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Each franchise independently owned and operated. 34 FRIDAY, DECEMBER 2, 1988 Shultz's Denial Of Arafat Visa Will Put Pressure On Bush JAMES D. BESSER Washington Correspondent T he announcement that the United States will refuse to provide a visa for Palestine Liberation Organization chief Yassir Arafat caught Jewish acti- vists by surprise. As late as last Friday — one day before the State Depart- ment decision was announced — activists involved in the anti-Arafat effort were quiet- ly predicting that the visa re- quest would be approved. The decision came directly from Secretary of State George Shultz, who resisted strong pressure from the staf- fers in the department's Near East Bureau, who argued that a rejection would violate the United Nation's 1947 Headquarters agreement and result in international con- demnation of the U.S. position. According to numerous reports, the decision was Shultz's alone. One high State Department source attributed the decision to the secretary's desire to lock the incoming Bush ad- ministration into a policy of not negotiating with the PLO. "This will unquestionably make it more difficult for Bush and Jim Baker to turn around and say, hey, let's start talking to the PLO," one source said. "Shultz is han- ding the ball to his successor — but there's a spin to it." There were early signs that Bush and Baker were less than pleased with the deci- sion, but several other close observers suggest that Shultz's motives centered more on the secretary's long- standing antagonism toward terrorist organizations, and the PLO in particular. Jewish activists generally applauded the decision, though several indicated that they are waiting to see how the administration responds to the mounting interna- tional reaction. Activists Watch As Helms View For Senate Slot The 1988 crop of senators arrives in Washington this week for its orientation, with new House members coming in a week later. But the real action will take place in the nooks and cran- nies of the Capitol, where a number of leadership and committee decisions will be made — many of which may have tremendous significance for Jewish activists here. At the top of the list for Congress-watchers is the year-long battle to fill the slot left by Sen. Robert Byrd, (D- WV.), who is stepping down as majority leader. Byrd has often locked horns with the pro-Israel community. The fight, which is expected to be resolved sometime this week, pits Senate veteran George Shultz: A move with a spin; Daniel Inouye (D-Hawaii) against two relative newcomers — Sen. Bennett Johnston, (D-La.), and Sen. George J. Mitchell, (D- Maine). All three are strong supporters of Israel. Another Senate realign- ment may have drastic im- plications for Jewish "multi- issue" groups that tradi- tionally focus on civil liber- ties and social justice issues. The Labor and Human Re- sources Committee, a pivot point for most social legisla- tion, has three vacancies. Ac- cording to numerous Capitol Hill reports, two of the slots may be filled by Sen. Jesse Helms, (R-N.C.), and Sen. William L. Armstrong, (R- Colo.), both hard-core conservatives. "Helms has been a serious problem for our issues," said a legislative specialist for a major Jewish organization here. "If this is the way the committee lines up, I think we're looking at a difficult year." Bush Cabinet Is Worrisome In yet another wave of speculation over the shape of George Bush's emerging cabinet, there is talk here that a Jewish congressman may be in line for the top post at the Department of Health and Human Services. Rep. Willis D. Gradison, Jr., an Ohio Republican, is said to be on the "short list" for the HSS job — an appointment that would not displease representatives of the domestically oriented Jewish groups here. But a last-minute entry into the fray may prove to be a problem for Gradison; last week, reports surfaced that the job was also coveted by Surgeon General C. Everett Koop. Pro-Israel activists are less happy about the continuing speculation over the top post at Defense. For a long time, it has been expected that Bush would choose former 'Ibxas senator John lbwer as secretary. But the appointment has been held by ferocious in-fighting in the Bush transition team over lbwer's staff, and over the fact that the lbwer nom- ination might be hard to sell to Capitol Hill. From the pro-Israel perspec- tive, John Thwer is not look- ed on with favor. "He's supported just about every Arab arms sale," said one pro-Israel lobbyist, "and he is closely linked with oil interests. We've had un- friendly defense secretaries before. But this time we won't have a George Shultz to pro- vide balance." Finally, last week's appoint- ment of Richard G. Darman as budget director has not been drawing raves from the pro-Israel community. Darman, who is known as a tough budgetary watchdog, was — in the words of one pro- Israel lobbyist — "fairly unhelpful" during last year's battle for legislation reliev- ing Israel of some of its mas- sive debt burden by restruc- turing loans through private banks. Sununu Role _ Still Opposed The appointment of New :- Hampshire governor John Sununu as chief of staff in the upcoming Bush administra- tion may be a "done deed," but some Jewish activists here are still in an uproar over new information on Sununu's pro-Arab views. Last week, Sununu met with Jewish leaders at a meeting put together by the Conference of Presidents of Major Jewish Organizations. The meeting was described by several participants as an open and blunt exchange; when the smoke cleared, most Jewish leaders expressed satisfaction that the new chief of staff, who may well become the most second most