ZERO HOUR bags? Is it logical that Syria will attack us? For writers, the urge, under the circumstances, to write Analyses (such as this one) is as unstoppable as the rapid backsliding into Panic. By the time these lines see print, war will likely have broken out, and we may well be huddled in our "sealed room" glued to the radio, my wife and I (and all our fellow Israelis) in gas masks, and my rambunctious son inside a little plastic pup tent, with air filters and a sleeve so we can give him his bottle. For this we came to live here? I silently scream. Fortunately, a seventh path is available: 7. Believe. In God, the Jew- ish people, the multi- national forces —and believe that whatever you believe in is powerful enough to see us through. Believe that Israel in 1991 is not a reprise of Germany in 1939, but its polar opposite. This is our country. And this time the Jews have an army —a strong one — of our own. Believe that it's important to be here. Believe that we haven't won our national in- dependence for the first time in two millennia only to lose it in less than 50 years. Believe that a million Soviet Jews will help us turn the Middle East into a safer, more prosperous neighbor- hood, ridiculous as this may seem. My wife's father calls from California to say they have been interviewed on local TV in their role as worried parents and grandparents. My son's photo on a million TV screens: His unlikely showbiz debut. Maybe he will get offers to do commer- cials. I have to believe we will be all right. I put another layer of tape around the bedroom window, and stash away an- other can of corn. ❑ A Wrenching Vote For Jewish Lawmakers In Congress, the war powers vote posed agonizing decisions, and resulted in many surprises. JAMES D. BESSER Washington Correspondent A s Washington counted down towards a possi ble explosion in the Persian Gulf, Capitol Hill was the scene of some extraor- dinary soul searching last week. And for Jewish legislators, with the fate of Israel hang- ing in the balance and the specter of an anti-Semitic backlash hovering just over the horizon, the process of judging whether or not to give President Bush the power to use force against Iraq was particularly wren- ching. At issue were a series of bills defining the respective roles Congress and the pres- ident would play in deciding to attack Iraq after the January 15 United Nations deadline. After days of speechmak- ing and surprisingly earnest debate, both houses voted to give President Bush what he wanted — the authority to pursue a military solution to the Gulf crisis. Technically, the resolu- tions did not represent a declaration of war. But that is the way many Americans perceived the congressional action — a fact that was prominent in the minds of many Jews on Capitol Hill. "This was the most difficult decision I've had to 26 FRIDAY, JANUARY 18, 1991 make in my 25 years in public life," said Baltimore Democrat Rep. Ben Cardin. Mr. Cardin, who has a reputation as a strong defender of Israel, voted against the bill offered by Rep. Robert H. Michael (R- ill.) and Rep. Stephen Solarz (D-N.Y.), which provided the warmaking authority Presi- dent Bush sought. "I think we see risks, either way we go," he said. "I'm concerned that if we start shooting, Israel will be drawn in, and I don't know how this [international] co- alition will hold together then. I'm worried that if we start shooting, it may have an effect on concessions we might make to hold the co- alition together. I'm con- cerned about the concessions we may have already made to countries like Syria." Mr.Cardin, in voting against the Solarz-Michael proposal, insisted that the policy of economic sanctions should be given a chance to work — and that this policy best satisfied both American and Israeli interests. "I think this policy has worked well," he said. "It kept the coalition together, and it's isolated Iraq; we've been able to protect the Saudis, stabilize the flow of oil and get our hostages home. The only goal we haven't attained is the lib- eration of Kuwait." Rep. Larry Smith, a Florida Democrat who is one of the most aggressive pro- Israel voices in Congress, agreed that the decision was one of the most agonizing in his public career. Mr. Smith also voted against the Solarz-Michael proposal, angering and sur- prising a number of pro- Israel activists. A Gulf war, he said, would likely result in a campaign of terrorism that could reach into this country. "Do people really think "This fateful shift was undertaken without Congressional consultation or approval and many of us feared the consequences." Rep. Sander Levin the war will remain 10,000 miles away?" he asked. "People need to think very long and hard before they engage in a war that's not necessary at this moment." And a U.S.-led war against Iraq, Mr. Smith argued, could have some disastrous consequences for Israel. "Israel may suffer some real downsides," he said. "In my estimation, if we go to war, the intifada will become a full-scale civil war. They'll have to throw a steel net over the occupied ter- ritories — which is some- thing Israel can't afford. So if this can be solved peacefully, it's better for Israel." On the other side of the debate was Rep. Howard Berman (D-Calif.) For years, Mr.Berman led the fight in Congress for economic sanc- tions against Iraq — a losing battle, until Saddam Hus- sein rolled over Kuwait in August. He heatedly rejected the idea that strong Jewish sup- port for the Solarz-Michael measure represented a risk for the community. But his "aye" vote, Mr. Berman said, did not con- stitute a ringing endorse- ment of the president's broader Middle East poli- cies. "Part of the agony for me," he said, " was a fundamental lack of confidence in the Bush administration's abil- ity to understand the impor- tant objectives of our Gulf policy. We spent eight years looking the other way — when Saddam gassed civilians, when he attacked Iran, when he threatened his neighbors. It was business as usual; we're in this terrible state now because of the way the United States dealt with Saddam Hussein." The administration, he in- dicated, needs to develop a new set of Middle East poli- cies for the post-Kuwait world. And Mr. Berman agreed that the crisis has dramati- cally altered U.S.-Israeli re- lations. "My expectation is that a psychological linkage bet- ween the Gulf Crisis and the Arab-Israeli situation has developed," he said. "It's impossible to know how that will impact U.S.-Israeli rela- tions. It's not far-fetched to believe there will be an enhanced level of pressure on Israel to deal with its con- flicts when this is over." Despite strong support for the Solarz-Michel proposal by the leadership of major Jewish organizations, the Jewish delegation on Capitol Hill was split; a handful of Jewish Democrats supported the president's position, but many others did not. A Few Big Surprises In the Senate, three of eight Jewish members voted with the president — but only one Democrat, Sen. Joe Lieberman (D-Conn.). Sen. Paul Wellstone, the Minnesota Democrat who replaced conservative Rudy Boschwitz this month, gave one of the most Jewish speeches; the newcomer re- ferred to his own Jewish roots, and urged the body to ponder the Hebrew word tikkun, or repair of the world, in making its deci- sion. One of the big surprises for pro-Israel activists was the no-vote of Sen. Daniel In- ouye (D-Hawaii), one of the most reliable pro-Israel voices in the Senate. In the House, there were few surprises. A number of Jewish Democrats voted against the Solarz proposal, including Rep. Sander Levin (D-Mi.), Rep. Dan Glickman (D-Kans.), Rep. Elliot Engel (D-N.Y.), and several key members of the powerful California Jewish delegation — Rep. Howard Berman, Sen. Carl Levin of Michigan. Rep. Mel Levine and Rep. Tom Lantos. But another Jewish Democrat from Los Angeles, Rep. Henry Waxman, voted against the proposal. Rep. Barney Frank, who referred to the coalition ar- rayed in Saudi Arabia as "American troops and inter- national cheerleaders," spoke out strongly against the warmaking proposals. Rep. Howard Wolpe and Rep. Levin, both Jewish legislators from Michigan, voted against the proposal. So did Levin's brother in the upper house, Sen. Carl Levin, a key supporter of an unsuccessful measure in the Senate that would have stressed the continuation of economic sanctions. "In early November, the President made a fateful shift in direction —from reliance on sanctions backed by the threat of force to a massive offensive capability within a timetable so tight that there was no chance that economic sanctions could work," said Rep. Levin.