12 MONTH CERTIFICATE
few hundred cadets have gone
through it.
While most of the police force
will come from "outside" —
meaning the PLA— others will
come from "inside" — meaning
from a host of factions within
the territories. These include
the Fatah Hawks, the terror
arm of the PLO's mainstream
Fatah faction in Gaza and the
West Bank; the Shabiba, Fa-
tah's "youth movement," which
dominated the ranks of the
stone and petrol-bomb throw-
ers in the early days of the in-
tifada; and various fighters who
have or will be returning from
prison or expulsion.
With all the disputes inside
the PLO, and all the unfinished,
or still to be begun, business of
setting up the police force, the
PLO official in east Jerusalem
dismisses any notion of a pow-
er struggle arising within the
ranks, insisting that they all
will be loyal to Yassir Arafat.
Ariel Merari, an expert on
terrorism at Tel Aviv Universi-
Most Palestinian
police will come
from the ranks of
the Palestinian
Liberation army.
ty, agrees. The most visible re-
cent break in the ranks, in
which some Fatah Hawks have
rebelled against Chairman
Arafat and have resumed at-
tacking Israeli soldiers, repre-
sent "renegade elements, acting
against the command of the Fa-
tah headquarters," Mr. Merari
says.
Mr. Teitelbaum is not so
sure, however. 'The problem of
what to do about Hamas is a
long-term issue. The first prob-
lem will be within Fatah itself,
when they set up shop," he says.
"A whole new level of Fatah is
coming out of the woodwork.
Those who have been in prison
or underground, the ex-Shabi-
ba types, they look at Arafat as
a nice symbol and a great old
guy, but to let him run the
show? No way."
What to do about Hamas? —
the most vexing question of all.
They, and the Islamic Jihad,
are sworn to step up the killings
of Israeli civilians and soldiers,
in the territories and out, in or-
der to stop the peace process
and because it is central to their
doctrine.
The PLO now has an agree-
ment with Hamas and Islamic
Jihad to settle all differences
peacefully, Mr. Merari points
out. And while PLO officials say
they are confident they can •
"convince" the Islamic funda-
mentalists to throw in with the
autonomy, and forswear attacks
on Israelis, none of them are
ready to talk about using force
against their rivals. "They are
Palestinians," one PLO official
notes.
But once the new regime is
in command, "I think the gloves
will be taken off," Mr. Merari
predicts. The Fatah forces who
will control the police force have
the power to subdue any ene-
mies in the Palestinian camp,
and will be motivated to do so
because if they allow terrorists
from Hamas or any other group
to run riot on Israelis after au-
tonomy begins, they stand to
see Israel call a halt to the peace
process and end the Palestini-
ans' dream of a state, he says.
However, Shlomo Gazit, for-
mer head of Israeli military in-
telligence, argues that the
Palestinian police will not be
able to crack down on Hamas.
Autonomy is "doomed to failure
if the Palestinian population
looks at the new leadership as
quislings," he argues. The only
way it can work, Gen. Gazit be-
lieves, is if the Islamic terror-
ists voluntarily throw down
their arms, upon realizing that
there is a state to be gained,
that they can never conquer all
of Israel, and upon receiving
stacks of money from the PLO
to build up their religious insti-
tutions.
How the Israeli army will fig-
ure in the protection of settlers
has not been agreed upon by the
negotiators. Where the army
will deploy outside the settle-
ments and on roads traveled by
settlers, and whether soldier s
will be able to pursue Palestin-
ian attackers into the refugee
camps and cities — these cm-
cial matters remain in dispute.
What is understood is that Is-
rael will be pulling its forces —
and, most importantly, the Shin
Bet — out of the midst of the
Palestinian population. Shin
Bet intelligence-gathering on
the Palestinian street has been
the key to Israel's ability to
catch terrorists, and this
weapon will be gone.
In a recent interview with the
Yediot Ahronot daily, Lt. Gen.
Ehud Barak, Israeli military
chief of staff, said: "It is clear
that if there is an agreement,
we will not be roving around
(Gaza refugee camps) Shati and
Jebalia as in the past.
"This reality will be difficult
for us. If the Palestinian police
do not deal effectively with ter-
rorist elements, the attackers
will have freedom of movement
up to the roads. Therefore, it's
good that this experiment is
taking place in Gaza, where the
Jewish settlements are bunched
together. But, precisely because
this is not going to be easy, it is
important that things be clear
to both sides."
But at this point, things
are anthing but clear to both
sides. ❑
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