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Jewish Vote
Aided Clinton Victory

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Washington (JTA) — Jewish
Lee Shapiro, director of
Democrats may be small in
media services at Voter
number, but they made a dif-
Research, said her firm's
ference in the presidential
data had been revised to
election of Bill Clinton, ac-
show that Mr. Clinton
cording to an analysis
garnered 80 percent of the
released by the National
Jewish vote, and Mr. Bush j
Jewish Democratic Council.
won 11 percent. The margin
While Jews make up only
of error was 8 percentage
2.4 percent of the U.S.
points, she said.
population, they accounted
She also defended the
for 4 percent of the overall
research group's national
vote in November and up to
Jewish sampling, which has
7 percent of Clinton's vote
been criticized by some for
nationwide, the NJDC said.
being too small to be mean-
Jews accounted for bet-
ingful.
ween 0.9 and 1.1 percent of
"It is big enough to make a
President Bush's national
statement about the way
vote.
(Jews) voted," she said,
Mr. Clinton beat Mr. Bush
though she cautioned it
by 5.5 million votes. With
should not be broken down
Jews casting somewhere
further, by age, income or
between 2.8 million and 3.1
other subgroups.
million votes, Jewish
The Voter Research fin-
Democrats "theoretically
dings were based on a
could be attributed with
nationwide survey of 15,232
providing 50.9 percent to
voters. Of these, 7,730
55.8 percent of his overall
margin of victory," the
NJDC said.
The study found Jewish
Democrats also theoretically
provided the winning
margin for Mr. Clinton in
two key state races, Georgia
and New Jersey.
In New York, Jews ac-
counted for 26 to 29 percent
agreed to reveal their re-
of Mr. Clinton's total votes,
ligion, and 278 of these said
or theoretically 85.6 percent
they were Jewish.
of his margin of victory
NJDC spokesman Lewis
there.
Roth said that his "numbers
The Jewish vote accounted
hold up" under the latest re-
for up to 8.5 percent of Mr.
visions by Voter Research.
Clinton's total vote in Con-
The AJCongress sample
necticut, up to 9.7 percent in
was of 3,076 Jews at more
California, up to 11 percent
than 100 sites in 10 states
in Maryland and up to 10.7
and the District of Colum-
percent of his vote in
bia. Martin Hochbaum,
Massachusetts.
AJCongress director of na-
The NJDC analysis
tional affairs, said the data
"underscores the fact that
were preliminary and that
Jewish Democrats continue
final figures would be
to play a vital role in Dem-
released early next year
ocratic politics far dispropor-
after further evaluation.
tionate to their numbers,"
The study follows a report
said Steve Gutow, the coun-
released by the NJDC short-
cil's executive director.
ly after the election on the
To determine its findings,
grass-roots activism it
the NJDC used polling data
helped generate during the
compiled both by Voter
1992 campaign.
Research and Surveys Inc., a
Mr. Gutow said at the time
consortium used by the
that the 2-year-old council
major media organizations,
had achieved its objective of
and by the American Jewish
strengthening the Dem-
Congress. The two outfits
ocratic Party by "increasing
had slightly different fig-
Jewish grass-roots participa-
ures.
tion in campaigns."
The Voter Research data
The council has 3,500
showed that Jews gave 78
members nationwide and 10
percent of their vote to Clin-
state chapters. It was highly
ton and 12 percent to Bush.
visible throughout the pres-
AJCongress found in its exit
idential campaign, par-
polling a breakdown of 85
ticularly at the Democratic
percent for Mr. Clinton and
national convention.
10 percent for Mr. Bush.

Democrats
provided the
winning margin for
Mr. Clinton in two
key state races.

