44 Friday, June 14, 1985 THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS NOTEBOOK A leading demographer's profile of the American Jewish community highlighted a recent Jewish press convention, which also included a Democratic Governor's critique of his party and a plea for the 8,000 Jews left behind in Ethiopia. Most Jews attend synagogue at least once or twice a year, but the level of commitment does not seem to run deep. Good News, Bad News For American Jewry BY GARY ROSENBLATT Editor A Mile Wide And An Inch Deep Phoenix — A leading Amer- ican Jewish demographer says there is good news and bad news regarding the future of American Jewry: namely, that Jewish iden- tification is a mile wide and an inch deep. Prof. Gary Tobin, a social planner and associate pro- fessor at Brandeis University who has done Jewish demog- raphic studies in a number of communities — he is current- ly working on a major project for Baltimore's Associated Jewish Charities — offered a profile of the American Jewish community. He focus- ed more on the quality of Jewish life than the numeri- cal aspects that have receiv- ed so much attention in re- cent years. Addressing a session of the 43rd annual American Jew- ish Press Association conven- tion, Tobin discounted a widely reported demographic study suggesting that the American Jewish population will decrease dramatically in the next century. He said that the research involved was insufficient at best, and that his own findings point to a Jewish population that "will likely decrease some- what but is certainly not in a perilous situation." "I don't share the sense of alarm that we hear in some circles," Tobin said. His message to the 60 Jew- ish newspaper editors and publishers attending the con- vention was clear: the Jewish press can play a critical role as "the glue to hold Jews to- gether," replacing such "old glues that no longer hold like ritual observance, geographic proximity and intricate friendship networks." Tobin said that Jewish newspapers could serve as the "central in- strumentality of the com- munity," providing for a clearing house for ideas for Jews from all areas of the spectrum. The American Jewish Press Association (AJPA) meeting, hosted by the Greater Phoenix Jewish News, also featured a talk by Arizona Governor Bruce Babbitt, a potential Demo- cratic Presidential candidate for 1988, who talked about what's wrong with the Demo- cratic Party, and a report by Howard Lenhoff of the American Association for Ethiopian Jews on efforts to save the 8,000 Jews still in Ethiopia. Dr. Tobin's analysis focus- ed on Jewish demographics, religious commitment and organizational data, based on studies of 17 communities comprising about 70 percent of the American Jewish popu- lation. The biggest change over the last 20 years is the "phenomenal population shift" from New York to Florida of about 600,000 Jews. Tobin called this shift "bigger than the exodus from Egypt." He noted that many former New Yorkers have also settled in cities like Phoenix, Denver and Wash- ington, D.C. Overall, Jews are moving more than ever, from city to city and from one part of a city to another, a mobility re- flecting that of the general American population. The size of the average Jewish family is decreasing, but only slightly, from about 2.8 to somewhere between 2.2 and 2.6. About two-thirds of