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Year-End Reflections
From Pro-Israel View
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40
FRIDAY, JANUARY 1, 1988
he year's end is an
appropriate time to re-
flect on what lessons
might be learned from the
previous 12 months from a
pro-Israel perspective.
On the positive side, the
U.S. Congress' continued sup-
port for Israel remained a
strong and consistent thread,
despite fallout from the
Pollard case and Israeli in-
volvement in Irangate. In ad-
dition to approving $3 billion
in economic and military aid,
and modifying arms sales to
Saudi Arabia, funding was
provided for a number of
"made in Israel" programs for
the U.S. Defense Department
which will benefit Israel's
economy in future years. In
the wake of the Lavi cancella-
tion, cooperation in the
military sphere between the
two countries was also
institutionalized.
On a less optimistic note,
the Gorbachev visit and sum-
mit did not appear to signal
a change in Soviet emigration
(or, for that matter, any other)
policies. While the unex-
pectedly large turnout in
Washington energized the
American-Jewish community,
its benefits for Soviet Jews re-
main to be seen. The change
in style from previous Rus-
sian leaders, which the media
found irresistible, is so far just
that. The release of a select
group of refuseniks has not
been accompanied by a
significant increase in overall
emigration.
What can be hoped for is
more pragmatism and less
ideology on the part of the
new Soviet leadership in deal-
ing with Jewish emigration.
As a practical matter, it
would seem that permitting
50,000 to 100,000 Russian
Jews to emigrate over the
next two or three years could
pay enormous dividends,
literally, in terms of trade- and
economic benefits that could
follow. If this is so, one cannot
help but wonder whether
Soviet Jews are being held as
a diplomatic card for Russia
to play in order to be able to
play a major role in any
future Middle East peace
negotiations.
The lure of permitting a
considerable number of Jews
to leave the USSR could be
considered irresistible to
Israeli leadership, according
to Soviet thinking. Otherwise,
a policy that continues to an-
tagonize and galvanize op-
position from an influential
and activist American-Jewish
community makes little sense
from Russia's point of view,
particularly if Gorbachev is
serious about improving the
performance of Soviet
economy and satisfying con-
sumer demand.
A disturbing trend which
intensified during 1987 has
led some here in Washington
to ask whether we are again
getting hooked on foreign oil.
According to the latest
figures, we are importing 43
percent of the oil we are con-
suming, and guess which
country is now our number
one source? No, not neighbor-
ing Canada or Mexico — but
Saudi Arabia.
At the same time that
domestic oil production has
hit a new low point, we are
Arab unrest
produced the
inevitable
statements from
our State
Department.
importing more Arab oil
while still placing un-
necessary restrictions on off-
shore and Alaskan oil drill-
ing. Without a coordinated
national energy policy con-
sisting of greater exploration,
conservation, and the
development of alternative
energy sources, we may be
placing our heads in a noose
of our own making. It is the
kind which is being tighten-
ed so slowly that its conse-
quences will not be realized
until our foreign policies in
the Middle East could be
stifled.
Arab unrest in Gaza and
the West Bank at the end of
1987 produced the inevitable
statements from our State
Department, placing the
blame for the violence on lack
of progress in finding solu-
tions to the Arab-Israel con-
flict. These kinds of
statements, of course, play
right into the hands of rioters
by putting the onus on Israel
for somehow failing to be
more flexible. These
simplistic utterances overlook
the fact that there are very
difficult questions that must
be dealt with through patient
face-to-face negotiations.
Until this process can be
started, the status quo is far
more preferable than having
Israel give in to extremist
violence by unilaterally mak-
ing concessions in advance of
such negotiations. Rioting