INSIDE WASHINGTON ■ 1111 ■ 1111111=1•111111==11111.1 JAMES D. BESSER Washington. Correspondent Saudi Arms Sale 'Offset' To Israel Seems Unlikely T he word of the week among pro-Israel ac- tivists is "offsets" as the administration cranks up a colossal arms sale to Saudi Arabia. Two weeks ago, rumors suggested a sale in the works amounting to no more than $10 billion — a huge sale that put Israeli nerves on edge. But late last week, it became clear that the ad- ministration had something else in mind — a package totalling as much as $20 billion in hardware, in- cluding advanced Patriot missiles, F-15 fighters, almost 50 Apache attack helicopters and several hun- dred M1A1 tanks. "The size of the proposal is almost inconceivable," said Malcolm Hoenlein, exec- utive director of the Con- ference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations. "We're sym- pathetic to Saudi Arabia's defense needs — but this goes well beyond their needs." But among pro-Israel Malcolm Hoenlein: Going "well beyond." groups here, the word is that any major opposition to the package could produce a dangerous backlash. Apparently the American- Israel Public Affairs Com- mittee (AIPAC) agrees. The premier pro-Israel lobbying group has already sent signals that it will focus its considerable energies on guaranteeing that Israel receives additional weapons — including Patriot missiles that would provide some defense against Iraqi and Syrian missiles. Despite the fact that the administration is basically sympathetic to Israel's con- cerns, it will be an uphill fight. The Saudis will pay cash for their $20 billion in weapons. Additional Israeli weapons can only come from increases in U.S. aid to Jerusalem — or from "creative financing" ar- rangements between the two governments. With the economy looking bleaker by the day and with the enormous financial drain caused by the Gulf crisis, Congress and the ad- ministration may not be in a very generous mood when it comes to extra money for Israeli offsets. Congressman Has Nose For Anti-Israel Threats Rep. Larry Smith (D-Fla.) may look like any other young congressman, but when it comes to rooting out threats to Israel lurking in innocuous-seeming bills or executive decisions, Mr. Smith is more like a terrier. Currently, Mr. Smith is tangling with the Commerce and State Departments over supercomputers for Brazil — an issue with a roundabout Middle East connection. The Commerce Depart- ment has been processing an application by the Interna- tional Business Machines Corp. (IBM) for an export license to sell supercom- puters to Brazil, a machine in the same class as the computer that has been a continuing sore point bet- ween Washington and Jerusalem. Supercomputers can be important ingredients in the development of advanced weapons — including mis- siles and nuclear warheads. The problem, according to Rep. Smith, is that Brazil has been a major supplier of advanced technology to Saddam Hussein's Iraq. Currently, a delegation of Brazilian engineers are in Iraq, working to upgrade Saddam's missiles. This delegation is comprised mostly of former employees of Embraer, a quasi- governmental aircraft cor- poration. And Embraer is one of the companies slated to receive an IBM supercomputer. "There is a well-founded fear on the part of many ex- perts," Mr. Smith wrote in a letter to Commerce Secre- tary Robert Mosbacher, "that this team continues to share information with their former associates in the Brazilian government." In other words, supercom- puters for Brazil could in- directly contribute to Saddam Hussein's quest for nuclear weapons and for the means to deliver them. Mr. Smith is circulating a letter in the House asking for a delay in the sale and an investigation of its potential impact. He is also working with his counterparts in the Senate in the hopes of get- ting some friendly senator — probably Sen. Bob Kasten (R-Wis.) — to throw a monkey wrench in the deal by adding language to the Commerce, State and Justice appropriations bill condemning the proposed sale. Sen. Specter Under Fire For Mideast Positions It's been a hard month for Sen. Arlen Specter, the in- dependent-minded Repub- lican from Pennsylvania. Until the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, Sen. Specter, who is Jewish, was an outspoken opponent of sanctions on the government of Iraq's Saddam Hussein — a fact that aroused the wrath of some Jewish activists here. In a meeting early this summer with a group of prominent pro-Israel ac- tivists, Mr. Specter — who supported the notion that Saddam Hussein could be dealt with through diplo- matic channels — saw his position vigorously challenged. And now that Saddam's troops are committing may- hem on the streets of Kuwait, Mr. Specter con- tinues to hear from irritated Jewish activists. Last week, Sen. Specter spoke to the Conference of Presidents of Major Ameri- can Jewish Organizations, where he was expected to re- spond to criticisms of his positions on Iraq. But according to some par- ticipants, Mr. Specter did not go far enough in repu- diating his former opinions about Saddam. More impor- program — and the hate crimes act — are safe. The problem was primari- ly budgetary. With sharp cuts expected in the Department of Justice budget, there were rumbl- ings that the administration would slash the UCR divi- sion to the bone, and assign record-keeping respon- sibilities for the hate crimes act to some other branch. But Jewish activists ob- jected. tantly, they suggested, the legislator promoted a "soft" line towards Syria's Hafez Assad. The Jewish activists at the meeting strongly urged Mr. Specter not to make the same mistakes with Mr. Assad that he made with Saddam Hussein. But Mr. Specter has also . been attracting attention with a letter to Defense Sec- retary Dick Cheney strongly stating the need for immedi- ate military aid to Israel to offset the huge influx of ad- vanced arms to friendly Arab states. Will AIPAC's New Deputy Help Or Threaten Dine? The American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), the premier pro- Israel lobbying organization, Tom Dine: May be the loser. become deputy executive di- rector for the group — in effect, second-in-command to AIPAC's highly visible leader, Tom Dine. Mr. Kohr came to AIPAC in 1987 after five years as deputy to Hyman Bookbinder, at that time the Washington representative for the American Jewish Committee. Mr. Kohr then demonstrated his political versatility by serving as deputy director of the Na- tional Jewish Coalition — a group of conservative Republican activists. Officially, the promotion reflects AIPAC's rapid growth and the need for ad- ditional administrative help to keep the efficient lobbying group chugging along. is getting something of a new look. Howard Kohr, formerly the director of executive branch relations, will But some AIPAC-watchers saw the move as a blow to Mr. Dine, who had re- portedly argued against filling the post, which had been vacant since 1985. Hate Crimes Program Seems Safe For 1991 Several weeks ago, there were indications that the Justice Department would de-fund the Uniform Crime Reports division of the FBI, the agency charged with col- lecting data for the newly passed Hate Crimes Statistics Act. But now, thanks to some behind-the-scenes work by a coalition of Jewish activists and law enforcement offi- cials from around the coun- try, it looks like the UCR Arlen Specter: "Soft" on Assad? ❑ THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS 35