KREMLIN CRISIS I believe there can never be a return to the past in the Soviet Union. government will be totally taken up with delivering internal economic aid to the Soviet people. What is happening in the rest of the world, including the Middle East, may be of marginal importance. It's also likely that they will want to demonstrate that they are reliable partners for the West. Five: How will the coup affect the 300,000 Soviet Jews who arrived over the past two years? Ironically, at least here the cloud has a silver lining. Many new immi- grants in Israel woke up on August 19, listened to the news and had two contrary feelings: One, concern for their family and friends still in the Soviet Union, and two, tremendous relief at not being there themselves. It's easy to imagine the guilt feel- ings of people who sent messages back to Russia saying: "Stay where you are, there are no jobs here." Now they find that, with all the problems in Israel, they are at home here; they feel safe here. On the other hand, it is important to remember that if Israel's absorp- tion program were less of a failure, there would be at least 100,000 more Jews here with us, and not in the Soviet Union.0 Copyright 1991, the Jerusalem Report Syndicate. . Photo by Craig Terkowitz bachev's policy led to economic disaster. But such personal feelings will probably have no impact on policy. The new leaders' success in the long run will be tied to their resolution of economic problems. And the Soviet Union is extremely dependent on Western assistance. The experience of the past few years has demon- strated to Soviet leaders that Jewish emigration brings a high yield from the West. As long as the world can keep delivering this message on emigra- tion to the Kremlin, Soviet aliyah may well outlive Gorbachev. One more point: If there is civil conflict between any of the republics and the central government, the Jews are sure to be caught in the middle. Four: How will these events affect the peace process in the Middle East? It's by no means clear that they must affect it. The Soviet Union's "contributions" in the past have consisted of giving military and po- litical support to the dictators in the region; now, however, there is no money to start arming the Syrians again. It's probable that the new A Hebrew class in Odessa for Jews planning on emigrating to Israel. Disbelief Continued from Page 29 this is true, but some official told this to my brother as he was boar- ding the plane," said Mrs. Kostin- sky, who met her brother's family at Detroit Metro Airport Tuesday night. "Believe me, they know how lucky they are." Mrs. Kostinsky, who works at the Temple Emanu-El nursery school, has been writing to her brother about life in America and how easy it is for her to be Jewish. "It took him a long time to make the decision to leave the Soviet Union," Mrs. Kostinsky said. "He made the decision two weeks ago. He's an engineer and has a good job." This month, Resettlement Service has settled about 60 new Americans. Mrs. Hyman said at least 14 more are expected in September. Luba H. Berton, editor of a local monthly Russian-language news- paper, was an exchange professor in 1975 at a university in Kiev. She said sudden political changes in the Soviet Union rarely bode well for Soviet Jews. "The KGB doesn't give a damn about public opinion," said Mrs. Berton, whom a Kiev newspaper la- beled a Zionist spy. "They are a cold, calculating bunch of men who may do whatever it takes to hold onto their power. The only hope was if Yeltsin could rally the people and sway the Soviet army behind him. Obviously, the will of the people triumphed." Mrs. Berton said the sudden removal of Mr. Gorbachev called to mind similar events 27 years ago, when Nikita Khrushchev was deposed. Mr. Khrushchev, 70, on vacation at the time, was replaced by Leonid Brezhnev, 57, as head of the the Communist Party. "It has almost become a Russian tradition to remove leaders while they're on vacation," said Mrs. Ber- ton. Mr. Khrushchev's fall brought banner headlines across major newspapers in the West, and the stock market sustained its sharpest drop since the assassination of Pres- ident John F. Kennedy nearly a year earlier. "In 1964, however, the Soviet peo- ple didn't react with this kind of pro- test and demonstration," Mrs. Ber- ton said. "This was what gave me hope." Midwest Consul General Dr. Yitschak Ben-Gad said there was no panic in Israel this week and that flights of Soviet Jews were still ar- riving. "We just hoped the new order in the Soviet Union would not have created a civil war or cut off Soviet Jewish emigration," Dr. Ben-Gad said. What a new order was likely to mean for Soviet Jews depended greatly on the West, according to Wayne State University Law School Profesgor William Burnham. Pro- fessor Burnham, an expert in Soviet law, said the politics of Soviet leaders — whether a conservative like Mr. Yanayev or a reformer like Mr. Yeltsin — has little influence over Soviet Jewish emigration. The key, instead, is the Communists' desire to receive benefits from the West and retain Most Favored Nation status, which the U.S. ad- ministration continues to link to in- creased human rights in the Soviet Union. Even a hardliner like Leonid Brezhnev from 1977-1979 opened the doors for Jewish emigration, Professor Burnham said. The sole reason was pressure from the West. The Soviet constitution has always granted freedom of emigration, of speech and of religion, he added. "But these are all subject to the `greater social good.' " "We would hope that the Soviet Union would continue to honor its committment to allow those who wish to leave the country permission to leave," said Ellen Labes, chair- man of the Jewish Community Council's Committee on Soviet Jewry.s Ms. Labes is part of the Family-to-Family program, which pairs local Jews with new immi- grants from the Soviet Union. Her adopted Soviet family "know the consequences for Jews if the country takes three steps backward." Earlier this week, the JCCouncil made several attempts to contact Jewish families in Minsk. "Our worst fear would be realized if the emigration process did cease and violence did erupt targeted at the Jewish community," said JC- Council Executive Director David Gad-Harf. "We want to do every- thing possible to facilitate the em- migration of Jews out of the Soviet Union while opportunities exist." Luba Berton believes most of the people who backed the attempted takeover think the Soviet Union needs "a strong hand to whip it back into shape." She said even in the 9th century, warring tribes got together and sent an emissary to Rurik, the king of Scandinavia, asking for a leader. "Gorbachev's return is certainly a victory for democracy," Mrs. Berton said. "He's the one who has made the contacts with the West. But the problems are more deep-rooted. "It's like a painful tooth you get checked by the dentist. The more the dentist drills, the more he discovers the tooth is rotten to the core." ❑ THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS 35