King Hussein is hoping not to crush the PLO completely but to bend it to his will. HELEN DAVIS Special to The Jewish News erusalem — Five years ago, the Israeli military authorities deposed Rashad al-Shawa as mayor of Gaza because of his enthusiastic support for the PLO and his virulent opposition to the Camp David autonomy plan for Palestin- ians living in the Israeli-occupied territories. Last month, al-Shawa, widely considered to be the elder statesman of Palestinian politics and an unquestioned Palestinian patriot, dropped a bombshell when he declared that most of the 1.2 million Palestinians now living under Israeli oc- cupation in the West Bank and Gaza are in favour of a confederation with Jordan. He went on to chide the PLO for being unresponsive to the wishes of the people. Viewed in the context of the serious rift between Jordan and the PLO, al-Shawa's statement represented an act of almost reckless personal courage and a smashing victory for King Hussein, who is anxious to re-establish hegemony over the ter- ritories which were conquered by Israel in the 1967 Six Day War. Indeed, it was the first fruit of an ap- proach that the Jordanian monarch em- barked on earlier this year when he effec- tively broke with Yasser Arafat, the PLO chairman, because of his continued refusal to make the necessary political concessions to enable PLO participation in peace talks with Israel. While parting ways with Arafat, King Hussein called on the "silent majority" in the occupied territories to stand up and be counted; to produce a moderate, pragmatic leadership which would work with him towards some form of political settlement with the Jewish state. In this he has the unspoken blessing of Jerusalem, which is delighted by the rift. and recently moved to bolster Jordan's ef- forts to erode PLO power centers on the West Bank and foster what amounts to an alternative Palestinian leadership. Israeli authorities have restricted pro- PLO newspapers and closed two West Bank universities which are strongholds of j pro-PLO sentiment. In addition, Shimon Peres held a rare meeting in Jerusalem recently with 25 mayors and businessmen from the occupied territories. The Israeli leader took the opportunity of pushing his own policy of "devolution," a variation on the old autonomy plan, which would inten- sify the involvement of Palestinians in their own affairs, thereby both increasing the profile of the moderate Palestinian leaders and reducing the profile of the occupation. "For the sake of your future and our future," he told his guests, "we must now remove the obstacles to dialogue and negotiations. We are prepared to discuss the Palestinian problem, which we treat seriously, in order to find a solution which will take the desires of the Palestinians in- to consideration." But Peres went further, endorsing a prac- tical plan of action designed by King Hus- sein to win the hearts and minds of the Palestinians — improving the quality of life for inhabitants of the occupied ter- ritories. The centerpiece of this policy, unveiled last month, is an ambitious $1.3 billion, five-year development plan which is aimed at providing low-interest loans for industries, schools, public utilities and private housing. The ultimate purpose, though, is to win the allegiance of the people. The king is seeking to show quite simply that while Arafat can provide the ideology and fiery rhetoric, only Jordan can put the bread on the table. Pro-Jordanian sources on the West Bank concede that Arafat still commands the loyalty of the overwhelming majority of Palestinians living under occupation, even those who believe that confederation with Jordan is the only realistic path to remov- ing them from Israeli occupation. But the sources note that Arafat, driven out of Jordan, Lebanon and Jordan again, is now deprived of an effective base that is contiguous with Israel and that his sup- port in the West Bank and Gaza must therefore be considered vulnerable. "I personally regard the PLO as the representative of the Palestinian people," said one pro-Jordanian businessman, "but its leaders are not prepared to do anything practical for the people living under oc- cupation. Ultimately, the man in the street is not interested in grandiose ideologies but in economic well-being and he would not shrink from taking Jordanian money. A flag is important, but you can't feed your family on flags." There may, however, be more to King Hussein's proposed seduction of the oc- cupied territories than meets the eye. Ac- cording to political analysts in Jerusalem, the king's long-term game plan is not to crush the PLO completely but rather to bend it to his will. They believe that the Israeli contractor and Arab workers in Efrat, a West Bank settlement. 15