I NSIGHT 2 ZE'EV CHAFETS Israel Correspondent E any this week, two reports — one secret and unexpected, the other public and long an- ticipated — hit the Israeli political scene like a one-two punch. The secret report, leaked to the mass circulation daily Yediot Aharonot, came from the Israeli ambassador in Washington, Moshe Arad, and warned of a potential "disaster" in American- Israeli relations unless Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir revives his peace plan. The public report, prepared by a committee of Labor Party activists, put the blame for Labor's recent election defeats squarely on the shoulders of party leader Shimon Peres. Taken together, the two documents could well affect the make- up and policies of any future government. According to the Yediot ac- count, which was not denied by official sources, Ambas- sador Arad warned the Prime Minister that "Israel is facing a grave crisis in its relations with Washington, something that requires a reevaluation of principle elements of its policy, espe- cially matters which are controversial, primarily the peace process and set- tlements [in the West Bank and Gaza Strip]." Arad cau- tioned that recent events, including the effort to estab- lish an Israeli stronghold in the St. Johns hospice in Jerusalem's Christian Quarter, are costing Israel support in Congress, and causing concern among "friends in the Jewish com- munity, who watch with alarm as Israel loses support which it has enjoyed for years." Arad's warning comes as Shamir is attempting to put 01989 FITERNATVNAL COPYRIGHT BY CARTOONEWS NC, N.Y. 'Twin Peaks Two reports a secret one from Washington and a public one from Israel — give insight into why another unity government might be formed in Jerusalem. together a hawkish coali- tion, some of whose members are explicitly opposed to the Shamir peace plan. The warning was viewed by Likud circles as an effort to warn of the consequences of such a nationalistic govern- ment. The ambassador, who is a career diplomat not identified with any party, made this point clearly. "If, after the establishment of a new government in Israel, the Americans reach the conclusion that [Jerusalem] is not planning to continue the peace process, the U.S. administration will return, with full momentum, to the idea of an international peace conference," he re- portedly told the Prime Min- ister. Publicly, government offi- cials attempted to downplay the report from Washington. Cabinet Minister Ronnie Milo, one of Shamir's closest advisers, told the press that the warning was overstated. "I don't believe that there is a crisis," he said. "This is a period of non-decisions [be- cause of the formation of a new government]. Our rela- tions with the United States are good, and they will con- tinue to be good, even if there are sometimes dis- agreements." This sanguine assessment was disputed, however, by a number of Israel's leading analysts and diplomats. Tsvi Rafiah, a well known expert on American affairs, warned of an impending showdown if there is not a radical change in Israeli policy. And, according to Shimon Shiffer, the reporter who published the leaked cable, it represented not only the ambassador's own opinion, but "the collective wisdom and experience of the entire embassy staff." While the Prime Minister and his advisers mulled over the implications of the warn- ing from Washington, their colleagues in the Labor Par- ty were forced to deal with a less secret, but no less in- cendiary, report presented by a committee of party ac- tivists. According to the group, which was charged seven months ago with the task of investigating Labor's 1988 electoral defeat, the party lost primarily because of the failures of Shimon Peres and his inner circle. The report specifically cited Peres's decision to base the campaign on his own appeal to voters, rather than on the ideology of the Labor Party. Although the Labor com- mittee refrained from direct- ly calling for Peres to resign, some of its members were less circumspect. Dr. Yoram Less, who headed the panel until his resignation, under pressure, less than 24 hours before the report was pre- sented, made it clear that the party leader should step down. "I must say that the THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS 37