THE DETROIT JEWISH NEWS Friday, March 9, 1984 25 For Annexation: History of Broken Commitments, Non-Recognition (Continued from Page 1) responsibility for the be- havior of irregular forces operating from their ter- ritories. Israel's claim that these governments not only tolerated hostile operations by forces acting within their jurisdiction but actually as- sisted them and often even organized them has been re- jected repeatedly by the UN Security Council. The question of whether these governments will have authority over irregu- lar forces and, particularly, over the Palestine Libera- tion Organization once a peace treaty is signed looms large in Israeli doubts and anxieties. It is a gnawing worry based on experience, as well as the knowledge that the PLO is diversified enough to produce splinter groups for all purposes, ready to disavow any agreement and undermine it by the use of terror. An additional factor tends to make peace efforts risky. In the West a con- tinuous binding commit- ment to international treaties and obligations is more or less taken for granted, even after drama- tic changes of governments and policies. The Arab countries take a different view. Political upheavals in the Middle East are fre- quent and violent. In most Arab countries they are the only practical way of chang- ing governments and depos- ing leaders, since free elec- tions are nonexistent. When a more radical regime takes over, it often denounces or inac- tivates treaties signed by its predecessors, particu- larly when a change in foreign policy and big- power orientation is in- volved. It is easy to imagine the fate of an American-made Arab-Israeli peace if power on the Arab side shifted to pro-Soviet radicals, and the countries most often men- tioned as possibilities, as far as peace with Israel is con- cerned, happen to be pro- Western monarchies threatened by radical sub- version. Finally, it should be re- membered that armed con- flicts having a religious background and motivation are sometimes irreconcila- ble. * * * Israel Recognition the Stumbling Block The conclusions are obvi- ous. The basic conditions for a genuine, durable peace are popular recognition of Israel as a fact of life and universal Arab acceptance of the necessity of maintain- ing normal relations with it. Official willingness to con- clude peace would be most welcome, of course, but it would constitute a rather shaky foundation for peace as long as popular intransi- gence remained. In any case, Israel would have to insist that, even after the signing of a peace treaty, it remain as strong militarily as it is today. Any weakening of its military posture would encourage the Arab extremists to try to reverse the process. Two generally accepted assumptions would seem to be fraught with danger: one is that after making peace Israel would not have to spend the huge amounts of money it now earmarks for the acquisition of modern military equipment; the other is that it would be able to give up the territories it now occupies as a protection against sudden attack. Peace is not a magic for- mula making war impossi- ble. It must be backed up by measures making war a risky and costly undertak- ing. This, then, is Israel's di- lemma. If it withdraws to its former borders in order to allay Arab suspicions, it may revive the old Arab dream of driving the Jews into the sea. If it sticks to its present borders,it may lend credibility to the Arab con- tention that Israel wants expansion, not peace. In the eyes of many Israelis, the second option entails the lesser risk. There is a growing realization in Israel that no enduring peace can be achieved without a radi- cal solution of the Pales- tinian problem. Fur- thermore, the Palestinian problem concerns not only the political future of the areas commonly designated the West Bank (or, to Israelis, Ju- daea and Samaria); and the Gaza Strip but also the fate of the Palestinian diaspora. According to claims put forward by the- PLO (they may be some- what exaggerated), there are close to four million Palestinians living today. The idea of trying to ab- sorb them in Judaea and Samaria is absurd. Most people do not realize how small the disputed area is. Israel within its pre-1967 borders comprises about 20,700 sq. km (8,000 sq. mi.). The West Bank and the Gaza Strip have an area of a little over 5,100 sq. km (2,000 sq. mi.). With a popu- lation of 1.2 million, it is al- ready one of the most de- nsely populated areas of the world. its Jewish population still survives. But sup- pose the refugees could be persuaded to relin- quish their dream of re- turning to Jaffa and Haifa, where could they go? Surely not to the tiny, overpopulated area of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, which can hardly support the pre- sent population. This is the reasoning be- hind Israel's almost unani- mous refusal to consider the establishment of a Palesti- nian state. To forestall such a possi- bility, the Israeli Labor Party conceived a plan that has become known as the Jordanian option. It pro- vides for a substantial Is- raeli withdrawal, with the condition that the ceded territory be returned to the Hashemite Kingdom of Jor- dan, which exercised con- trol over the West Bank prior to 1967. The returned areas would be de- militarized. The Israeli Army would remain in its present positions along the Jordan Valley, where Labor governments established a string of Jewish settle- ments. The idea is that Jordan would then be saddled with the Palestinian problem. U.S. President Ronald Rea- gan endorsed the concept in his speech of Sept. 1, 1982, including it in his so-called peace plan. Nevertheless, its chances of ever being put to the test are rather slim: Hussein has yet to agree to the continued presence of Israeli troops in the Jordan Valley. He would also have to undertake never to grant the Palestinians the complete sovereignty they crave. He would have to agree to crush any attempt by Palesti- nian terrorists to con- tinue their war against Israel from territory under his control. In car- rying out these pro- visions, he would have to withstand international pressure, and he would be drawn into conflict with most of the Arab states. What benefits could he reap in return for such a commitment? The Israeli Labor Party expects Jordan not only to carry the burden of the Palestinians but also to re- * * * linquish Jerusalem. Ever Palestinian since the city was reunited Return to What? in 1967, all major political In their political pro- parties in Israel have op- gram, the idea of the Return posed any thought of divid- plays a very important part. ing it again or agreeing to It is the dream of the refu- Arab participation in ruling gees and the central motive it. of Palestinian education. Supporters of the Jorda- When they speak of re- nian option avoid the issue, turning, the refugees do not knowing quite well that Is- have in mind the hills of raeli public opinion will re- Judaea and Samaria. They ject any compromise on this think of Jaffa, Haifa, highly emotional issue. But Ramla, and the clusters of can Hussein really be ex- villages they left in 1948, pected to waive a claim that hoping that within days or has been foremost among weeks they would be able to Arab demands? Would he return with the victorious not be reviled by Arab mod- Arab armies. erates and extremists alike The dream of destroy- and become an object of ing Israel and scattering scorn to Muslims all over the world? There is only one country that can satisfy the pressing needs of the Palestinians, and that country is Jordan. Its area is nearly 95,000 sq. km . (37,000 -sq. mi.). Its Palestinian inhabitants — refugees who were granted Jordanian citizenship and migrants who were at- tracted by better economic opportunities on the East Bank — outnumber the in- digenous population Bringing the Palesti- nian problem into true focus, by concentrating on a feasible solution of the refugee problem while simultaneously re- sponding to the need for full expression of the Palestinian national identity, will probably ease the tension that has built up around the West Bank. Israel's security needs will more easily be reconciled with the aspi- rations of the Arab population if their paramount needs have been provided for elsewhere. One final point should be made. Peace generally presupposes the creation or existence of a full range of normal relations between the parties, including the free movement of citizens of both countries across the border dividing them. As part of a durable peace, one would expect a certain amount of intermigration between neighboring states. There are some 690,000 Arabs living in Israel. On the other hand, there are only 20,000 or 30,000 Jews left in the Arab world. Is peace credible and trustworthy if its premise is that the presence of Jews amid the Arabs is unbeara- ble to the latter? What is it that the advo- cates of barring Jews from the scene of the ancient bi- blical traditions are after — peace and coexistence be- tween Israel and its neighbors, or the perpetua- tion of the existing abyss of prejudice and hatred? 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