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Friday, May 18, 1984
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The Cultural Commission Of
CONGREGATION SHAAREY ZEDEK
PRESENTS
THE TILLIE MARTIN
MEMORIAL LECTURE
DR. PETER A. MARTIN
Noted Psychoanalyst And Lecturer
Speaking On
LOVE IN MARRIAGE AND FAMILY
WEDNESDAY EVENING, MAY 23
8:00 PM
sponsored by
THE TILLIE MARTIN FAMILY
NO ADMISSION CHARGE
CAPITOL REPORT
July 23
Continued from Page 4
rael has seriously deteriorated over
the past three years. Inflation is on
the verge of running away. The most
recent austerity measures enacted
late last year have resulted in an ap-
proximately 20 percent reduction in
real take-home pay for most workers
— after all of the inflation indexing is
taken into consideration.
The former Finance Minister,
Yoram Aridor, had authorized some
short-term economic give-a-ways in
the weeks before the last election.
That led to a boon in the sales of color
With deterioration in
Israeli-Egyptian ties,
Likud will not be able to
point to Camp David and
the peace treaty with
pride.
television sets and video recorders.
That politically popular, yet reckless,
step is unlikely to be accepted by his
successor, Finance Minister Yitzhak
Cohen-Orgad.
• The war in Lebanon has pro-
ven an especially divisive element
within Israel. More than 550 Israeli
soldiers have been killed and another
3,500 injured. Israeli troops remain
entrenched in southern Lebanon.
There is peace in the northern
Galilee and the PLO infrastructure
in Lebanon has been uprooted, but--
there remain the prospects of another
full-scale war with Syria. This has
been Israel's most unpopular war —
by far.
• Only days before the June
1981 election, the Israeli Air Force
dramatically knocked out Iraq's nu-
clear reactor in a daring and suc-
cessful raid which recalled some of
Israel's more spectacular military
operations of earlier years. That pro-
ved to be a popular vote-getter for the
Likud. Israel is unlikely to pull off a
similar operation between now and
July 23.
• Only days before the destruc-
tion of the Iraqi reactor, Begin had
met with the late Egyptian President
Anwar Sadat at Sharm ek-Sheikh. In
those days, there was still considera-
ble optimism in Israel over the course
of Israeli-Egyptian peace. But with
Sadat's assassination and the sub-
sequent deterioration in Israeli-
Egyptian ties, the Likud will not be
able to point to Camp David and the
peace treaty with much pride this
time around.
• Labor has managed to get
much of its act together this year.
There is less public bitterness be-
tween Shimon Peres, the party
leader, and his arch rival, former
Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin. And
with the inclusion of former
President. Yitzhak Navon on the
party list, the possibility of recaptur-
ing some Sephardic voters opens up.
Navon, who did not challenge Peres
for the top slot because he feared it
would divide the party, has been
actively campaigning, especially
among the Sephardim. Begin had a
personal popularity among them
which Shamir lacks.
The one major achievement
which the Likud is trumpeting right
now is the close U.S.-Israeli relation-
ship. Shamir is making the case that
American-Israeli ties, so vital to Is-
rael's security and well-being, have
never been better, despite some con-
tinuing differences. This will be a
Likud campaign theme until July 23.
Indeed, senior Israeli officials
have been pressing the Reagan Ad-
ministration in recent weeks to re-
lease some of the details of the ongo-
ing U.S.-Israeli strategic cooperation
talks, which have been held behind
closed doors. The Israeli argument to
Washington has been that a highly
publicized demonstration of U.S.-
Israeli military cooperation might
deter the Syrians (and their Soviet
backers) from provoking another
round of fighting. U.S. officials, on
the other hand, suspect that
Jerusalem's real objective 'might
merely involve domestic politics.
President Ronald Reagan shares
a political interest with Shamir in
publicizing the very strong U.S.-
Israeli relationship of today. For
Reagan — as for Shamir — this can
be translated into votes back home.
Some Labor leaders, in fact, fear
that the Reagan Administration,
U.S. officials profess a
strong desire to avoid
interference in Israeli
politics. Privately, most of
them would like to see
Labor win.
perhaps inadvertently, might make
some statement or take some action
which would benefit the Likud in the
elections. U.S. officials, for their part,
are sensitive to these fears. They pro-
fess a strong desire to avoid any im-
proper interference in domestic Is-
raeli politics. Privately, most of them
would like to see Labor win.
The ballots have not yet been
cast in Israel. There is still room for
political jockeying. Certainly, the
Likud will make a major effort to re-
main in office. There are still many
things which a government in power
can do. A withdrawal from Lebanon,
accompanied by genuine security ar-
rangements for northern Israel,
would probably go a long way in help-
ing the government. But that will not
be easy to achieve. Thus, Labor ap-
pears to be in a very strong position
today.