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855-3400
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2109 N. Woodward
543.4046
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31205 Grand River
476-0730
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(E. of Telegraph)
353-1500
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The Claymoor
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357.5550
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544-7365
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On Telegraph of the Te1•12 Moll. Southfield
354.3300
Jerusalem (JTA) — While
the Jewish Agency for Israel
is making preparations to
handle as many as 80,000 to
100,000 immigrants a mon-
th in 1992, it does not expect
an aliyah of that magnitude
to materialize, despite vola-
tile conditions in the repub-
lics of the former -Soviet
Union.
"No basic changes in the
pattern of aliyah have been
discerned, and so with mon-
thly and seasonal variations,
we expect a steady flow of
around 10,000 ohm per mon-
th during 1992, yielding
between 120,000 and
150,000" for the year, Jew-
ish Agency Chairman Sim-
cha Dinitz told reporters at a
year-end news conference
last week.
Mr. Dinitz was confident,
however, that even at that
conservative rate, an addi-
tional 600,000 Jews will
have settled in Israel by the
end of 1995, confirming his
original forecast of 1 million
olim since mass immigration
began in 1989.
As of last week, aliyah for
1991 totaled 169,273 ar-
rivals, of whom 143,705
were from the former Soviet
Union and 9,754 from Ethi-
opia. That compares with a
total of 181,759 Jews from
the Soviet Union in 1990.
Mr. Dinitz said the Jewish
Agency is completing its
organizational redeploy-
ment in response to recent
strategic and logistical
changes in the now-
independent republics of the
former Soviet Union.
"Israel has been fortunate
in developing good relations
with each of the individual
republics and today main-
tains credible relations with
many of their local govern-
ments," he said.
He announced that by the
end of February, more than
16 direct flights weekly will
be arriving at Ben-Gurion
Airport from Moscow and St.
Petersburg, Russia;
Kishinev, Moldavia; Riga,
Latvia; Kiev and Odessa,
Ukraine; Minsk, Belarus;
and Tashkent, Uzbekistan.
The aliyah infrastructure
in those cities is being
strengthened, and prepara-
tions are quietly under way
to open another terminal in
Asiatic Russia.
Those come in addition to
the five transit stations in
Europe where emigres that
arrive by land, air and sea
transfer to flights for Israel.
They are located in
Budapest, Hungary;
Bucharest, Romania; War-
saw, Poland; Helsinki,
Finland; and Varna,
Bulgaria.
The transit station in Var-
na, on the Black Sea, will
eventually be closed.
"Direct flights remain the
cheapest, fastest and safest
route to Israel," Mr. Dinitz
said. "They can presently br-
ing up to 20,000 olim per
month."
But "should the need
arise," he said, "the number
of direct flights can be
doubled, so that with the five
transit stations, up to
100,000 ohm can be flown to
Israel in a month."
The sea route is the least
feasible, according to the
Jewish Agency chairman,
because it is the longest,
least safe and costliest. But
if the negative factors can
be significantly reduced,
sea routes will also be utiliz-
ed, he said.
A Greek passenger and car
ferry chartered by a Chris-
tian evangelical group land-
ed nearly 500 immigrants
from the Ukrainian port of
Odessa last week in Haifa.
They enjoyed nearly 10
times the baggage allowance
of air travelers.
Mr. Dinitz said that while
the Jewish Agency is cutting
back on expenses at its
various transit stations, it
will still be equipped to pro-
vide a range of orientation
and information services for
ohm, such as registration for
Hebrew courses, employ-
ment services and housing.
A private survey con-
ducted by the Israel
Manufacturers Association
showed that between
January 1990 and
September 1991, 36,000
ohm, mostly from the former
Soviet Union, found jobs in
Israeli industry. They now
comprise up 12 percent of
Israel's industrial labor
force.
But figures recently
released by the Absorption
Ministry showed that 40,000
ohm are on the dole.
"Israel's ability to provide
Soviet ohm with satisfactory
jobs, not necessarily in their
professions, remains the
litmus test of aliyah absorp-
tion," Mr. Dinitz said.
He said meetings of the
Cabinet committee on im-
migrant absorption have
been frustrating and
criticized Prime Minister
Yitzhak Shamir for doing
little but promising to take
"more interest" in the sub-
ject.
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