ISRAEL Israeli construction at a fever pitch. For All The Debate, Settlements Increase With more than 100,000 Jews living in the territories, is "land-for-peace" a viable formula? INA FRIEDMAN Special to The Jewish News r ime was, in the 1950s and early 1960s, that the popular symbol of Israel was a spunky-looking sabra in sandals and silly cloth hat. An eye patch was added after the Six-Day War to honor the victory or- chestrated by Moshe Dayan. Yet if one had to choose an appropriate symbol today, especially in the eyes of non- Israelis, it would undoubted- ly be not a caricature at all but a chunk of real estate: the slanted, pink-tiled roof. On mountain tops and sand dunes throughout the occupied territories, these roofs have become a form of political graffiti, a signature announcing "Israel was here." And with Israeli con- struction at a fever pitch in the West Bank and Gaza, just when the government is being wooed into sitting down at the bargaining table, it is -cArorth asking whether the formula of "land for peace" is still a viable one. A decade ago the mark of a typical settlement in the West Bank was a few caravans, a watch tower, and the Israeli flag flying from a rock-strewn hilltop fenced around with barbed wire. "Stalags" the oppo- Ina Friedman is a Jerusalem- based free-lance writer. nents of the settlement policy snidely called these eyesores. But today the look and nature of Israeli set- tlement in the territories has changed radically. Few are the families still living in temporary (and thus eas- ily dismantled or abandon- ed) housing. Instead they are comfortably ensconced in well-appointed apartments or houses of various shapes and sizes, topped with the ubiquitous pink-tiled roofs. The scope of these set- tlements gives serious reason for pause. According to the settlers' lobby, the Council of Jewish Com- munities in Judea, Samaria, and Gaza, there were, as of May, 103,855 Israelis living in 144 communities in the territories (all but 6,000 of the settlers and 17 of the set- tlements in the West Bank). Contrary to expectations, these figures represent more than a doubling of the Jew- ish population in these areas (a rise of 68 percent) since the start of the intifada in December 1987. The 13,000 housing units scheduled to be built in the territories in 1991-92 repre- sent, by the council's reckon- ing, less than 10 percent of the construction going on in Israel proper (to meet the needs of the 315,000 Soviet immigrants who have arriv- ed since the start of 1990). But according to Peace Now's Settlement Watch Team, the Housing Ministry has invested close to half a billion dollars in the ter- ritories in the 1990/91 fiscal year alone — and that translates into 20 percent of the ministry's budget sunk into areas containing less than three percent of Israel's population. Much has been made of the rash of caravans that have recently appeared in the West Bank. But the real drama going on in the ter- ritories is a race to expand the settlements with perma- nent structures. Cranes, bulldozers, cement trucks, and an army of laborers are working feverishly wherever you turn. Fully half of the new units are going up in Israel's two large urban con- centrations on the West Bank: Ma'ale Adumim, a few miles east of Jerusalem; and Ariel, in the heart of Samaria (the northern half of the West Bank). Ma'ale Adumim, with a population of 15,000 that is expected to increase by a third within the next two years, is now, officially, the first Jewish city on the West Bank. Ariel, with a popula- tion of 10,000, two shopping malls, two industrial parks, a department store, a col- lege, and a soon-to-open five- star hotel, has plans to con- struct 3,000 more units in the next four years, bringing its population up to 25,000. The availability of jobs has already attracted to Ariel about half of the 3,000 new . immigrants who have set- tled in the territories in the past 18 months. But it is the price of hous- ing in these towns, plus at- tractive mortgage terms, that have long made them a lodestone for young couples and upwardly mobile families prepared to com- mute in return for owning a There will soon be close to a quarter of a million Jews living over the Green Line. private home. Two-bedroom flats in Ariel run a mere $70,000 — fully 50 percent less than their most modest counterparts in Tel Aviv. Indeed, "improving the quality of life" has long been the government's slogan for drawing settlers into the territories. The 140 or so smaller set- tlements in the territories range from upper-middle- class suburbs hugging the Green Line (the 1967 border) to improved versions of the caravan-and-watchtower types inhabited by Israelis who have moved to the ter- ritories for ideological reasons. Ma'ale Levona and Eli, both perched high on moun- taintops in the stony wilds of Samaria, are two of the many "ideological" set- tlements that dot the West Bank. Here the homes, far from being expansive and fashionable, are con- spicuously modest, and the landscaping is scrappy at best. Even the present con- struction (courtesy of Israel's Ministry of Housing) is of small, squat structures or equally drab row houses. There is a sports center in Eli (which presently boasts 40 families and is building for 50 more) but not even a grocery store, to say nothing of more sophisticated ser- vices. Ma'ale Levona, similarly isolated on a hilltop and similarly about to double in size, seemed deserted at midday, with the population at school or work somewhere beyond the perimeter, The overwhelming majority of the settlements in the ter- ritories resemble these two, and recently published statistics show that the Housing Ministry has long- term plans to augment them with some 40,000 units, aim- ing for a Jewish population of 250,000 in the territories by the year 2010. Where is the building frenzy leading? To the an- nexation of the West Bank and Gaza, the settlers hope. Other Israelis are choosing not to pay attention. On the eve of Secretary Baker's most recent visit to Israel, just 600 demonstrators from the left-wing parties pro- tested against the set- tlements — hardly a turn- out likely to inspire the THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS 29