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both
risen
in
has
qualitative and quanti-
tative terms, and on its
borders with Jordan and
Lebanon, where the rising
level of incursions has cre-
ated a volatile situation.
Most serious of all,
however, it is facing the de-
termined will of an interna-
tional coalition, including a
potentially hostile United
States, which is now deter-
mined to find. a solution to
"the Palestine question"
and which will resolutely
refuse to take "no" for an
answer.
Not least, Israel is also fac-
ing the historic task of ab-
sorbing an undreamt-of
wave of Soviet immigration,
which is expected to reach
the one-million mark by
1992.
Never before has the Jew-
ish state faced such a con-
stellation of challenges at
the same time; never before
has it been required to both
build and defend itself si-
multaneously on so many
fronts in the teeth of inter-
national opposition.
The emerging new world
order will be molded in the
furnace of the Gulf crisis and
it will be consolidated in its
resolution of the Palestinian
question.
Israel may not like the
shape or purpose of the new
world order, but it will have
to learn to live with it. On
the basis of past and present
performance, that may not
be easy, but it will be ab-
solutely necessary to achieve
some sort of accommodation.
Events last weekend — the
Security Council resolution
authorizing the use of force
against Iraq and the subse-
quent U.S. invitation to Iraq
to sit down and talk — have
taken the crisis a quantum
step forward, converting the
"if' to "when."
No one doubts any longer
that the crisis will be
resolved, whether by
military means or by
negotiations. Whatever the
outcome, the prognosis for
Israel is not favorable.
If the crisis is resolved
militarily and Iraq's means
of mass destruction are
utterly destroyed, Israel will
be left to face the tenacious
will of an international
community determined to
find a solution to the Pales-
tinian issue.
If it is resolved through
negotiation, leaving Saddam
in power and his military
potential intact, Israel will
face an inevitable military
engagement on a scale that
is totally unprecedented in
its 42-year history.
The wave of Soviet immi-
grants should encourage and
embolden Israel to take
creative, new political in-
itiatives that will break the
festering deadlock and avoid
a bruising battle with the
enhanced international will.
Sadly, however, as Israel
faces the formidable risks
and opportunities ahead —
not only in terms of its
enemies, real and imagined,
but also in terms of housing,
employing and educating a
million new Soviet immi-
grants — the government of
Yitzhak Shamir appears to
be living in a world of its
own, cut off from reality and
absorbed with its own rather
special problems.
Between attending funer-
als of soldiers who are killed
in border attacks, Israel's
politicians are effectively
blocking the successful ab-
sorption of Soviet Jews by
bickering over power.
At the same time, they are
Never before has
the Jewish state
faced such a
constellation of
challenges at the
same time .. .
devoting their legislative
energies to appeasing the
Agudat Yisrael bloc, which
last month swelled the
majority of Mr. Shamir's
Likud-led coalition, enacting
bills designed to outlaw the
sale of pork, ban sexually
arousing advertisements
and stop public transport on
the Sabbath.
Rather than addressing
the urgent task of absorbing
Soviet immigrants — pro-
viding decent houses, jobs
and education that would
encourage the best and
brightest to sink roots in
Israel rather than succumb
to the baubles being waved
by head-hunters from the
United States and Europe —
Israel's politicians are op-
ting to guard their own per-
sonal fiefdoms.
Rather than pursuing
creative political initiatives
that might lead to a solution
of the Palestinian problem
and defuse the coming con-
frontation with the United
States, Israel's politicians
appear to be hell bent on
continuing to play their old
games and pursue their own
narrow interests.
It would be comforting to
imagine that those who have
the power to shape Israel's
destiny are addressing the
really pressing questions
confronting the state. Unfor-
tunately, there is not a visi-
ble crumb of cause for such
comfort.