U.S. Wary Of Russia
In Middle East Role
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Washington (JTA) — New
diplomatic activity from the
Russians has become the
latest wild card thrown into
the already volatile world of
the Middle East peace pro-
cess.
Russia, long an almost-
invisible co-sponsor of the
peace process, jumped into
the fray in recent weeks,
taking the United States
and some in the pro-Israel
community by surprise.
In the midst of U.S. efforts
to get the peace process back
on track in the wake of the
Feb. 25 murders at the
Hebron mosque, Russian
Foreign Minister Andrei
Kozyrev recently turned up
in the Middle East to discuss
the peace process with the
Israelis and the Palestin-
ians.
And Russia recently called
for a so-called "Madrid II"
international conference on
the Middle East.
The U.S. government re-
sponded to these activities
with a reaction that was
tepid at best.
The Russians "are a co-
sponsor of the Middle East
peace talks, and therefore,
have a right to have their
say," President Clinton said
at a joint news conference
with visiting Israeli Prime
Minister Yitzhak Rabin.
"I think it is very impor-
tant, however," Mr. Clinton
continued, "that as a co-
sponsor, insofar as possible,
that we coordinate our ac-
tions together and that
anything they do is not seen
as an obstacle to peace, but
facilitates it."
The president took a wait-
and-see attitude toward
future Russian involvement
in the Middle East, saying
that whether the Russians
were a "positive force"
would be "revealed by their
own conduct in the days and
weeks ahead."
At a press briefing during
this week's American Israel
Public Affairs Committee
policy conference, AIPAC
President Steve Grossman
offered few specifics in re-
sponse to a question about
the new Russian in-
volvement.
Mr. Grossman said that
the Russian involvement
was "a fairly recent devel-
opment" and that AIPAC of-
ficials had not discussed it in
their contacts with the Clin-
ton administration.
Itamar Rabinovich, the
Israeli ambassador in Wash-
ington, told the AIPAC con-
ference that "we very much
hope that the Russians will
fully coordinate their moves
with Washington."
Middle East analysts
differed on what they saw as
the reasons behind — and
the importance of — this
new Russian initiative.
The Russian moves in the
Middle East coincided with
increased Russian diplo-
matic activity on other
fronts, including Bosnia.
In his remarks, Mr. Clin-
ton spoke positively of Rus-
sian cooperation in working
toward a resolution of the
Steve Grossman:
Involvement is recent.
continuing conflict in
Bosnia.
During the Cold War, the
Middle East was an impor-
tant East- West battlefield,
with the Soviet Union back-
ing and funding various
Arab countries, including
Syria.
But since the fall of the
Soviet Union, the Russians
have not played a major role
in the region and have left
most of the diplomatic work
to the United States, the
other co-sponsor of the Mid-
dle East peace process.
"When the Middle East
moved toward peace, their
influence waned," Richard
Haass, an analyst at the
Carnegie Endowment, said
of the Russians.
Russian influence "was all
on one side," especially with
"radical" elements, added
Haass, who served as a Mid-
dle East specialist in the
Bush administration.
Most analysts, like Daniel
Pipes, a Philadelphia-based
Middle East expert, said the
Russian initiative was not
serious as far as the Middle
East was concerned.
"It's hard to take it very
seriously," Mr. Pipes said,
adding that the Russians
have "no influence over im-
portant states" in the region