I COMMENT
I
Why Israel Can't
Give Away The Store
ERIC ROZENMAN
Special to The Jewish News
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n what basis can fur-
ther opposition to a
Palestinian Arab
state in the West Bank (Judea
and Samaria) and Gaza Strip
rest?
The RAND Corporation's
Graham Fuller, in a new
monograph, pronounces a
Palestinian state inevitable
and further Israeli and U.S.
resistance costly. Israel's
Shlomo Gazit (Maj. Gen.,
Ret.) announced in Washing-
ton recently that evacuation
from the territories will not
bring peace, that Palestinian
autonomy will lead to state-
hood . . . but that he favors it.
nonetheless. Right-of-center
stalwart Prof. Amos Perlmut-
ter writes in the winter issue
of Foreign Affairs that a West
Bank and Gaza state might
rebound to Israel's benefit.
Is there still a foundation
for opposition that • is not
religious or ideological but
strategic and diplomatic?
Consider:
*Many who believe that
Israel can safely withdraw
from most of the territories
echo Gazit's call for "strict
security measures" to be im-
posed on and over the West
Bank and Gaza. Israel will
play by what New York Times
Pulitzer Prize-winner
Thomas Friedman calls "Chi-
cago rules: If they hurt one of
ours, we put 100 of theirs in
the hospital."
Really? Imagine that in
response to a bloody terrorist
raid — either officially sanc-
tioned by the new Palestinian
rulers or carried out by "dis-
sidents" — from east to west
Jerusalem, Israel considers
retaliation. Under the transi-
tion agreement "Palestine"
has no army to resist, only
lightly-armed police.
But Egypt privately warns
Israel that relations, perhaps
the peace itself, is at stake.
Sabres rattle in Syria and
Iraq.
It was one thing to bomb
PLO camps in west Beirut; it
will prove impossible to play
by Chicago rules against the
new, internationally-feted
"Palestine." Those who
winced at television coverage
of the intifada will collapse
when faced with bloody
Israeli strikes in east
,
Eric Rozenman is
publications editor for the
Jewish Institute for National
Security Affairs. The opinions
expressed above are his own.
Shlomo Gazit:
Favors it anyway.
Jerusalem, or Ramallah, or
Bethlehem.
In fact, not even a terrorist
raid would be necessary to
trigger the erosion of Israel's
security safeguards. Palesti-
nian Arabs who conquered
their new state with stones,
Molotov cocktails ,and news
coverage might well oust
Israel's presumed heavy mili-
tary presence with a second
intifada. Or just hunger-
strike sit-ins around the re-
maining Israeli bases.
*Gazit asserts that with-
drawal will not bring peace,
Arab political culture not be-
ing ripe for Eastern Euro-
It was one thing to
bomb PLO camps
in west Beirut; it
will prove
impossible to play
by Chicago rules
against the new
"Palestine."
pean-style transformations.
But he and many others
believe evacuation is neces-
sary to maintain Israel's
Jewish identity within
pre-1967 lines.
Yet the Palestinian Arab
demographic specter already
has arrived in both Israel and
Jordan. Israel's 18 percent
Arab minority increasingly
identifies as Palestinian, and
might grow to well over 20
percent in the next decade. In
minority Hashemite-ruled
Jordan the Palestinian Arabs
comprise at least 60 percent
of the population.