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T c7u7j- NT —
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next to LG. Nicks
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THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS
CAPITOL REPORT
WOLF BLITZER
Shamir May Hit Tough
Crossfire On U.S. Visit
rime Minister Yitzhak
Shamir is likely to face
two different lines of
questioning when he visits
Washington from February
16 to 20.
From the news media and
Members of Congress, he will
face a tough grilling about
Israel's controversial involve-
ment in the Iran arms sales
and the alleged diversion of
funds to the Contra rebels in
Nicaragua.
From the Reagan Admini-
stration, he will be asked
about the Arab-Israeli "peace
process — specifically, what
Israel might be able to do to
get it off "the ground.
Administration officials,
Israeli diplomats and other
informed sources in Washing-
ton agree that Shamir is like-
ly to do better during his
private sessions with Presi-
dent Ronald Reagan, Vice
President George Bush,
Secretary of State George
Shultz and other top policy-
makers than during his en-
counters with the rough
Washington press corps.
Shamir will almost certain-
ly stick to the public denials
issued by the Israeli govern-
ment in recent weeks — de-
nials that Israel promoted the
arms sales to Iran or knew
anything about the diversion
of profits to the Contras. In
addition, the Prime Minister
can be expected to restate the
Israeli position that Israel
does not "directly" support
the Contras.
But in the face of the Sen-
ate Intelligence Committee
report on the Iran "arms!
Contra-funding affair, Shamir
will have his work cut out for
him. He will "be pressed to
explain what counterter-
rorism adviser Amhara Nir
knew and when "did he know
it. Colonel Oliver North, the
dismissed National Security
Council "staffer, has charged
that the entire idea was Nir's.
But his reception at the
White House and the State
Department is expected to be
cordialr. President Reagan
and his aides have no great
desire to get into any argu-
ments with Israel right now.
Indeed, they "need Israel's
cooperation in several areas,
including their effort to try to
"revive the stalled peace
process.
The Americans have been
hoping that Egyptian Presi-
dent Hosni Mubarak would
follow Shamir to Washington,
but that now seems uncertain
at best. Jordan's King Hus-
sein, according to one
scenario, was supposed to
then follow "Mubarak. The
stream of Arab and Israeli
visitors to Washington would
at least "create the impres-
p
sion of movement. But no one
knows whether they will
come.
The whole purpose of
Assistant Secretary of State
for Near Eastern and South
Asian Affairs Richard Mur-
phy's recent swing through
the Middle East was to help
lay the groundwork for such
"movement" in order to get a
fresh dialogue going. But the
moderate Arabs are some-
what reluctant to get in-
volved, still burning from the
revelations of U.S. arms going
to Iran in close cooperation
with Israel.
While Reagan and Shultz
haven't totally given up, both
have too many other "prob-
lems on their minds right now
to focus much of their atten-
tion on a "peace process
whose prospects for success
are remote, at best.
Shamir will be arriving in
the United States while the
country remains obsessed
with the Iran/Contra affair
and the latest wave of ter-
rorism and hostage-taking in
Lebanon. The spotlight again
is on international terrorism
and what the United States
can do to combat it.
One thing that could mar
the Shamir visit is the
Jonathan Jay Pollard spy
scandal. Pollard's long-
delayed sentencing is now set
for March 4, long after
Shamir's return home. But
some 10 days to two weeks
before that sentencing, Pol-
lard's lawyers are scheduled
to release his pre-sentencing
memorandum to the Judge.
Pollard's document will argue
his side of the story. It can be
expected to generate consid-
erable news media attention,
perhaps right around the
time of Shamir's stay in
Washington. And this could
prove to be rather embarrass-
ing for him and for Israel.
Another potentially awk-
ward subject for Shamir will
be South Africa. Israel's rela-
tionship with the Apartheid
regime is coming under closer
scrutiny. Since the enactment
of U.S. economic sanctions
against South Africa, the
State Department has been
preparing a study on those
countries still engaged in a
military relationship with
Pretoria. A final report is due
out in early April. If it details
an extensive Israeli military
connection in violation of the
United Nations-imposed em-
bargo on military transfers.
In addition to Washington,
the Prime Minister will also
visit New York and Los
Angeles, attending several
meetings with a cross section
of the American Jewish and
non-Jewish communities.