I ANALYSIS I

Intifada

Continued from preceding page

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created tension between
Egypt and Israel, he said.
Meanwhile, relations bet-
ween Israel and the Soviet
Union are thawing despite
the intifada, according to
Freedman of Baltimore
Hebrew University. He said
the Soviets support a two-
state solution, but President
Mikhail Gorbachev has
made overtures to Israel for
enhanced relations while
somewhat distancing
himself from the Arab world,
particularly Syria and the
PLO. The Soviets are
pushing for an international
conference, Freedman said,
to provide a forum to estab-
lish their credibility in Mid-
dle East politics.
"The Soviets want the
PLO to settle the conflict
diplomatically," Freedman
said. While still supporting
the Syrians, he said the
Soviets will not provide
Assad with enough military
aid to achieve parity with
Israel. Freedman said that
since the Soviets have their
own economic and political
woes, "the Arab-Israel
struggle has been put on
their diplomatic back
burner."
The impact of the intifada
on Israelis has been more
subtle than reported, accor-
ding to Dr. Asher Arian,
distinguished professor of
political science at the City
University of New York. He
described the national mood
as similar to a dull
toothache. With an increase
in milu'imor reserve duty
and 10 percent unemploy-
ment, Arian said Israelis are
suffering from an ongoing
malaise.
"When the Israeli leader-
ship says that nothing is
new, the Israelis will follow
their leaders," Arian said.
While Israelis publicly
support hard-line policies on
the intifada and against the
possible creation of a
Palestinian state, more are
privately considering land
for peace options than ever
before, Arian said.
"It's very confusing. But
the moderates are getting
more moderate and the less
moderate are getting less
moderate," Arian said.
The intifada has also had a
profound effect on Israeli
Arabs, said Dr. Eli Rekhees,
senior reseach associate of
the Moshe Dayan Center for
Middle East Studies at Tel
Aviv University and cur-
rently visiting professor of
Jewish studies at Lehigh
University in Bethlehem,
Pa.
"Israeli Arabs identify
with their Palestinian
cousins and their sense of