- INA FRIEDMAN Israel Correspondent sraeli settlers in the oc- cupied territories seem to I have gotten over the in- itial shock of the national election and are sounding optimistic, albeit tentative. People have begun "to realize that the demon isn't really so terrible," is how Eli ,., evy, secretary of the set- tlement of Elon Moreh, ex- plains the reaction to the election upset. "The mood has mellowed to a kind of `wait-and-see' stance. The fact that Tzomet (the right- wing component of the evolving coalition) will imbably enter the govern- ment has done a lot to assuage fears." Such calm was unexpected in a place like Elon Moreh. Perched high above Nablus (the biblical city of ' Shechem), Elon Moreh is the epitome of what Israel's prime- minister-designate Yitzhak Rabin calls a "political settlement" in the occupied territories. (He has sought to distinguish bet- ! ween "security set- r' tlements," which are of stra- tegic importance to Israel, and "political settlements.") > Elon Moreh is also the very watchword of the set- tlement enterprise in .Samaria (the northern part of the West Bank) and, as such, already a part of Israeli folklore. The name Elon Moreh was first applied > not to a particular site but to the settlement group that defied the first Rabin , ; government, back in July I 1974, by trying to establish itself near the ancient site of Sebastia. That initial at- ' tempt at settlement was thwarted. But when the group tried „again in December 1976, the government permitted it to remain "temporarily" in a nearby army camp. Six mon- ths later, Menachem Begin's Likud government came into power, and the prime- minister-designate made a I Artwork from the Los Angeles Times by Matt Mahurin. Copyright C 1989, Matt Mahurin. Distributed by Los Angeles limes Syndicate. Settling In: A New Reality Even right-wing Jewish settlers are trying to make the best of the Labor victory. beeline to the camp to pro- claim triumphantly that there will be many Jewish settlements in Samaria like Elon Moreh. He was quite right about that. Yet the history of Elon Moreh proper continued to be a turbulent one. In 1979, when 15 families decided to leave the original group and settle closer to Nablus, they were steered to a site expropriated from the villagers of Rujeib, southeast of the city. This time the government was supportive of the move, but the settlers came up against resistance from another source: the Palestinians of Rujeib appealed the ex- propriation order to Israel's High Court of Justice, and won. (This rendering of the drama is pared down to the bare facts, but at the time the court case caused a na- tional sensation.) At first the settlers threatened that, court or no court, they would never leave Rujeib. Tempers cooled, however, and Elon Moreh was soon settled a few miles to the north, on a wind-swept ridge overlook- ing the most exquisite scen- ery in the country. Elon Moreh today bears little resemblance to collec- tion of caravans set down 13 years ago. Its population has grown from 12 to 230 families (1,200 people), in- cluding recent immigrants from the Soviet Union. The vast majority of the settlers are religious Jews, including a unique group of about 250 converts from Peru whose physiognomy clearly attests to their Indian stock but who trace their ancestry to the Marranos. Another promi- nent feature of Elon Moreh is the high proportion of Sephardi Jews there (about half of the population), a un- common feature in most West Bank settlements. Just as the ethnic cast of Elon Moreh's population is The mood in Elon Moreh was far from militant this week. variegated, so is its political affiliation. Almost all of the settlement's 570 voters nat- urally cast their ballots to one of Israel's right-wing parties. But there was a thorough mix among them, with about a fifth going to each of the two lists closely associated with Gush Emunim's philosophy — Hatehiya and the National Religious Party — and the rest spread among the Likud, the Orthodox Shas, and the radical right-wing Moledet. Hatehiya will not be rep- resented at all in the next Knesset. Only Shas has a reasonable chance of enter- ing the coalition, but it lacks a strong stand on the future of the settlements. So the people of Elon Moreh have ample reason to fear that after more than seven fat years, under successive Likud governments, they are about to embark upon lean ones. What concerns the settlers most are two possibilities: that the settlements will be "dried up"by Mr. Rabin's promised change in national priorities; and that autonomy for the Palestin- ians — an early Rabin pledge —will be the first step toward the creation of a Pa- lestinian state. What con- cerns other Israelis is that the settlers may forcibly resist policies not to their liking. Nevertheless, the mood in Elon Moreh was far from militant this week. If anything, the settlers sounded philosophical. After the local rabbi explained to his flock that life is like a maze in which it's sometimes necessary to turn to the left to reach the ultimate goal on the right, people set to looking at the pros as well as the cons of the new situation. "It may turn out for the best that Rabin is forming the government," speculated Asher Vazaneh, the owner of a small grocery, "because he'll be even more afraid to make concessions than Shamir was." "Rabin has promised security and continued ser- vices for all of Israel's citizens," says Pinhas Fuchs, a computer pro- grammer and founding member of the settlement. "That may not be the ideal situation, but neither does it sound like 'drying' us up." Such assessments may be more accurate than their au- thors suspect. Yisrael Harel, a member of the Council of Communities in Judea, Samaria, and Gaza, has pointed out that over the past two years, building starts have been made on some 20,000 units in the ter- ritories, close to a third of which have already been purchased and a fifth of which will be inhabited by the end of the summer. Ac- cording to his arithmetic, that works out to an addition of 100,000 Jewish settlers over the next three years, unless the Labor govern- ment takes steps to prevent it. And as of the latest coali- tion negotiations, no such steps appear to be planned. On the contrary, Labor has reportedly conceded to Tzomet that all contracts signed up to Election Day (June 23) will be honored, so that the 15,000 units cur- rently under construction and all road work in pro- gress will be completed. Thus Mr. Rabin may fulfill his campaign promise to halt the establishment of new "political settlements.", Yet ironic as it sounds, after such a punishing elec- tion campaign and the claims of a "new dawn" in Israel, his government may well finish what Ariel Sha- ron started and go down in history as implementing the policy of the Likud. THE nn-Rorr ,IFWISH NEWS 31 filaMh_VI BACKGROUND