expert, University of California at Los Angeles. The United States' big mistake was to define the problem as Kuwait and not as Saddam Hussein's ar- mies. We need to find a way to get out of this crisis and keep our influence intact for the second crisis — an in- evitable confrontation with Saddam Hussein's armies, his threat to Israel and to his Arab neighbors. Bush can still be seen a winner at home if he avoids war — simply because peo- ple will be so grateful that there are no body bags. 1 >— RABBI RICHARD RUBENSTEIN, president, Washington Institute for Values in Public Policy. We should go for a very quick series of air strikes, and keep infantry as far away as possible. Saddam's military assets should be destroyed as much as we can, but his cities should not be touched. Then we should sit back and let it fester for a while. At that point, the nations that are evading the blockade will have second thoughts about whether they want to continue. If Saddam withdraws by Jan. 15, I don't see how Bush can refuse a solution even if it leaves Saddam's military capability in tact. The way the president has structured the game, I do not see how he can say no to that since he has trusted the United Nations as much as he has. RABBI MARVIN HIER, dean, Simon Wiesenthal Center, Los Angeles. My advice to the president would be this: There is never a perfect time, and the pres- ident will never have every- > body's attention. He needs consensus — but if he spends all his time shaping a con- sensus, he may lose his momentum. And there's not much time left. The president should re- member that there were isolationists during the Hitler time, and there will always be isolationists. But that way has been costly to the world. It was costly in Munich, and it could be costly now. 2 FAISAL ARABO, pro- ducer of the television show, "The Arab Voice of Detroit." If I were President Bush, I would call a private meeting of my cabinet and say, "Look, let us change our strategy and we will work with President Saddam Hussein. He's a strong man in the region, and through a man like him we can help make peace with Israel." IRAQ FOUAD AJAMAI Saddam Hussein is hard to fathom, other than his assumption that the U.S. doesn't have the guts for war and we will blink and the fragile coalition in the Gulf will collapse. Saddam doesn't think he can win a war against the U.S. But he still thinks he can avert a war by making us think a war will be too horrible and that there will be hell to pay with the Arab nations. Saddam knows that he can play little games with the Americans. 4,1 JOHN DEVLIN I would be on my way out by the fifteenth if I were Saddam Hussein. Saddam has been trying to push things as far as he can, but in the end he will cave in. For the last 30 days, we've been getting signals that he'll go peacefully. There's been the release of all his hostages and the bite that sanctions are beginning to have on Iraq. Iraqis are es- pecially aware of food shor- tages and chemicals to purify water. He is doing something practiced widely in the Mid- dle East — acting tough and talking tough until the very last minute. RABBI RICHARD RUBENSTEIN Saddam Hussein's smartest move would be to either say he'll get out of most of Kuwait and keep the islands and oil fields — or say that he'll unconditional- ly pull out if there's an international peace con- ference on the Palestinian issue. It'll then be very difficult for Bush to say that we're going to war because Iraq hasn't met all our condi- tions. Saddam has many options. For all of Bush's education and Saddam's lack of edu- cation, Saddam has a much better historical perspective. WILLIAM QUANDT Before Jan. 15, Saddam should announce he's decid- ed in principle to complete withdrawal, and that he's started that process. He should say that all his forces are out of Kuwait and he wants assurances on points X, Y and Z. If he does that, there's a chance he can keep his power base intact and play for time, which he has been doing all along. DR. BRUCE MADDY- WEITZMAN, visiting Mid- east fellow at the Carter Center at Emory Universi- ty, Atlanta. He lives in Tel Aviv. The ball is in Iraq's court. It will try to buy time and come up with diplomatic maneuvers. The longer that military option is forestall- ed, the greater the chance the Arab coalition will break. Once the fight starts, the Iraqis are in a distinctly in- ferior position. FAISAL ARABO Saddam Hussein should call for a dialogue and say, "Talk with me. Tell me if I'm wrong." If there would be no dia- logue, I wouldn't pull out (of Kuwait) one inch. yoked into becoming one. Saddam knows that Israel's response to an attack would be fairly strong and might do him irreparable harm. SHOSHANA CARDIN Israel needs to remain on full alert and keep redefin- ing how it will respond militarily and politically to any attack by Saddam Hus- sein. Importantly, it has to keep its plans very secret to maintain the advantage of surprise. WILLIAM QUANDT The Israelis should keep their military forces on alert, on the off-chance that Saddam will take some ac- tion against them. Other- JOHN DEVLIN. The U.N. will be involved in any consultations that follow the fifteenth. I might expect further action in the Security Council, or even the General Assembly. SOVIET UNION JESSICA DAHER, re- gional coordinator of the Detroit chapter of the Arab-American Anti- Discrimination Com- mittee. The Soviet Union should increase its participation in the diplomatic process by pushing for an international conference on peace in the Middle East. Because of improving rela- "If Saddam hasn't started to pull out by the 15th, the U.S. shouldn't do anything. That's pinning too much on one date." - John Devlin LOUIS PANUSH, honorary national vice president, the Zionist Organization of America, and former president of ZOA Detroit. If I were Saddam Hussein, I would declare victory. I would say that Allah spoke to me and told me that I was already victorious because I brought the world's atten- tion to the issues of the power of the oil sheiks, who don't represent the masses, and the Palestinian issue. So I'd withdraw my forces from Kuwait. ISRAEL FOUAD AJAMAI On Jan. 15, the Israelis will be quiet. That will say that this is an Arab dilemma and that the U.S. has asked them to take certain risks. In exchange for these, Israel has received American assurances of protection. It still needs guarantees of U.S. arms to offset those pouring into the Persian Gulf states. JOHN DEVLIN Israel's prime minister should do pretty much what he has done — not do anything. Israel is not truly a major actor in this, unless it is pro- wise, they need to sit tight and avoid any pre-emptive action — which appears to be exactly what they are doing. UNITED NATIONS FOUAD AJAMAI The U.N. can't take back what it gave on Nov. 29 when it issued a Jan. 15 deadline for an Iraqi withdrawal. The UN is a flag of convenience for what's essentially a U.S. force in the Gulf. SHOSHANA CARDIN I don't see the U.N. doing much of anything, other than, perhaps, passing more resolutions against Israel. By now, those resolutions have become knee-jerk reac- tions to headlines. Rarely, if ever, do they mention Palestinian at- tacks. LOUIS PANUSH The U.N. should support the United States' position on Iraq. Under no cir- cumstances should the U.N. use the Persian Gulf crisis as an opportunity to promote an international conference on the Middle East. Such a forum would cer- tainly work for the detri- ment of Israel. tions between the Soviet Union and Israel, Israel is likely to feel a lot more com- fortable with the Soviet Union's increased visibility in any international dia- logue on the Palestinians. EUROPEAN COMMUNITY SHOSHANA CARDIN They'll continue to try to avoid sharing the burden. MICHAEL DRISSMAN Europe will stay uninvolv- ed. Only Britain is likely to come to the aid of the United States in case of a war. The European interest in the Gulf is strictly a matter of oil — most don't care about the despotism of Saddam Hus- sein. Europeans will continue to try and link the situation — whether or not there is a war on Jan. 15 — with the Pales- tinian problem. BOB ARONSON, exec- utive vice president, Detroit Jewish Federa- tion. If I were the European Community, I'd act in con- cert with the Untied States and do what the United States tells me to do. But I'd keep attempting to bring the U.S. and Iraq together. ❑ THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS 33