Yitzhak Shamir And The Talking Dog The key to Israel's plan for the territories is that it has none. ZE'EV CHAFETS Special to The Jewish News I n the lexicon of Israeli po- litical slang, the phrase. "maybe the baron will die" occupies a special place. It is the punch line of a fable about a Russian nobleman who decides to kick the local Jews off his land. A delega- tion is appointed to appeal the decision, but the baron is adamant: The Jews must go. As they depart, a rabbi stops to admire the baron's wolfhound. "It's a beautiful dog," he says. "Can it talk?" "Don't be absurd; dogs can't talk," says the baron. "Jewish dogs can talk," the rabbi says. "I could teach yours to talk in a year." "All right," says the baron. "You have one year. If the dog talks, you can stay. Otherwise, you go." On the way home, the Jews are crestfallen. "Rabbi, what have you done?" One says. "You know you can't teach a dog to talk." "That's true," admits the rabbi. "But a year is a long time. Who knows, the dog might die, the baron might die . . ." That bit of folk wisdom has defined Jerusalem's think- ing on the territories ever since they were first cap- tured in the Six Day War. Ze'ev Chafets is editor of the Jerusalem Report, from which this piece is printed. From the very outset, American policy has been that Israel must leave the territories in return for peace. A succession of American presidents has, more or less forcefully, demanded it. Israel's reac- tion to such demands, from the Rogers Plan to the Reagan Plan, has been to wait. And every time, the baron has eventually died. Jerusalem was able to get away with this because it was dealing with a series of weak presidents. Mr. Johnson and Mr. Nixon were preoccupied with the war in Vietnam and, in Mr. Nixon's case, Watergate. Mr. Ford was a caretaker; Mr. Carter, an unpopular flake with little congressional support. And Mr. Reagan was content to wait (perhaps because he believed that the dog would actually talk). It has taken almost 25 years, but there is now a baron in Washington who wants the Jews out — now. Unlike his predecessors, George Bush is unfettered by Cold War preoccupations, virtually free of domestic constraint and completely innocent of sentimental attachment to Israel. Only three years ago, Mr. Bush was still being derided as a wimp. Today, he is arguably the most powerful American president in history. Mr. Bush not only has power, he knows how to use it. Just ask Panama's Gen. Noriega or Saddam Hussein. When it comes to dealing with foreigners, George Bush is one mean sucker. Yitzhak Shamir should have figured this out a long time ago, but the message ap- parently didn't register. Early on, when Mr. Bush told him that he wanted a land for peace deal, Mr. Shamir responded by telling him that "the territories won't be a problem." Mr. Bush thought he was hear- ing a "yes." Mr. Shamir thought he was giving him the usual talking dog story. For the past few months, as Mr. Bush and Secretary of State James Baker made it increasingly clear that they were serious about a set- tlement freeze, Mr. Shamir When George Bush Comes To Shove GARY ROSENBLATT Editor These are diffi- cult times for American Jews as they watch the bitterness — and the stakes — grow between Washington and Jerusalem. Many of us are angry with George Bush and frustrated with Yitzhak Shamir. But we are also deeply conflicted about where we stand in this battle between American and Israeli interests because we used to think that those interests were the same, and they no longer are. Mr. Bush has gone out of his way to put the onus of the Mideast stalemate on Israel, to make the set- tlements a major issue of contention, and to cast pro- Israel lobbyists as working against American interests. Most of all, though, we fear that his sympathies lie closer to the Arab cause than to Israel's and that he and his administration approach the Mideast peace con- ference with no particular empathy for the Jewish state. If Mr. Bush is our vision of a WASP Republican, then Mr. Shamir is our stubborn Eastern European uncle, the one we love as family but who embarrasses us in public with his outspoken views about "the goyim." We may agree with him, but we cringe nonetheless. Uncle Yitzhak, we want to say, can't we talk about this when we get home? Just this week, Mr. Shamir addressed the Knesset in Jerusalem and lashed out at the Bush ad- ministration. The ostensible issue was the postponement of loan guarantees for Soviet Jewish immigrants, but the real issue is trust. Or the lack of it. Mr. Shamir's world view was forged by the Holocaust, the world's abandonment of the Jews, and like his predecessor and political mentor, Menachem Begin, he sees politics most clearly- in terms of whether one stands with, or against, the Jewish people. There are no shades of gray. In his Knesset speech, he criticized Mr. Bush for his loan guarantee delay, an ac- tion, Mr. Shamir said, that struck at "the deepest foun- dations of Jewish and Zionist action." Surely George Bush doesn't see it that way. But that's the point. This unlikely couple — the smooth American Continued on Page 10 continued to act as though he was dealing with another witless baron. Again and again, he said that American loan guar- antees had nothing to do with the peace process. He made it plain that he ex- pected to get the guarantees as well as the "routine" $3 billion or so in annual aid, while giving the American administration nothing in return. Less than nothing; Mr. Shamir went out of his way to register contempt for the Americans by plunking down a couple of settlements every time Mr. Baker got off the plane in Israel. If, in the end, Mr. Shamir was truly "stunned and amazed" by Mr. Bush's linkage of aid to a set- tlement freeze, as press reports have suggested, it was because, after 25 years, Israeli prime ministers have gotten out of the habit of taking their American counterparts seriously. Mr. Shamir is unlikely to make that mistake again, but it may be too late. For one thing, he has nowhere to turn. With the Russians out of the game, he can no longer sell Israel as a "strategic asset." Congress is not likely to buck the powerful Mr. Bush, especially when he frames the issue in terms of vital American interests. Nor can American Jews be counted on. In any real con- frontation between the U.S. and Israel, our American cousins will say to us what Tonto said to the Lone Ranger: "What you mean `we,' kimosabe?" Even new elections won't help Mr. Shamir. They might buy a few months but Mr. Bush, a shoo-in in 1992, can wait. And in any upcom- ing campaign Labor could argue, plausibly, that a Likud victory would seri- ously endanger American economic aid. The prospect of coming off the dollar cold turkey would be enough to get even Shimon Peres elected. Mr. Shamir has only one hope left — the Palestinians. In the past they have always found a way to wrest defeat from the jaws of victory, and they may do it again. If the PLO refuses to come to the peace conference, Mr. Bush may decide to establish the next outpost of the New World Order someplace else. It is a slim chance, but possible. In the next few months, Yitzhak Shamir can be counted on to do every- thing possible to make the PLO dog say the magic words: No deal. ❑ THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS 7