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Fri. 10-8, Sat. 10-5 Sun. 12-4 Z ORIENTAL RUGS < We buy them, sell them, appraise them, clean them repair them and Love them! In-Home & Office Carpet Cleaning (313) 399-2323 OAK PARK OUTLET • 546 - RUGS BIRMINGHAM • 646 - RUGS ANN ARBOR • 973 - RUGS I n physics, momentum is defined as a product of forward motion. But in diplomacy, momentum can mean something less — like a lack of slippage. That definition seems to be the operative one as dele- gates get ready for the four- th round of bilateral Middle East peace talks, scheduled to resume in Washington on Monday. With political factors both here and in Jerusalem dic- tating extreme caution, nobody expects the new round of talks to produce any significant forward move- ment. And with U.S.-Israel rela- tions still in a tailspin, it seems unlikely that the American government will attempt any dramatic moves to break the stalemate. Yet the fact that next week's talks are generating little interest, say some observers, may indicate that the peace process is taking hold. Only, they say, when participants abandon their initial high expectations for the talks and settle down to the long, grueling process of taking small steps toward a settlement will the peace process really begin to work. Nevertheless, the real sub- text to this week's talks will be politics in both Israel and the United States. "I don't thing we're going to see real, substantive negotiations because we're so close to the Israeli elec- tions," said William Quandt, a Middle East specialist with the Brookings Institution in Washington and a former national security aide to President Jimmy Carter. "It's hard to imagine that this is anything more than marking time," he said. "It's not reasonable to expect either side of the negotia- tions to make big moves at this time." Instead, he suggested, this fourth round of talks will again emphasize "ritualism:" Participants will repeat old positions, and continue their efforts to pit- ch them through the Ameri- can media. "It's important not to ex- pect any breakthroughs," Mr. Quandt said. "But it's also very significant that there is unlikely to be any collapse." Administration officials generally accept that analy- sis. Until Israelis vote in June, negotiators will simp- ly be running in place. State Department officials privately acknowledge that Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir is walking a political tightrope as the peace talks reconvene. On one hand, he cannot af- ford to give the impression that his government is at- tempting to sink the peace talks through endless stalemate. At the same time, Until Israelis vote in June, negotiators will simply be running in place. he cannot afford any hints that a new Likud govern- ment might be willing to make the kinds of conces- sions that most parties agree are essential to end the cur- rent stalemate. And with the possibility of a new, more flexible government being installed soon in Jerusalem, Arab delegations have little in- centive to offer new pro- posals that might break the impasse. Israeli politics also figure into the administration's expected response to the new round of talks. Since the beginning of the talks, the Arab delegations and, in particular, the Pales- tinians have worked hard to generate direct American intervention. The State Department has resisted this pressure. At the end of the last Tound of talks, Secretary of State James Baker sent a clear signal that American intervention would not be forthcoming when he said Palestinians were "posturing" instead of nego- tiating. But this time, the uncer- tain Israeli political situa- tion will make the ad- ministration even more wary about intervening in the talks. "The administration has decided to put the Arab- Israeli issue in the icebox until after the Israeli elec-