else VitimateNeteta Stole.
Elect Troy Attorney Gary
KOHUT
U.S. Congress
DETROIT • BIRMINGHAM
1247 Broadway
963-2171
need to mend its fences with
the West.
"The Iranian view of the
world is largely governed by
two central, historic factors —
hatred of Iraq and fear of the
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Middle be lt
Iran and Iraq will be on
reconstruction.
In human terms, the cost in
lives on both sides has been
catastrophic: an estimated
500,000 Iranians and 250,000
Iraqis, with more than a
million on both sides left per-
manently disabled and 2.5
million permanently dis-
placed from their homes.
In cold hard cash, the price
tag is also formidable. The
war is reckoned to have cost
Iran $180 billion and to have
set Iraq back a cool $100
billion.
The difference is that while
Iran has paid for the war out
of its own coffers, Iraq has bor-
rowed heavily — mainly from
the moderate, oil-rich Arab
states — and is now in debt to
the tune of $40 billion.
One question that remains
unanswered is whether this
indebtedness to the moderate
Arab world will persuade the
Iraqi leader to find a place for
his country outside its tradi-
tional nest on the radical
fringes of the Arab world—
and how long he can be kept
happy by the moderates.
Another unanswered ques-
tion concerns the future or-
ientation of Iran: whether it
will turn in on itself, adopt an
isolationist posture and con-
centrate on solving its own in-
ternal problems, or pursue
with even greater vigor its
campaign to export its revolu-
tion through such proxies as
the fundamentalist Hizbollah
movement in Lebanon.
Whatever path it follows,
Iran is going to have to
swallow its extravagant
rhetoric and come to terms
with the West if it is to have
any hope of reconstructing its
shattered economy, according
to Professor Amnon Netzer,
an Iranian specialist at the
Hebrew University of
Jerusalem.
"The Eastern bloc has too
many economic problems of
its own to be a viable option
for the Iranians," he told me.
"We are likely to see Iran
making very slow, but steady,
overtures to the West. It won't
be a joyful union but rather a
gradual departure from Iran's
previous anti-Western
stance."
Indeed, Menashri, who was
born in Iran, believes it was
inevitable that the mullahs
would be confronted with the
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THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS
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