IF YOU KEEP
CLIMBING THE HILL,
YOU'LL NEVER
GO OVER IT.

Ripple From
The Poll. Booths

The GOP victory is shaking up Middle Eastern —
as well as American — politics.

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LARRY DERFNER ISRAEL CORRESPONDENT

I

n Israel, the concern over the
Republican takeover of Con-
gress is not so much about the
$3 billion in yearly U.S. aid,
but rather over the effect it will
have on the peace process.
The rise to power of tight-fist-
ed, isolationist Republicans —
many of whom seem closer to
Likud than to Labor on the peace
process — along with the weak-
ening of the Clinton administra-
tion and the evidence that Middle
East peace means little if any-
thing to American voters, has at
least some Israeli policymakers
worried.

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spokesman said the document,
which was leaked to the Israeli
daily Ha'aretz, does not neces-
sarily reflect the views of Foreign
Minister Shimon Peres.)
Finance Minister Avraham
Shochat was confident that
America's annual $3 billion in aid
to Israel was safe. But he sound-
ed less confident about what
might happen to Israel's Arab
partners in the peace process.
"As soon as there is no invest-
ment and no rise in their stan-
dard of living," he said,
"Palestinians and citizens of Arab
countries will feel like the peace

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In a position paper analyzing
the election's meaning for Israel,
the Foreign Ministry's strategic
planning unit wrote: "The Re-
publicans are supporters of Is-
rael, but they are likely to oppose
Clinton's foreign policy initia-
tives, ironically out of what they
would view as concern for Israel's .
interests. They will oppose, for
instance, sending soldiers to the
Golan Heights."
The planning unit concluded
that not only can Israel expect
a harder time getting American
aid to "offset the risks of peace"
— such as peacekeepers and
high-tech, high-priced defense
equipment in exchange for with-
drawal from the Golan — but
presidential promises of the
"fruits of peace" to the Arab world
are now also in doubt. And "new
clients," such as Jordan, Syria
and Lebanon, will compete for
less U.S. aid.
And, continued the position
paper, Mr. Clinton's promises of
assistance to Jordan and start-
up funds for a Middle East de-
velopment bank are now in
doubt.
Ministry
Foreign
(A

N
'11111111m,4741PAP

process isn't giving them any-
thing."
If the Arabs grow sufficiently
disappointed, he added, "the
whole peace process will be in
doubt" — and the combination of
disappointment and poverty will
play into the hands of Islamic ter-
rorists.
After Sen. Jesse Helms, the in-
coming chairman of the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee,
stressed his determination to cut
American spending in the Mid-
dle East and declared that Syri-
an President Hafez al-Assad
wasn't interested in peace, Israeli
Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin
reportedly told his Cabinet that
the election had changed Amer-
ica's political character in ways
"that are important for us. ... [The
U.S.] will be more conservative
and isolationist, less socialistic,
less of a welfare state, less [in-
clined to give] foreign aid."
One would think that Likud
leader Binyamin Netanyahu
would be overjoyed by the new
Congress. But he said he was
"neither happy nor unhappy"
with the Republican victory and

POLL BOOTH page 52