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Historic moment: Anwar Sadat, Jimmy Carter and Menachem Begin
celebrate the peace treaty on the White House lawn.

tian authorities continue to
place overwhelming im-
pediments in the way of their
own citizens visiting Israel.
"If an Egyptian wants to
visit. Israel, he faces serious
bureaucratic obstacles and a
close investigation by the
Egyptian security police,"
says Dr. Israeli.
"It is also noteworthy that
while Israel celebrates the
anniversary of the peace trea-
ty, the event is ignored in the
Egypt. The only Egyptians
who mark the anniversary
are the lawyers, members of
the Egyptian Law Society,
who regularly burn the
Israeli flag on March 26."
He also points out that
while the Egyptian Am-
bassador to Israel is lionized
— "invited to speak
everywhere, interviewed
regularly by the media" — the
Israeli ambassador in Cairo is
boycotted and ignored.
What particularly pains Dr.
Israeli is the one truly ex-
traordinary product of the
peace treaty, a desert
research station between
Cairo and Alexandria, where
Israeli and Egyptian agri-
cultural scientists are "work-
ing miracles."
"Yet, despite the potential
importance of this
cooperative venture, it never
receives any publicity in
Egypt. The Egyptian media
still carry the most
disgusting anti-Semitic
tirades. This is equilibrium?"
Nevertheless, Harvard-
educated Dr. Israeli is
grateful for small mercies:
"We niust not kid ourselves
that a revolutionary relation-
ship exists between us," he
says, "but it is better thah
war."
Indeed, few Middle East
observers believe that the
peace, frigid though it may be,
is about to be dashed on the
rock of despair.
The treaty, they note, has
already survived the Israeli
bombing of the Iraqi nuclear

reactor at Osirak, the 1982
invasion of Lebanon, the bom-
bing of the Palestine Libera-
tion Organiiation head-
quarters in Tunis, the Palesti-
nian uprising and Egypt's
own protracted exclusion
from the Arab League.
"The important thing is
that it is holding together at
all," says professor Takis
Vatikiotis, a senior Middle
East specialist at London
University's School of African
and Oriental Studies. "Why
is it holding? Because peace
with Israel is in Egypt's vital
interests."
According to Vatikiotis,
President Sadat embarked on
the process, and President
Mubarak is maintaining it
because Egypt could afford
neither to continue the arms
race nor another war with
Israel.
"Let's call a spade a spade.
Within a few years, Israel will
be spending $7 billion a year
on defense," Vatikiotis said.
"A war in the early '90s will
cost Israel $1 billion a day.
"The Arab leaders are also
doing their sums, and the
sheer price of modern warfare
is weighing heavily on their
minds, too. As it is, the future
for many Arab countries is,
bleak."
Why, then, have other Arab
states not joined the process?
Because, says Vatikiotis,
Egypt is a special case: "It is
the only real nation-state in
the Arab world, it has had the
same borders for 5,000 years
and it hasn't survived for so
long by behaving rashly.
"Egypt worries about
where it is going to get its
water, where it is going to get
the food to feed its exploding
population," Vatikiotis said.
According to Dr. Israeli,
President Sadat concluded
after the 1973 war that Israel
would not be defeated on the
battlefield and that his first
priority must be to insure
Egypt's continuing stability.
He knew that to please

