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SUNSHINE
STATE

'On

After four second-place Super Bowls
Thurman Thomas is out for blood

Russian immigrants in front of a caravan in the Bet Shean Valley.

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The Russian Card

Russian immigrants in Israel may hold the key to
the 1996 elections.

LARRY DERFNER ISRAEL CORRESPONDENT

L

abor Party leaders are start-
ing to worry aloud that if the
government doesn't start
keeping some of its cam-
paign promises to the poor, the
poor will turn it out of office in
1996 just like they turned otAt the
Likud in 1992. They warn that
something must be done for the
Russian immigrants, and for the
Sephardim in the inner cities and
development towns. The govern-
ment has to help these people get
better housing, jobs, schools and
— for those who need it — more
welfare.
Does this sound familiar? It
shouldn't. The current political
state of affairs in Israel is the op-
posite of how things are in Newt
Gingrich's America. There, the
middle-class voter is king, and
wants the government to disap-
pear. In Israel, the most feared
voter is either unemployed or is
one of the working poor. These
are the sort of people whose dis-
content decides elections — and
who wants the government to do
more, not less.
After the GOP landslide, the
pressure on Bill Clinton is to
move right. For Yitzhak Rabin,
the advice from allies and media
commentators is that in domes-
tic matters, he must move left.
In a mid-November survey, Dr.
Mina Tsemach, Israel's leading
public opinion pollster, found that
while Mr. Rabin remains slight-
ly more popular than Likud
leader Binyamin Netanyahu, the
Labor-Meretz government has
fallen badly out of favor. If elec-
tions were held now, the right-
wing and religious parties could
easily assume power, the poll de-
termined.
Much of the voter turnaround
has to be attributed to the con-
tinuing terrorist attacks, and the
feeling — especially since the
Palestinian bloodbath in Gaza —
that one can hardly say the words

"peace process" with a straight
face, anymore. But this govern-
ment promised more than a
chance at peace: It also promised
the roughly 12 percent of the pop-
ulation that lives in poverty the
chance to live decent, middle-
class lives. Russians and many
poor Sephardim responded to this
offer and put Mr. Rabin in pow-
er. Now Labor and Welfare Min-
ister Ora Namir characterizes the
Rabin administration as a "gov-
ernment of the rich," and the poor
are looking to get even.
"We feel lied to and cheated,"
said Dov Kontorer, a columnist
for Vesti, the largest of Israel's
Russian-language newspapers.
The U.S. loan guarantees weren't

The pressure on
Clinton is to move
right. The pressure
on Rabin is to
move left.

used to help the immigrants,

most of whom work in low-level
jobs. And on the whole, noted Mr.
Kontorer, they can't afford to pur-
chase apartments in areas where
there are jobs.
In addition, he said, they are
angered by recent statements
from government ministers, such
as Ms. Namir's claims that many
Russian families are beset with
incest. In the last election, the
Russian vote was worth about
four Knesset seat§ to Labor. It is
considered the chief reason why
Mr. Rabin won. Today, after more
than 500,000 Russian immi-
grants have arrived since 1989,
they are worth about 11 seats. By
November 1996, they will count
for even more.
"The overwhelming majority
of the new immigrants won't vote

