N.Y. Mayoral Race
Has Intriguing Lessons
JAMES B. BESSER
Washington. Correspondent
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T
he dramatic results in
the New York
mayoralty election are
full of intriguing lessons for
Jewish political activists.
What those lessons are is a
matter of interpretation as
different analysts study both
the extent and the meaning
of the Jewish vote for the
winner, David Dinkins, soon
to become the first black
mayor of the nation's largest
city.
Estimates of the Jewish
vote for Dinkins range from
31 to 40 percent, significant-
ly lower than the usual
overwhelming Democratic
Jewish majority, but
significantly higher than the
Dinkins vote among other
white ethnic groups. Jews
were the only white ethnic
group whose vote for
Dinkins actually increased
between the primary and the
election.
"The Jewish community
was the most targeted com-
munity in this election,"
said Michael Miller, director
of the Jewish Community
Relations Council of New
York. "The candidates gave
the Jewish community an
overwhelming amount of
time; political strategists
considered them the swing
vote."
That targeting proved
effective for Rudolph
Giuliani in the waning days
of the campaign. Observers
agree that the Jewish com-
munity was edging towards
the Republican candidate by
election day, with some at-
tributing this last-minute
shift to Giuliani's effective
exploitation of the ethics
issue.
"The key factor may have
been the questions raised
about Dinkins's qualifica-
tions and his ethics," said
Marc Pearl, former director
of the Americans for
Democratic Action and a
longtime Jewish activist.
"When Giuliani started
talking about a corruption-
free administration, he rais-
ed significant questions in
the eyes of many voters. The
polls showed that Jewish
support for Dinkins began to
erode not based on Israel,
not based on Jesse Jackson,
but on the questions that
were raised about Dinkins'
qualifications."
This notion is supported by
pollster Stephen Cohen, who
tracks the Jewish communi-
ty.
"The issues that Giuliani
used to attack Dinkins were
very important to Jews,"
Cohen said. "The issue of
fiscal competence, espe-
cially, is something that
tends to bother Jews more
than others. They're an af-
fluent group, with a large
proportion of self-employed
entrepreneurs. They tend to
be more sensitive to issues of
financial indiscretion. That
was Dinkins's sore point."
Giuliani was also able to
effectively use the crime
issue, especially in Jewish
"enclave" neighborhoods
where the fear of crime is
running high.
But other analysts refuse
to dismiss the specter of
Jesse Jackson in the Dinkins
campaign.
Political scientist Norman
Orenstein of the American
Enterprise Institute sees the
ethics issue as a
smokescreen for deeper con-
cerns about Jesse Jackson.
"Around New York, you
had considerable comment
"The black
community, which
had had its
expectations
raised, would have
blamed Jews."
about the ethics question,
and it was important to some
voters," Orenstein said.
"But the fact is, when
Dinkins and Giuliani were
campaigning in Jewish
neighborhoods, the question
that came up over and over
again was not ethics, it was
Jesse Jackson. It had to
leave you with the suspicion
that an awful lot of people
who raised those ethical ob-
jections really had
something else in mind."
In tight-knit Orthodox
neighborhoods like Borough
Park, Jackson was the pre-
eminent Jewish issue from
the opening day of the cam-
paign. Indeed, many of those
communities went over-
whelmingly for Giuliani —
as high as 80 percent.
In terms of black-Jewish
relations, analysts tend to
minimize the damage done
by the less-than-expected
Jewish vote for David
Dinkins.
"To be perfectly frank, the
Jewish community dodged a
Continued on Page 12
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 24, 1989
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