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The presidential campaign of
Sen. Bob Dole (R-Kans.), has ben-
efited handsomely from the re-
cent budget standoff. And that's
good news for Jewish Republi-
cans, who have lined up strong-
ly behind the GOP front-runner.
Recent polls show Mr. Dole
surging ahead of President Bill
Clinton — even though more
Americans blame congressional
Republicans for the ugly budget
spectacle than the President.
The reason? Mr. Dole's forth-
right statement last week telling
his colleagues that it was time to
end the disruptive government
shutdown was part of the an-
swer, said presidential prognos-
ticator Allan J. Lichtman, a
professor at American Universi-
ty in Washington.
"He came out of this looking
pretty good," he said. "Over time,
the budget standoff eroded sup-
port for the President."
Mr. Dole's surprising rise in
the polls, he said, "changes the
dynamics of the Republican race;
it undercuts the argument by his
opponents that Dole isn't able to
beat Clinton."
But more important, he said,
is the fact that "support for both
Clinton and Dole is very soft; the
polls are likely to bounce up and
down quite a bit in the next few
months."
All of that is good news for
Jewish Republicans, he said, who
"don't have any other attractive
choices in this race."
Budget Crisis
Update
OFF
ALL SEASONAL
SHOES &B0015
News For Jewish
Republicans
WE'RE FIGHTING FOR YOUR LIFE
the Republican-led Congress fail
to hammer out an agreement in
the next few weeks, the govern-
ment could be funded by a series
of continuing resolutions that will
result in across-the-board budget
cuts that could have an even
more devastating impact on so-
cial programs than targeted cuts.
Either way, the strain is certain
to increase on a wide range of Jew-
ish social service programs that
are already bracing for big cuts.
"We've entered into the Re-
publican reality with this agree-
ment," said Diana Aviv,
Washington director for the
Council of Jewish Federations.
"The Republican vision, as set
forth in the Contract with Amer-
ica, is now becoming the reality
we have to deal with."
Ms. Aviv cautioned that last
week's agreement was just the
beginning of a new round of ne-
gotiations based on the Republi-
can outline for deficit reduction.
"This agreement signals a new
and more ominous dimension to
the budget fight," said a Wash-
ington-based activist for another
Jewish organization. "The basic
premises that the administration
accepted —balancing the budget
in seven years, tax cuts and keep-
ing social security and defense
untouchable — means that our
community organizations that
provide such vital services are go-
ing to be even more hard pressed
than we imagined. For a lot of us,
the news keeps getting worse and
worse."
Eizenstat Returns
To Washington
Stuart Eizenstat, a leading Jew-
ish activist and early supporter
of President Bill Clinton, is corn-
Although some quarter-million ing back to Washington as Un-
government workers were eager dersecretary of Commerce for
to return to work after a three- International Trade.
Mr. Eizenstat, who served as
week furlough, the massive
snowstorm that paralyzed the domestic policy adviser to Pres-
capital resulted in another fed- ident Jimmy Carter, is current-
ly American ambassador to the
eral shutdown.
But the Blizzard of 1996 didn't European Union, a post that has
cool down an overheated budget earned him widespread praise
debate that will not end with the and a new expertise in the area
President's grudging acceptance of international trade.
The move to Commerce might
of the GOP timetable for balanc-
seem like a curious career choice
ing the budget.
The administration's budget for the politically astute Mr.
plan calls for big cuts in Medic- Eizenstat, given the fact that
aid, Medicare, and assorted wel- Commerce is slated for demoli-
fare programs that are still tion by the wrecking crew in Con-
significantly lower than the re- gress.
But Mr. Eizenstat, who helped
ductions favored by congression-
organize
Jewish support for Clin-
al Republicans. And the Clinton
plan would cut taxes by $87 bil- ton during the early primaries in
lion, compared to the $245 billion 1992, could be in line for a bigger
cut proposed by the Republicans. job in a second Clinton adminis-
But those cuts are all based on tration; a return to Washington
the most optimistic projections could keep him in the field of view
about how changing federal pol- of the administration officials
icy will stimulate the economy; who will make staffing decisions
the real cuts, Jewish activists in the next year.
And it will give him a chance c=-<
worry, could be significantly
to
play a role in the Clinton re-
worse.
And if the administration and election effort.