and that their "military
clout is diminished."
Mr. Pipes said even
Russia's formerly close ties
to Syria are now history.
"Syria was part of a net-
work" including military
and intelligence ties to
Russia, Mr. Pipes said. "It's
not there now."
Both Mr. Pipes and Adam
Garfinkle, director of the
Middle East Council at the
Foreign Policy Research In-
stitute in Philadelphia, said
they doubted Russia would
continue to devote this
relatively high level of at-
tention to the Middle East.
Russia's actions in the
Middle East were a result of
"pique" over perceptions
that the United States was
ignoring Russia and not
taking it seriously as a world
power, Mr. Garfinkle said.
In addition, Mr. Garfinkle
said, within the Russian
government there are old-
style bureaucrats who would
be pushing to regain
Russia's former relationship
with Arab countries as a
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Even Russia's
formerly close ties
with Syria are now
history.
major arms supplier. This
could be another factor in
Russia's activities.
Mr. Haass of the Carnegie
Endowment said the Rus-
sian moves were "largely a
function and a reaction to
domestic (Russian) pressures
and a desire to be seen as an
independent great power."
It is not clear yet whether
the Russians want to play a
role in the Middle East in
order to increase their inter-
national prestige or whether
they seek "to recreate the
bipolarism of the Cold War
days," said Robert Satloff of
the Washington Institute for
Near East Policy.
He cautioned that the Rus-
sians may see an increased
role in the Middle East as a
golden opportunity to par-
ticipate in a peacekeeping
force on the Golan Heights,
if the Israeli-Syrian negotia-
tions make progress.
Mr. Satloff said this is
"one of the issues we have to
be careful about. Where does
constructive participation
end and self-aggrandizement
begin?"
Mr. Rabin and Palestine
Liberation Organization
Chairman Yassir Arafat
were planning to visit
Moscow next month, he
said. 0
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