ploy. Even moderate
Arab rulers, they insist, are disappoint-
ed by the Administration's failure to
press Israel to comply with its com-
mitments to the Palestinians. Anti-
American and anti-Israel demonstra-
tions in Jordan, Egypt, the Palestinian
territories and north Africa reflect gen-
uine popular resentment.
Whether the administration will
respond now by twisting Israel's arm
remains as open a question in
Jerusalem as it does in Washington.
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu,'
launched a pre-emptive strike by call-
ing for direct negotiations between
himself and Yassir Arafat in the seclu-
sion of Camp David.
Till then, while at least one com-
mentator consoled himself that at least
Israel's peace partners — King Hus-
sein of Jordan, President Hosni
Mubarak of Egypt and the Palestinian
leader — emerged unscathed from the
confrontation, other analysts here were
troubled at the signal beamed to more
hostile Arab rulers by the Israeli pub-
lic's jumpy reaction during the recent
saber-rattling.
"The Government sends the people
running from gas mask distribution
points to the plastic sheeting store and
from there, maybe, to the pharmacy
for antibiotics," wrote Ron Ben-Ishai
in Yediot Aharonot. "It doesn't matter

that only a third of the public are hys-
terical. Syria, Iran, Iraq and Libya
know now what will bring us to our

knees." [I

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in our Classified Section

I

2/27
1998 ,

49

