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do it. If the Iranians run true
to form, we can expect some
kind of provocation — and
then, presumably, another un-
thought-out response by the
Administration. The worry is
that the situation could very
easily get out of control."
According to most reports,
congressional resistance to
President Reagan's plan is
running high — although
some sources say that revul-
sion towards Iran in the wake
of the arms-for-hostages scan-
dal may be even higher. "This
is the really strange part of
it," said one source on the
Hill. "We're determined to
strike out against the Kho-
meini government because we
were gullible enough to try to
deal with them, and got slap-
ped down. The argument that
we must protect shipping in
the Gulf is an obvious
pretext; if that was our con-
cern, we'd be protecting ALL
shipping, now just Kuwaiti
shipping."
Meanwhile, American sup-
porters of Israel are watching
the unfolding drama with
concern. "What you have,"
says one source with close ties
to the pro-Israel community,
"is an administration
desperate- to make a move
someplace, anyplace. From
Israel's point of view, this is
a dangerous way of making
foreign policy."
Another strong friend of
Israel sees a positive side to
the growing clamor over the
Persian Gulf. "In a way, this
is proving what we've been
saying all along — that the
dilemma of the Middle East
is more than just a Jewish-
Arab problem, but something
that involves a lot of different
nations with a lot of different
interests. When all this dies
down, this is a point we need
to make more clearly with
Congress and the American
people."

Uneasy Quiet Over
Pollard Reports

There's nothing more
disconcerting than the bomb
that whistles through the air
in what seems like slow mo-
tion, hits the ground with a
dull thud — and just sits
there, ticking a little, maybe,
but not exploding.
The official Israeli reports
on the Pollard affair, released
last week, were awaited with
anxiety on both sides of the
ocean. And despite the wide-
spread feeling on Capitol Hill
that both the Eban and the
Rotenstreich-Tsur reports
represent something less than
complete candor, so far there
has been no explosion. But
almost nobody in Washing-
ton is ready to heave sighs of
relief.
The official Israeli in-

vestigations were "shallow"
and "too general," according
to several Washington
sources. "But the impact
seems to be greater in Israel
than here in Washington,"
said a source on the Hill.
"Most of the people I talk to
on the Hill say that Pollard is
definitely behind us."
Other sources insist that
the real reason for the muted
response is the preoccupation
of both the administration
and the Congress with events
in the Persian Gulf. Accord-
ing to these sources, the tim-
ing of the reports was a hap-
py coincidence — from
Israel's point of view.
Finally„ many within the
foreign-affairs establishment
never expected a full and
comprehensive report from
Jerusalem. Because of the ex-
plosive Israeli political situa-
tion, they say, it was unlikely
that either report would go
further in fixing blame for the
spy scandal or recommending
punishment. These sources
suggest that the Pollard af-
fair will continue to smolder
just beneath the surface of
relations between the two
countries.
"I have to say the level of
response was a surprise to
us," said one source in the pro-
Israel community. "So far, we
are not displeased with the
impact of the Pollard reports
from a political point of view.
Personally, I wish they had
gone further."

Early Biden Interest

Nothing gets the juices in
this town flowing faster than
the approach of a presidential
election. The complex mech-
anisms in Washington center-
ing on the special concerns of
American Jews and their
Israeli brethren is an increas-
ingly important part of this
process.
"You bet your boots we're
talking to people from all the
major campaigns," says one
official with an organization
concerned primarily with-
Soviet Jewry. "Right now,
we're in an enviable position;
just about every candidate on
the scene is aware of us and
aware of the problems that
concern us. With the excep-
tion of Jesse Jackson, they all
pretty much pass our litmus
test. Naturally, we're working
very hard to keep the lines of
communication open."
There has been word that
several toilers in the offices of
the American-Israel Public
Affairs Committee (AIPAC)
have already bolted into the
campaign of Sen. Joe Biden
— a mild surprise, since
Biden, whose record certain-
ly passes muster with most
Jewish organizations, has not
emerged as a front-runner
with American Jews.

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