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The figure is double the percentage it was in the 1960s, when a col- lege degree virtually guaranteed a decent job, said David Hecker, an economist with the U.S. Department of Labor. "What we are seeing in 1993 is a recession on top of a long-term sur- plus of graduates," Mr. Hecker said. "Clearly the message is that a college degree in itself is no longer a guarantee. But without it, you can't be in the competition. "These days, even now that the recession is over, you still have to really sell yourself to get a first job," Mr. Hecker said. "Things will improve, but the situa- tion is unlikely to improve to the point where there is a job for every college graduate." Baby boomers have grown up, and many are walking away with lucrative early retire- ment packages from big corporations. But the jobs - mostly those in middle management - are not being filled as corporate America con- tinues the massive downsizing that began two years ago. "The issue is not so much whether or not they will get jobs," said Nurenberg, executive director for Jewish Vocational Service in Southfield. "We are talking about dreams. They just may not get their dream jobs right off the bat. "There is a lot to be said for education," Ms. Nurenberg said. "But if you go through college without concentrating on employability, you may be in for a rude awaken- ing. "If you can combine your education with skills that are mar- ketable, the probability of securing your dream job is much greater," she said. JVS keeps no statistics on the numbers of recent college graduates who use the service for career guidance and placement. But staffers have noticed some trends. "We are seeing those who graduated last year and still don't have the jobs they had hoped for," said Rosemary Doyle, Barbara "We are seeing those who graduated last year and still don't have the jobs." JVS supervisor of career development."Some graduates are too gener- al in what they want to do, and others are too focused. Competition is just tough." Placement counselors said those entering col- lege must begin getting on-the-job experience while still in school, opening doors for future jobs. They should pay better attention to shifts in the labor market, and they must take advan- tage of networking, internships and the cor- porate back-door routes. "In the past, experi- ence was nice," Ms. Nurenberg said. "Now it is a necessity." Dawn Oberman, a sta- tistical services special- ist with the College Placement Council in Bethlehem, Pa., said choices today for the col- lege graduate are limit- ed. Students have to work harder to find that first job, she said. They can no longer depend upon the recruiters, who planned to visit 11 per- cent fewer schools this past year. "We are seeing that eight months after grad- uation, large percent- ages do find employ- ment," Ms. Oberman said. "Students will get jobs. They may not be in the location they want at the salary they had hoped for or at first directly related to their majors. "But this does not mean they will come out of college and flip ham- burgers," Ms. Oberman said. "By having a degree, they still will be one step ahead. This means their lifelong potential is greater for getting into executive positions." Jayson Raitt is more than willing to pay his dues. Last month, he graduated from the University of Michigan with a bachelor's degree in communications. This week, he is moving to California, where he has a place to live. All he needs is a job in film production. Despite the market, he is convinced he will find something. During col- lege, he worked for Walt Disney Pictures on cam- pus as a film promoter. "I have a plan," Mr. Raitt said. "The job mar- ket is tough, but I am confident because I've done a lot of legwork, and I've tried ever since getting out of high school to gain as much experience as I could in the film industry. "I am anxious," he said. "But I will find something." Some of Mr. Raitt's friends are going to law school and medical school in the fall. Some haven't spent much time thinking about their futures. "I should be worried," Mr. Raitt said. "But I have been working hard trying to get in touch with people, and I am willing to start at the very bottom." El