Friday, March 29, 1985

THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS

47

Children of Holocaust-Survivors Assoc. in MI

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PRESENTS:

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RICHARD LOBENTHAL DR. SIDNEY BOLKOSKY

Professor of History
University of Michigan

Regional Director
Anti-Defamation League

may be out of reach in the fore-
seeable future, but paradoxical-
ly, a more viable balance of con-
flicts seems to be emerging from
the increased Syrian ascendan-
cy, a rearrangement of alliances
in the Arab world, and the Is-
raelis' recognition of the limits
of their capacity to operate in
Lebanon. Again, paradoxically,
the strategic cooperation agree-
ment would thus prove a pre-
lude to some Israeli retreat, not
an increase in dominance."

Prof. Dankwart A. Rustow of
the City University of New York
Graduate School, offers a large
measure of agreement with Dr.
Bell on the situation in the Mid-
dle East after what he calls a
year of realignment. "New rela-
tionships were formed, and new
foundations laid," he says, "that
will decisively shape the Middle
Eastern constellation in years to
come."
A significant factor in the sit-
uation, he declares, is the new
stance of the Soviet Union
which has found Syria and
Libya "to be less than reliable
partners" and, consequently,
seeks to increase its influence
• among the moderate Arab
states.
Rustow notes that while the
Reagan Plan for settlement of
the Palestinian question "gain-
ed new relevance" in the past
year, "it may have to compete,
in the years ahead, with the no-
tion of a more comprehensive
Middle East peace conference
which Moscow launched in mid-
1984."
But Rustow is not optimistic
about the prospects of an early
settlement. He points out that
the outcome of the war in Leb-
anon "eliminated the PLO as a
military force, diminished any
threat from Israel to its Arab
neighbors and left Syria as the
, potentially hegemonic power
over Lebanon.

"Syria, in effect," he says,
"replaced Israel as the most im-
mediate threat to the region's
fragile balance. Thus, Arab
moderates such as Egypt and
Jordan were drawn together in-
to exploring ways of moving to-
ward an Arab-Israeli settle-
• ment."

As for the Israelis, while the
Labor-Likud agreement reaf-
firmed Israel's commitment to
the Camp David formula, and
Prime Minister Shimon Peres
, proposed a meeting with King
L Hussein, Rustow says, Hussein
has "made it clear no such
meeting could take place with-
out some prior agreement.

"In view of the profound dif-
ferences between Likud and
Labor (and on the Arab side,
• among Jordan, the PLO, Syria
and others) it would be unreal-
istic to expect serious Israeli-
Jordanian negotiations in the
near future." he says.

* COMING SOON

IN

"An Examination of Anti-Semitism:
Past and Present"

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