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Yitzhak Kaul is leaving Israel's telephone company
after leading it through the turbulent waters of
privatization, competition and globalization.
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n 1984, when, I first inter-
viewed Yitzhak Kaul, then an
Israel Communications Min-
istry deputy director-general
finalizing details for the estab-
lishment of Bezeq, Israelis wait-
ed about a decade for a new
telephone line, faced annoying
busy signals while dialing from
Jerusalem to Tel Aviv, and reg-
ularly received erroneous bills for
service that included discon-
nected calls and interference on
the line.
Now — as Mr. Kaul prepares
to leave Bezeq (in April) after
having led it for six years — I
called 199 and ordered an
additional phone line for my
computer modem, taking advan-
tage of the half-price Chanukah
sale.
An operator informed me in-
stantly of my new number, and
suggested the technicians would
I
Apy
WERE FIGHTING FOR TOUR LIFE
LL
You Rang?
JUDY SIEGEL-ITZKOVICH SPECIAL TO THE JEWISH NEWS
1,1011EY
MARKET*
Cr)
depending on which years you're months — already, which is an,
looking at.
unusually long period.
"And if that slowed down to
"People begin to feel, well,
virtually zero, where do you go maybe the business cycle is
from there? What replaces it? gone, its dead. That's not true.
And if nothing comes along to re- But there's going to be another
place it, the economy behaves recession coming sooner or lat-
very differently."
er. How soon, no one knows. We
Dr. Mordechai E. Kreinin of all hope and expect that its not
Michigan State University's De- going to happen this year. But
partment of Economics in East at some point, it will happen."
Lansing, follows a different pro-
The office of Allen C. Good-
cedure in making his forecasts. man, currently on sabbatical as,--'
"The method I use very often chairman
chairman of the Economics De-
is to ask the following question: partment at Wayne State Uni-
Is there any reason to expect a versity, appropriately is close to
very substantial change from the Fisher and General Motors
current conditions? And we all buildings. Dr. Goodman is an ad-
know what the current condi- vocate of the theory that what
tions are, that's what existed a happens economically national-
quarter (three months) ago.
ly affects what goes on in south-
"You don't come up with pre- east Michigan. "If the national
cise forecasts, and the forecasts economy grows, it will have an
are not really inevitably precise impact effect on our region," says
anyway, but you come up with Dr. Goodman. "And for the Mid-
an assessment. There is still a west and southeast Michigan,
very large element of judgement. the significant factor is the pre-
Things can change for unex- ponderance of manufacturing.
pected reasons."
"In a certain gross way, from
Both Dr. Kreinin and Dr. Hy- quarter to quarter, one can pre-
mans agree that economic con- dict pretty accurately what the
ditions are good, and that the measures will be," he says. "But
economy is doing well. "That's really, we're better at predict-
obviously why the president got ing what happened already.
re-elected," says Dr. Kreinin.
"It is fairly sensible to predict--\
"It's doing well on both the un- that Michigan's economy will be
employment front and on the in- related in a large part to auto-
flation front."
motive and automotive-related
But he cautions this does not industries. And as they are cycli-
mean that we've solved the busi- cal, so will the Michigan econo-
ness cycle problem. "This par- my be cyclical.
ticular expansion that we're in
"How big these cycles will be
now has lasted since 1991, so - is anybody's guess." ❑
were talking five years — 60
(810) 738-6554
2380 Orchard Lake Road
just E of Loading Dock Plaza, Sylvan Lake
call me at work one hour before
the scheduled appointment, so I
could get home and open the door
without wasting time waiting
around the house.
They did as promised, installed
the line efficiently, and when they
heard I knew 'Yitzhak Kaul, said
how much they would miss him.,±
Mr. Kaul's departure from
semi-privatized Bezeq to join the
private sector as managing di-
rector of the Clal-Israel holding
company has caused many peo-
ple to reflect on the scope, depth
and meaning of Israel's telecom
revolution, where he has played
a pivotal role. Under his direc-
tion, Bezeq transformed from an
infamously ill-equipped and clis- c—/
organized telecom provider into
a service-oriented, high-tech com-
pany prepared to fight for cus-
tomers in an increasingly
competitive environment.